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|    alt.politics.economics    |    "Its the economy, stupid"    |    345,374 messages    |
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|    Message 344,021 of 345,374    |
|    davidp to All    |
|    =?UTF-8?Q?How_Bad_Is_China=E2=80=99s_Eco    |
|    04 Aug 23 13:32:38    |
      From: lessgovt@gmail.com              How Bad Is China’s Economy? Millions of Young People Are Unemployed and       Disillusioned       By Brian Spegele, July 26, 2023, WSJ       HEFEI, China—More than one in five young people in China are jobless. The       government casts much of the blame on the job seekers themselves, insisting       that their expectations have gotten too high.              Young people need to stiffen their spines and embrace hardship, says leader Xi       Jinping, who labored in the countryside in China’s Cultural Revolution. If       they can’t find jobs they want, they should work on factory lines or engage       in poverty relief in        rural China.              The government’s guidance is ringing hollow with many young people. Growing       up in a period of rising prosperity, they were told that China was strong, the       West was declining and endless opportunities awaited them. Now, with the urban       youth unemployment        rate hitting a record of 21.3% in June, their employment frustrations are       posing a new challenge to Xi and his vision for a more powerful China.              For the estimated 11.6 million college graduates in 2023, having heeded calls       by the state to study hard, the prospect of resorting to the physical labor       that many of their parents performed is distinctly unappealing.              China’s State Council Information Office, which handles media inquiries for       senior leaders, didn’t respond to a request for comment.              In the city of Hefei, a hub of universities 250 miles west of Shanghai,       23-year-old Liu Xingyu chafes at the criticism by older people that Chinese       youths are too picky.              “They’re not from our generation, and they don’t understand us, so their       opinions don’t matter much to us,” said Liu, who recently quit her first       job out of college a few months after starting and joined the ranks of       China’s young unemployed.              Liu studied communications engineering at college because she saw it as a       practical choice that would help her secure steady work. As graduation neared,       the best she could find was a cellphone sales management training program at a       shopping mall, earning        the equivalent of $630 a month, about half the city’s average income. When       the company later offered her a full-time gig, she said, it wanted to cut her       base salary by more than half, prompting her to quit.              The problem isn’t that jobs don’t exist in China. They do. With its       shrinking population, China needs workers as much as ever. It is that       China’s weakened economy isn’t producing enough of the high-skill,       high-wage jobs that many college students        have come to expect.              This is especially so after Xi’s targeting of the private sector in recent       years with regulatory crackdowns on technology and other companies.              Disenchanted, many young people are opting out of the job market entirely, or       “lying flat,” as many of them call it. Chinese media has recently featured       articles about young “drifters” who live hand-to-mouth and pick up odd       jobs as they roam the        country.              Many of those who still want to work have soured on the private sector, with       surging numbers of people sitting for the country’s civil-service exam for a       chance at a low-paid, but stable, role in China’s bureaucracy.              The true level of China’s unemployment rate for young people ages 16 to 24       may be even higher than indicated by official data. Zhang Dandan, a Peking       University economist, estimated the real youth unemployment rate in March       could have reached 46.5%,        compared with the official figure that month of less than 20%, if the millions       of people who aren’t participating in the workforce also were counted.              For now, the mood among the young unemployed is more apathy than anger,       especially with many parents pitching in to cover their living costs.              Longer term, the risk is that millions of unemployed people will lose the       ambition China needs to achieve Xi’s goal of rejuvenating the country as a       great power, and will struggle on the fringes of society as potential threats       to the Communist Party.              Without stable work, many Chinese are putting off getting married and having       children, worsening the country’s demographic problems. Some scholars warn       about the emergence of a class of “new poor” in China who live off their       parents, and could        destabilize society.              “Because the ‘new poor’ have long been living in exclusion, oblivion and       boredom, their main mental states have become irritable, antisocial and       violent,” said Sun Feng, a Tsinghua University sociologist, in a recent       commentary on a prominent        party website. “These will be the primary factors that breed social       instability.”              Asked recently about the joblessness of young people, China’s Minister of       Education Huai Jinpeng said Xi attached considerable importance to the issue       of unemployment. Huai said that conceptions of work were changing in China,       with some young people        seeking more flexibility.              “But at the same time, we prefer a more positive view of employment,       understanding society, dedicating youth and creating value through practice       and employment,” he said.              While Xi retains widespread popular support in China, some young people’s       frustrations about his tight control on society and the economy burst into the       open last November when street protests over the country’s Covid policies       erupted in Beijing,        Shanghai and other cities.               Job-market anxiety was evident in Hefei last week, where thousands of       graduates flooded into a jobs fair organized by the local government.       Companies advertised sought-after office roles such as in graphic design or       account management. Images of Xi        mingling with students flashed on a large screen overhead.              With so much competition, companies could be picky.              “Dude, you might not be the right fit,” the recruiter of a popular local       restaurant chain told one young man, who then walked away.              Across town, a recruitment center that helps job seekers land factory work was       practically deserted. Many young college graduates don’t want to work on       assembly lines, said Wu You, an employee of the recruitment center, even       though such jobs can pay as        much as or more than entry-level white-collar ones.                     [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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