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|    alt.politics.economics    |    "Its the economy, stupid"    |    345,379 messages    |
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|    Message 343,469 of 345,379    |
|    davidp to All    |
|    =?UTF-8?Q?Banks_Aren=E2=80=99t_Busting_t    |
|    04 Apr 23 23:57:31    |
      From: lessgovt@gmail.com              Banks Aren’t Busting the Economy, Politics Is Busting Banks       By Joseph C. Sternberg, March 23, 2023, WSJ              We’re in the grip of a banking crisis, although it’s not what you think.       What’s in the news now is an emerging, slow-rolling bank panic prompted by a       mass repricing of risk as interest rates rise. The crisis is something       different—a crisis of        banking, caused by the reality that “banks” aren’t really banks in the       way they used to be.              The bailout brigade forming itself in response to the panic wants you to       ignore this bigger crisis. The financial great and good, from hedge-fund       supremo Bill Ackman and Twitter money-loser Elon Musk to Treasury Secretary       Janet Yellen and Sen. Elizabeth        Warren, have emerged to offer variations of the same argument: Washington must       act in various ways to bail out the banks lest Main Street businesses suffer.              The image of banking embedded in their call to action is something out of       “It’s a Wonderful Life”—the friendly local institution engaged in       bread-and-butter lending to the local economy to support local businesses and       create local jobs. But it        has been several decades since American banks and Main Street enjoyed this       sort of relationship.              Instead, banks serve Main Street less and less. Banks’ share of total       commercial and industrial lending has drifted downward since the 1990s and now       rests at around 22% of such credit, according to UBS. A variety of reasons       account for this. Diversity        is a strength of the U.S. financial system, and deregulation over the years       means borrowers can choose among a variety of different sorts of lenders, only       some of which are traditional banks.              It’s a good thing they can, since those nonbank lenders have been able to       offer ever more attractive terms, relatively speaking, as traditional banks of       all sizes have faced ever costlier regulation. Attractive lending terms—and       banks’ struggle to        offer them—become only more important considering the headwinds facing the       small businesses we imagine applying for loans from George Bailey. These       include but aren’t limited to taxation and regulation (the latter of which       has, since the Obama        administration, tended to outrank “poor sales” as a small-business concern       affecting borrowing decisions). America now chronically struggles to unlock       productive private-sector investment.              What’s a bank to do, then? Something other than Main Street business       lending. Commercial and industrial lending by all banks as a proportion of       their total assets has drifted downward, to around 13% before the pandemic       from above 20% throughout the        1980s. The situation is roughly the same at the largest banks and at smaller       ones.              Banks instead have turned to other means of earning a living. The past 40       years has seen an explosion in lending related to real estate, which since       1987 has accounted for a larger portion of banks’ total assets than business       lending and even after the        post-2008 banking cleanup occupied twice as much space on bank balance sheets       as did business lending as of 2019.              Securities such as Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by the       government also have become a mainstay of the banking system. The last time       business loans exceeded securities holdings as a proportion of bank balance       sheets was the early        1990s, and securities accounted for nearly 22% of all assets on the cusp of       the pandemic.              This is indicative of a deeper economic dysfunction born of the combination of       extended periods of unusually low interest rates, costly bank regulations that       stifle business lending and still don’t avert panics, the tax and red-tape       burdens on the        productive private economy, terrible energy policies and so much more.              Rampant real-estate lending in particular is both symptom and cause of a       breakdown in productivity growth. It signals the economy is pouring ever       greater resources into one of its least productive corners.              The problem here isn’t so much what greedy banks do to the U.S. economy.       It’s what the U.S. economy has done to the banks. If you make it harder for       them to earn a buck the old-fashioned way (taking deposits at 3%, lending at       6%, and hitting the golf        course by 3 p.m.), they’ll have to try to earn it in a novel way.              This helps explain why several decades of monetary, fiscal and regulatory       policies that have tended to suppress productivity growth on Main Street also       have made Wall Street vulnerable to more and riskier panics far in excess of       the normal business        cycles we used to have.              Alas, fixing the banks once and for all would require fixing the economy, and       there’s a reason the economy is broken: Too many politicians of both parties       still believe their electoral prospects benefit from the policies that       undermine Main Street        growth.              Far easier, then, for politicians to orchestrate serial bailouts of banks that       will continue to require them until we manage to restore the economy’s       underlying productivity and dynamism. Taxpayers who rightly bristle at the       cost should at least        understand which errors we’re paying the price for.              https://www.wsj.com/articles/banks-arent-busting-the-economy-pol       tics-is-busting-banks-regulation-commercial-industrial-real-esta       e-lending-main-street-7bbaf04f              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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