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  Msg # 237 of 247 on FABLED-5, Monday 11-27-16, 10:17  
  From: ALLEN PRUNTY  
  To: ALL  
  Subj: Disability Hate Crime Within the UK - Es  
  "...despite the decrease in the incidence of crime overall, crime  
  remains higher for disabled people compared with non-disabled people of  
  the same age."  
    
    
  In September this year, the Equality and Human Rights Commission  
  released a follow up report on crime conducted towards disabled people,  
  a report based upon the annual Crime Survey for England and Wales. The  
  report follows on from one previously released, where an average of  
  77,000 hate crimes were estimated to have occurred during the period  
  2007-08 to 2009-10.  
    
    
  The report states that the total incidence of hate crime in England and  
  Wales has declined at a time when the overall crime rate has also  
  fallen. However, despite the decrease in the incidence of crime overall,  
  crime remains higher for disabled people compared with non-disabled  
  people of the same age. In England and Wales, more disabled than  
  non-disabled people in every age group had experienced crime in the  
  previous 12 months before the study. Similarly, in Scotland more  
  disabled people than non-disabled people aged 16-44 or 65-74 had  
  experienced crime in the previous 12 months.  
    
  There had been some confusion over whether this report also indicates a  
  fall in estimated hate crimes from 77,000 in 2009-10 to around 56,000  
  per year. The EHRC indeed reports an average of 56,000 incidents of  
  disability hate crime committed per year, however, the margin of error  
  in the study is reported as being around 13,000 cases either way. So,  
  rather than giving us an estimate of 56,000 cases per year, the EHRC has  
  simply given us a range between 43,000 and 69,000, with 56,000 being the  
  mean of this range. So, the high-end figure of 69,000 still ties in with  
  its previous study on crime towards disabled people, and the many  
  surveys and polls of disabled people that have taken place over the past  
  number of years.  
    
  To clear up any possible future confusion over this report, I contacted  
  the EHRC myself, to clarify what their information actually tells us,  
  and the EHRC kindly responded as below:  
    
  "Thank you for your recent enquiry into the above. It would be a  
  misinterpretation to say that the incidents of disability crime have  
  gone down over the time period in question, and the report is quite  
  upfront about this, as you have said.  
    
    
    
  The aim of the research was to follow up on similar statistical analysis  
  which was conducted in 2013, to see if there had been changes over time.  
  The report faithfully describes all of the findings from this, including  
  ones which were not statistically significant. In line with research  
  best practice, all findings are presented, not just those which  
  demonstrate change of some kind.  
    
    
    
  I don't think the lack of statistical significance in some parts of the  
  findings mean the study is not relevant. Indeed, the absence of  
  statistically significant change is a finding in itself, suggesting  
  perhaps that there has not been dramatic change in the incidence of  
  disability hate crime -- either up or down. Also, some of the findings  
  highlight continued high rates of experience of crime and fear of crime  
  amongst particular disabled groups -- young people, for example, and  
  those with mental health conditions. The EHRC believes these are  
  important findings that should be in the public domain."  
    
  Firstly, as we can see, the EHRC suggests that "there has not been  
  dramatic change in the incidence of disability hate crime -- either up  
  or down". Secondly, young disabled people and people with mental health  
  conditions continue to experience not just high levels of fear over  
  crime, but high levels of crime itself.  
    
  I hope that this finally clears up any confusion that may have arisen  
  over this latest round of EHRC figures. As we can see, there has  
  arguably been no real change in the incidence of disability hate crime  
  within the UK for the time period reported, and that information may be  
  important for us to take note of, until more up to date information is  
  obtained.  
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
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