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|    alt.politics.economics    |    "Its the economy, stupid"    |    345,374 messages    |
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|    Message 344,404 of 345,374    |
|    davidp to All    |
|    The Free Tradin' Hedge Fund That Made a     |
|    30 Sep 23 22:16:53    |
      From: lessgovt@gmail.com              The Hedge Fund That Made a Killing Betting Against Lina Khan       By Caitlin McCabe and Ben Dummett, Sept. 24, 2023, WSJ       The efforts by Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan to protect Main Street       are inadvertently enriching some on Wall Street, generating outsize profits       for Pentwater Capital Management and other large hedge funds that bet on       merger deals.              For the past two years, Khan has pursued an aggressive strategy as head of       Biden’s antitrust agency, attempting to block proposed deals including       Microsoft’s acquisition of videogame maker Activision Blizzard and Amgen’s       pursuit of drugmaker        Horizon Therapeutics.               In both cases, the FTC’s intervention spooked investors and sent shares of       the target companies swinging. This phenomenon complicated the playbook for a       group of hedge funds whose main strategy relies on wagering that mergers and       acquisitions will        succeed or fail.              Yet for a handful of firms willing to stomach the volatility, the FTC’s       antitrust efforts have yielded an unexpected windfall.              Their strategy? Betting big against Khan.              Florida-based Pentwater stands to be a large winner from the FTC’s recent       failed bid to block the Amgen-Horizon deal. It built a stake of almost 7% in       Horizon after the drugmaker began fielding takeover interest last year.               Pentwater is estimated to have scored around $100 million on its Horizon trade       on paper, according to an analysis of the hedge fund’s public filings. It       also holds stock valued at more than $1 billion in Activision and in Seagen,       the biotech company        that agreed to sell itself to Pfizer—and is betting that outstanding bids       for each of them will ultimately survive FTC and other regulatory scrutiny and       close successfully.              D.E. Shaw Group is also among the funds that stood their ground following the       FTC lawsuit against Horizon. The New York-based firm steadily increased its       position and currently holds more than $500 million in the shares, filings       show. Other funds that        bet on Horizon include Farallon Capital Management and HBK Capital Management,       according to public filings.              “Because of the FTC’s lawsuit, we have had the ability to take something       that would have made tens of millions of dollars and instead make many, many       times that amount,” said Matt Halbower, Pentwater’s chief executive.               Halbower, a Harvard Law School graduate with a degree in electrical       engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, launched Pentwater       in 2007, after stints at hedge fund Citadel and the now-closed Deephaven       Capital Management. His firm is        named after Pentwater, Mich., on the shoreline of Lake Michigan, near where       Halbower grew up and where he and his wife spent their honeymoon.              Pentwater last year scooped up shares of Twitter, now X, in a wager that Elon       Musk would ultimately acquire the company, and it was a vocal opponent of Rio       Tinto’s takeover of Turquoise Hill Resources, a Canadian miner.              Pentwater was also among the firms that committed to the private investment in       public equity, or PIPE, raised to take former President Donald Trump’s       social-media company public through a blank-check merger. (The deal hasn’t       closed, however, and        Pentwater ultimately hasn’t invested and likely won’t.)              Since its inception, Pentwater, which oversees close to $5 billion, has       averaged a net return of more than 11% annually, according to a person       familiar with the matter. By comparison, the HFRI Event-Driven Index generated       an annualized net return of 4.47%        from January 2007 through August 2023, according to research firm HFR.              Pentwater’s investment in Horizon started as it often does for M&A deals:       The hedge fund spotted a report in The Wall Street Journal—in this case, a       late-November article saying that the drug company was holding takeover talks.       Halbower’s aim was        simple: Pile in shares early, then profit if the acquisition closed and       Horizon’s shares rose to their agreed-upon deal price.              From late November through mid-May, Pentwater purchased more than seven       million shares in the drugmaker, constructing what Halbower said was his       largest risk position at the time. But Halbower was also monitoring what he       called a “difficult to predict        regulator”—the FTC.               Aware that the agency had moved to block Microsoft’s acquisition of       Activision, he bought bearish options contracts on Horizon’s stock, offering       Pentwater protection on its position in case the FTC were to intervene.              The FTC’s lawsuit arrived on May 16. As other investors rushed for the       exits, Horizon’s shares plunged nearly 20%. Pentwater’s options position       offered some protection, while Halbower began reading the FTC’s lawsuit. His       takeaway: Buy more shares.              “It was just clear from reading the complaint that the government wouldn’t       be able to prove its case,” Halbower said. “I was very surprised that the       FTC would bring such a weak case.”               In its lawsuit, the commission argued that Amgen could illegally bundle its       products with Horizon’s medicines for thyroid eye disease and gout to       entrench its dominance of the top-selling therapies.               Halbower believed the FTC argument was flawed because there was no precedent       and because Amgen had told the agency that it wouldn’t bundle Horizon       products. He added over two million shares at an average price of slightly       more than $93 each following        news of the FTC suit—and then kept buying.              Earlier this month, the FTC agreed to end its legal challenge of the deal as       part of a proposed settlement with Amgen, paving the way for the company’s       acquisition of Horizon to close as soon as next month.               Horizon’s shares finished Friday up 0.1% at $115.61—below Amgen’s       proposed $116.50 per share price—offering more upside for Pentwater’s       stake. Pentwater now owns more than 15 million shares in Horizon, according to       regulatory filings compiled        by research firm M&A Monitor.              The regulator defended its opposition to the Amgen-Horizon deal and the       resulting settlement.              “The FTC got extensive, binding agreements on all the concerns we raised,”       FTC spokesman Douglas Farrar said in an email. “The Amgen-Horizon settlement       is a legal victory for the FTC but more importantly, a big win for Americans       who need access to        affordable medicine.”                     [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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