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   alt.politics.economics      "Its the economy, stupid"      345,379 messages   

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   Message 345,308 of 345,379   
   Pelosi Goes To prison to All   
   Trump Wins Big Again with Argentina Peso   
   19 Nov 25 22:53:19   
   
   XPost: alt.politics.trump, alt.politics.republicans, sac.politics   
   XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, talk.politics.guns   
   From: noreply@mixmin.net   
      
   When the Trump administration announced a $20 billion currency swap with   
   Argentina in early October, liberal media pundits and elected Democrats   
   quickly branded it a “bailout” for a country long associated with fiscal   
   crises and repeated defaults. But the naysayers appear to be wrong once   
   again, and Trump’s deft move looks to be another victory for the master   
   of the “art of the deal.”   
      
   What critics branded a simple bailout was actually a shrewd,   
   revenue-positive deal that strengthened America’s hand abroad without   
   costing taxpayers like most foreign aid. Through the currency-swap   
   arrangement, the U.S. Treasury agreed to temporarily exchange dollars   
   for Argentine pesos, essentially giving Argentina access to U.S.   
   currency to stabilize its economy while holding the pesos as collateral   
   and charging interest.   
      
   Unlike a handout, this swap operates like a secured loan: the U.S. gets   
   its dollars back with profit (assuming the Argentine economy recovers),   
   and American taxpayers face minimal risk. Treasury Secretary Scott   
   Bessent has already confirmed the U.S. earned money on the deal.   
      
   Just as importantly, the U.S. has reasserted its influence in Latin   
   America, countering China’s growing financial foothold in the region   
   without committing a dime in foreign aid. Far from a bailout, Trump’s   
   move looks to be a textbook example of how to turn smart diplomacy into   
   a win-win for America’s economy and global position.   
      
   The political logic behind the currency swap came into focus late last   
   month. In the October 26 midterm elections, Argentine voters handed   
   President Javier Milei a decisive victory, giving his coalition enough   
   seats in Congress to protect his priorities and advance his austerity   
   and pro-market reforms.   
      
   Trump had explicitly tied continued U.S. support to the performance of   
   Milei’s governing coalition in those elections. The swap was never an   
   open-ended rescue package; it was a conditional, structured bet on a   
   leader intent on slashing inflation, shrinking the government, and   
   aligning Argentina more closely with the United States instead of   
   backsliding into failed socialist policies that could destabilize the   
   entire region.   
      
   Analysts speculate roughly $2.7 billion from the swap reimbursed earlier   
   U.S. interventions in Argentina’s foreign-exchange market, and that   
   Washington likely sold peso-denominated notes at a profit, further   
   weakening the “bailout” narrative. Rather than a one-way transfer of   
   American money to a troubled government, the swap has so far looked like   
   a profitable short-term financial move.   
      
   Much of the backlash to the U.S.–Argentina deal stemmed from a   
   misunderstanding of how a currency swap works. It is not an outright   
   loan. Instead of sending cash to a foreign government, the United States   
   exchanged dollars for peso-denominated notes issued by Argentina’s   
   central bank. The Treasury earns a return on those instruments and has   
   no obligation to extend additional support. Exchange Stabilization Fund   
   (ESF) transactions like this are built for foreign-exchange operations,   
   not for subsidizing failing governments.   
      
   The swap also made economic sense given what Javier Milei inherited. As   
   the Cato Institute noted, Argentina has endured repeated currency   
   collapses caused by chronic peso manipulation and deficit financing.   
   Milei took office facing 211 percent inflation, a quasi-fiscal deficit   
   near 15 percent of GDP, collapsing reserves, and recession.   
      
   Since then, his reforms have shown big results. According to The New   
   York Times, inflation has fallen to about 30 percent, federal spending   
   has been cut roughly 30 percent, the number of ministries has been   
   reduced from 19 to 9, about 55,000 public-sector jobs have been   
   eliminated, and Argentina posted its first budget surplus in 14 years.   
      
   Trump, in other words, didn’t throw money at a failing government – he   
   supported a leader who is restoring fiscal discipline and aligning more   
   closely with the United States. The swap gives Milei room to continue   
   those reforms while the peso continues to steady.   
      
   Trump’s asymmetric risk approach is not new. It mirrors the Intel deal   
   he forged earlier this year, another policy critics lambasted until the   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
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    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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