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|    alt.politics.economics    |    "Its the economy, stupid"    |    345,379 messages    |
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|    Message 345,308 of 345,379    |
|    Pelosi Goes To prison to All    |
|    Trump Wins Big Again with Argentina Peso    |
|    19 Nov 25 22:53:19    |
      XPost: alt.politics.trump, alt.politics.republicans, sac.politics       XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, talk.politics.guns       From: noreply@mixmin.net              When the Trump administration announced a $20 billion currency swap with       Argentina in early October, liberal media pundits and elected Democrats       quickly branded it a “bailout” for a country long associated with fiscal       crises and repeated defaults. But the naysayers appear to be wrong once       again, and Trump’s deft move looks to be another victory for the master       of the “art of the deal.”              What critics branded a simple bailout was actually a shrewd,       revenue-positive deal that strengthened America’s hand abroad without       costing taxpayers like most foreign aid. Through the currency-swap       arrangement, the U.S. Treasury agreed to temporarily exchange dollars       for Argentine pesos, essentially giving Argentina access to U.S.       currency to stabilize its economy while holding the pesos as collateral       and charging interest.              Unlike a handout, this swap operates like a secured loan: the U.S. gets       its dollars back with profit (assuming the Argentine economy recovers),       and American taxpayers face minimal risk. Treasury Secretary Scott       Bessent has already confirmed the U.S. earned money on the deal.              Just as importantly, the U.S. has reasserted its influence in Latin       America, countering China’s growing financial foothold in the region       without committing a dime in foreign aid. Far from a bailout, Trump’s       move looks to be a textbook example of how to turn smart diplomacy into       a win-win for America’s economy and global position.              The political logic behind the currency swap came into focus late last       month. In the October 26 midterm elections, Argentine voters handed       President Javier Milei a decisive victory, giving his coalition enough       seats in Congress to protect his priorities and advance his austerity       and pro-market reforms.              Trump had explicitly tied continued U.S. support to the performance of       Milei’s governing coalition in those elections. The swap was never an       open-ended rescue package; it was a conditional, structured bet on a       leader intent on slashing inflation, shrinking the government, and       aligning Argentina more closely with the United States instead of       backsliding into failed socialist policies that could destabilize the       entire region.              Analysts speculate roughly $2.7 billion from the swap reimbursed earlier       U.S. interventions in Argentina’s foreign-exchange market, and that       Washington likely sold peso-denominated notes at a profit, further       weakening the “bailout” narrative. Rather than a one-way transfer of       American money to a troubled government, the swap has so far looked like       a profitable short-term financial move.              Much of the backlash to the U.S.–Argentina deal stemmed from a       misunderstanding of how a currency swap works. It is not an outright       loan. Instead of sending cash to a foreign government, the United States       exchanged dollars for peso-denominated notes issued by Argentina’s       central bank. The Treasury earns a return on those instruments and has       no obligation to extend additional support. Exchange Stabilization Fund       (ESF) transactions like this are built for foreign-exchange operations,       not for subsidizing failing governments.              The swap also made economic sense given what Javier Milei inherited. As       the Cato Institute noted, Argentina has endured repeated currency       collapses caused by chronic peso manipulation and deficit financing.       Milei took office facing 211 percent inflation, a quasi-fiscal deficit       near 15 percent of GDP, collapsing reserves, and recession.              Since then, his reforms have shown big results. According to The New       York Times, inflation has fallen to about 30 percent, federal spending       has been cut roughly 30 percent, the number of ministries has been       reduced from 19 to 9, about 55,000 public-sector jobs have been       eliminated, and Argentina posted its first budget surplus in 14 years.              Trump, in other words, didn’t throw money at a failing government – he       supported a leader who is restoring fiscal discipline and aligning more       closely with the United States. The swap gives Milei room to continue       those reforms while the peso continues to steady.              Trump’s asymmetric risk approach is not new. It mirrors the Intel deal       he forged earlier this year, another policy critics lambasted until the              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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