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|    alt.politics.economics    |    "Its the economy, stupid"    |    345,374 messages    |
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|    Message 345,054 of 345,374    |
|    P. Coonan to All    |
|    US economy could 'overheat' under Donald    |
|    09 Nov 24 00:03:25    |
      XPost: alt.politics.trump, alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, talk.politics.guns       XPost: sac.politics, talk.politics.misc       From: nospam@ix.netcom.com              Pimco, one of the world’s biggest bond fund managers, has warned that US       president-elect Donald Trump’s economic plans could lead to the economy       “overheating” and could halt interest rate cuts, posing a danger for       stocks that shot up in the wake of his presidential election victory.Dan       Ivascyn, chief investment officer at Pimco, said US equity markets could       suffer a reversal after rising sharply on the Republican candidate’s       emphatic win. The S&P and Nasdaq Composite indices both surged to fresh       record highs this week in anticipation of tax cuts, looser regulation and       trade tariffs.But such “reflationary” policies, in a US economy that       already has “a lot of momentum”, have the potential to feed through into       inflation, he warned.“It’s not as simple and easy as just a one-way       reflationary trade where risk assets should rejoice,” Ivascyn told the       Financial Times.“You want to be a little careful about what you wish for,”       he said. With US inflation still stuck above the Federal Reserve’s target,       “there is some risk that some of this exuberance can work its way back       into both inflationary expectations or actual inflation”.He said Trump’s       policies “are coming at a time where you already have a lot of positive       growth momentum, they could lead to this overheating”.Ivascyn’s comments       echo concerns held by some other investors and strategists that the       reaction to this week’s election result across riskier asset classes       stands at odds with the potential for rising inflation and a prolonged       period of tight monetary policy. Expectations on the path of US interest       rates have been a key driver of US markets in recent years.While the S&P       500 has risen by more than 4 per cent this week, putting it on course for       its biggest weekly gain this year, Trump’s victory has also pushed bitcoin       to record highs and driven junk bond spreads — the premium paid by low-       grade borrowers to issue debt over the Treasury — to a 17-year low.              https://www.ft.com/content/cc2a0e34-2ee8-4567-945d-7b57bd266844              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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