XPost: sac.politics, alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, talk.politics.guns   
   XPost: alt.global-warming   
   From: democrat-criminals@mail.house.gov   
      
   https://gvwire.com/2021/09/22/california-desperate-for-fossil-fuel-to-   
   keep-the-lights-on/   
      
   The state that says it will be fully powered by renewables by 2045 has   
   asked the federal government to find an electric reliability emergency   
   which “requires intervention … to preserve the reliability of bulk   
   electric power” in California. Following the request, the state’s grid   
   operator issued two straight days of flex alerts, asking for voluntary   
   energy conservation.   
      
   In a letter to U.S. Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm dated Sept. 7,   
   the Independent System Operator requested and received an emergency order   
   that would allow it “to dispatch additional generation that may be   
   necessary for the CAISO to meet demand in the face of extremely   
   challenging conditions including extreme heatwaves, multiple fires, high   
   winds, and various grid issues.”   
      
   Grid Managers Ask for Natural Gas to Avoid Blackouts   
   Did CAISO ask for an additional 200 megawatts of power, enough to light   
   200,000 homes, from windmills? Or solar panels? No, it needed electricity   
   from natural gas.   
      
   Yes, that natural gas. The source that policymakers across California are   
   determined to eliminate from the state’s energy portfolio.   
      
   California’s recurring energy problems don’t inspire confidence that it   
   will actually meet the 2045 renewables-only goal.   
      
   Last year the state was hit with rolling blackouts for the first time in   
   nearly two decades. This year, at least a half dozen flex alerts   
   encouraging customers to “set thermostats to 78 degrees or higher,” “avoid   
   using major appliances, like dishwashers and clothes washers and dryers,”   
   and “turn off all unnecessary lights” have been issued. How can officials   
   expect to meet electricity demand in 2045, which will be in an era of   
   significantly higher consumption, if demand is straining the grid in 2021?   
      
   Related Story: Opinion: Here Comes Drought Again, Why Is California Never   
   Ready?   
      
   California Imports 33% of Power   
   It’s almost a certainty that California will have to buy electricity from   
   other states in 2045 and beyond. It already imports a third of its power;   
   more than any other state. While much of what is imported from the   
   Northwest is generated by renewables, according to the U.S. Energy   
   Information Administration, imports from Arizona, Baja California,   
   Colorado, Mexico, Nevada, New Mexico, Texas, and Utah include “natural   
   gas, nuclear energy, coal, or other, unspecified, resources,” as well as   
   renewables.   
      
   “About 10% of California’s total electricity imports are from coal-fired   
   power plants,” says the EIA, though essentially all of the state’s   
   “imports of coal-fired generation are projected to end by 2026.”   
      
   We’ll see. Again, if California is having trouble with its current lineup   
   of power sources, how will it meet increased demand in a short five years   
   unless it relies on cheap, reliable fossil fuels?   
      
   Though “no one knows for sure how much solar and wind will be needed, or   
   if it will be there, because of technological constraints and the variable   
   and intermittent nature of solar and land-use requirements,” says Todd   
   Royal, co-author of three books on energy, to be fully renewable as   
   planned by 2045, output from those sources will have to not only be   
   doubled or even tripled but likely more than quadrupled.   
      
   Including geothermal, roughly 38% of California’s in-state-generated   
   electricity was produced by renewable sources last year. But we can   
   exclude large hydroelectric power (9.4% of the renewables portfolio) from   
   the future, because it will not be welcomed in the mix. That will leave   
   solar (currently a little more than 13%) and wind (about 11%) to carry the   
   bulk of in-state generation.   
      
   That’s no easy hill to climb. The California Energy Commission admits that   
   achieving “clean electricity generation capacity” will require “a record-   
   breaking rate” of development “for the next 25 years.” The renewables   
   crusade will also need to overcome NIMBYs, who have banded together to   
   stop and delay wind and solar projects worldwide.   
      
   Don’t Be Surprised if Utility Rates Double or Triple   
   And there’s the grid itself, which has neither the “capability nor   
   capacity to add large amounts of renewables,” says Royal. Because   
   California’s is already “one of America’s least-reliable electric grids,”   
   according to energy writer Robert Bryce, “restricting the use of natural   
   gas” means it will inevitably be subject to an increased demand for   
   electricity, which will undermine its already shaky reliability. The clean   
   energy transition will simply have to wait “until brand new grids are   
   built,” says Royal.   
      
   Whether the transition goes as planned, or stalls as some expect, the   
   process will be painful. “Rapid reductions in natural gas consumption,”   
   says Bryce, “could cause rates to double or triple.”   
      
   One wonders how much the green zealots care about that, if they even care   
   at all.   
      
   About the Author   
      
   Kerry Jackson is a fellow with the Center for California Reform at the   
   Pacific Research Institute. He wrote this exclusively for GV Wire.   
      
      
      
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