ACUS11 KWNS 142014  
  SWOMCD  
  SPC MCD 142014  
  UTZ000-AZZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-142215-  
    
  Mesoscale Discussion 1980  
  NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK  
  0314 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026  
    
  Areas affected...portions of the southern Great Basin into the lower  
  Colorado River Basin  
    
  Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely  
    
  Valid 142014Z - 142215Z  
    
  Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent  
    
  SUMMARY...Scattered strong to occasionally severe thunderstorms will  
  bring an isolated risk for damaging/severe wind gusts through this  
  afternoon.  
    
  DISCUSSION...In the wake of morning cloud cover, strong diurnal  
  heating and steepening low-level lapse rates amid low-to-mid 50s  
  dewpoints are supporting scattered thunderstorm development within a  
  corridor of greater buoyancy (500-1500 J/kg MLCAPE) across portions  
  of the Great Basin and lower Colorado River Basin. Enhanced  
  southwesterly flow downstream of an upper low centered off of the  
  California coastline is contributing to modestly enhanced effective  
  shear of 25-35 kts, sufficient for modest updraft organization. In  
  conjunction with steep low-to-mid level lapse rates, high LCLs (2-3+  
  km), and inverted-V thermodynamic profiles, an isolated risk for  
  damaging/severe wind gusts may accompany developing thunderstorms  
  through this evening. This risk is expected to remain relatively  
  isolated. Thus, watch issuance is not anticipated.  
    
  ..Chalmers/Guyer.. 08/14/2026  
    
  ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.  
  gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9bQuZmP_mXECtbIHChauvCouC8uPwcz3jsbVcC1xfpzvOdq1sFimt4YdrqI-  
  rMw0NIexsuVmqgQHgAjBlLhxfoeHDl4$  for graphic product...  
    
  ATTN...WFO...FGZ...SLC...PSR...VEF...LKN...  
    
  LAT...LON   38301327 37721304 37011287 36481286 35801298 35391314  
              34941342 34451386 34061425 33931463 33921497 34011517  
              34221541 34541562 35241593 36101614 36971610 37781603  
              38131585 38721542 38981491 39141448 38831367 38301327  
    
  MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH  
    
    
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   * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)