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|    alt.politics.economics    |    "Its the economy, stupid"    |    345,379 messages    |
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|    Message 343,479 of 345,379    |
|    davidp to All    |
|    For the First Time, the Fed Is Losing Mo    |
|    05 Apr 23 13:12:23    |
      From: lessgovt@gmail.com              For the First Time, the Fed Is Losing Money       By Paul H. Kupiec and Alex J. Pollock, March 26, 2023, WSJ              Like all central banks, the Federal Reserve was designed to make money for the       government from its monopoly on issuing currency. The Fed did generate       profits, which it sent to the Treasury, every year from 1916 on—until last       fall. In a development        previously unheard of, the Federal Reserve has suffered operating losses of       about $42 billion since September 2022.              That month, the massive interest-rate risk created by the Fed’s       asset-liability maturity mismatch began generating cash-operating losses, and       the losses now average $7 billion a month. This is because the Fed’s       trillions of dollars of long-term        investments yield 2% but cost 4.6% to finance. The Fed will soon have negative       equity capital, and as operating losses continue to mount, its equity-capital       deficit will grow.              In a July 15, 2022, note, the Fed’s Board of Governors discussed the       possibility that the system could incur substantial operating losses as it       increased interest rates to fight inflation. The Fed tried to play down the       importance of the issue, arguing        that its “mandate is neither to make profits nor to avoid losses”—a       deflection that is disappointingly transparent to anyone familiar with central       banking.              The Fed traditionally avoided policies that would expose it to significant       losses. In the early years, member banks could borrow from reserve banks only       by posting specific collateral. The Federal Reserve Act required loans to be       backed by qualifying        short-term self-liquidating bills—what today we call commercial paper. Over       time, loan collateral requirements evolved, but as they did, the Fed       introduced policies to protect it from losses when lending to member banks.              When Congress or the executive branch tapped the Fed for emergency loans to       avert a wider financial crisis, it sought government guarantees to protect       itself from default losses. Franklin D. Roosevelt’s administration asked the       Fed to stand ready to        provide loans to banks that were allowed to reopen after the 1933 national       bank holiday. Instead of lending directly to these banks, the Fed proposed       that it lend to the Reconstruction Finance Corp., which could then lend the       proceeds to the newly        reopened banks—because the RFC had an explicit federal-government guarantee       that would protect the Federal Reserve system from potential losses should a       newly reopened bank fail.              Similarly, the Fed’s special lending programs in response to the 2008 and       2020 financial crises were undertaken only after the Treasury allocated funds       to absorb losses the Fed might incur from emergency loans. The latest Fed       special lending facility,        announced on March 12, also protects the Fed from lending losses. The first       $25 billion of losses incurred by this new emergency program (which lends       banks the par value of their underwater mortgage-backed securities and       Treasurys) will be covered by the        Treasury.              Avoiding credit losses is a requirement Congress added to the Federal Reserve       Act in 2010. Section 1101 of the Dodd-Frank Act requires the Federal Reserve       Board to establish “policies and procedures . . . designed to ensure that       any emergency lending        program or facility . . . protect taxpayers from losses.” Federal reserve       banks are also mandated to assign “a lendable value to all collateral for a       loan executed by a Federal reserve bank . . . in determining whether the loan       is secured        satisfactorily.”              While the Federal Reserve Act requires the Fed to avoid taking credit related       losses that could have an impact on taxpayers, it makes no mention of losses       from interest-rate risk exposures. The act’s authors never imagined such       losses. Monetary policy        was all but assured to generate Fed profits prior to 2008. That changed once       the Fed started paying banks interest on their reserve balances and making       large open market purchases of long-maturity Treasurys and mortgage-backed       securities.              Fed losses from its interest-rate-risk exposures—unrecognized taxpayer       losses—are now being realized in ways Congress never intended and at       magnitudes neither the Congress nor the Fed ever expected.              Mr. Kupiec is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. Mr.       Pollock is a senior fellow at the Mises Institute and a co-author of       “Surprised Again! The Covid Crisis and the New Market Bubble.”              https://www.wsj.com/articles/for-the-first-time-the-fed-is-losin       -money-mortage-backed-securities-treasurys-interest-rate-risk-svb-ad92e96f              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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