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|    alt.politics.clinton    |    Slick Willy and his even slicker wife    |    65,031 messages    |
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|    Message 64,903 of 65,031    |
|    norm to All    |
|    For Liberals, a Familiar Sinking (Hillar    |
|    14 Oct 24 02:12:52    |
      XPost: talk.politics.guns, sac.politics, or.politics       XPost: comp.os.linux.advocacy       From: invalid@gmail.com              Jamiee Peterson has never voted in a "non-Trump America."              A registered Democrat in Colorado, Peterson was a 20-year-old junior at       the University of Colorado-Boulder when Donald Trump was elected in 2016.              "I was excited to vote in 2016 cause I thought no way he would win,"       Peterson told Newsweek in an interview.              She recalled that Election Night, watching the returns come in with her       college roommates and feeling scared and hopeless when they realized       Hillary Clinton was going to lose. "We drank a lot of wine after. We all       did not want Trump to win."              "It's been a steady decline in hopefulness since then," she said.              Liberals and Democrats of all stripes are remarking to each other in       group chats, dinner conversations and social media posts about the       familiar feeling of despair creeping in as Election Day nears. A       pit-in-the-stomach dread that has overtaken the joy and relief so many       felt after Kamala Harris replaced a faltering Joe Biden at the top of       the ticket this summer.              November 8, 2016 still rents space for free in the heads of many such       voters. The day that Clinton supporters believed the nation would elect       its first female president was the day that Trump would pull off the       biggest political upset in American history.              He would not only prove the polls and pundits wrong, but would also       shake the confidence of Democrats who knew — just knew — that someone       like Trump could not get elected, regardless of how flawed their       candidate might be.              But unlike that landmark election nearly a decade ago, Democrats have       something working in their favor this time around: their anxiety.              Clinton's ascent to the presidency was considered by many to be a       foregone conclusion eight years ago. Such a sure thing that the number       of registered voters who stayed home on Election Day was probably enough       to cost her the election.              This year, by contrast, no liberal in America thinks Kamala Harris has       things locked up. And that could help juice turnout where it's needed       most, from western Pennsylvania to the suburbs of Atlanta.              Joy Turns to Fear       The liberal "bedwetting," to use a term coined by Obama campaign manager       David Plouffe, has exhausted Emily Clemons.              A registered Democrat in New York who works in sales, Clemons, 28, told       Newsweek she's tired of seeing politics flood her Instagram feed, of       hearing about how close the race is when she turns on the radio, of       playing worst-case scenario with her friends.              And yet, Clemons said, "We can't stop worrying about it because so much       is at stake."              "I truly believe [Trump] will continue to undo some of the       constitutional rights and perpetuate a sense of fear, disrespect to       minority groups, and bring more instability to an already extremely       fragile and divided country," she said.              Peterson, from Colorado, echoed those concerns.              "I'm honestly just scared things will never go back to how they were,       having debates where the parties are professional, respectful and       actually care about the people they're representing," she said.              "It's become a whole spectacle and it's so polarized that it does scare       me how far back things can go in terms of policies I would've thought       would never be overturned."              "I don't feel optimistic about the election," she added. "As much as I       would like to think the Democrats will win, I really think the rage-bait       and fear mongering Trump creates has seized a lot of Americans and put a       lot of distrust in the whole election process as a whole."              Anna Holcombe, a lawyer and registered Democrat in New York, said she       felt more angry than dejected about the state of the race.              "The amount of people that claim to be sitting this one out, because       they dislike both candidates is not only scary, it is infuriating,"       Holcombe, 38, told Newsweek.              "I really try to understand people's reasoning for things based upon       their different lived experiences, even if I disagree. But to be faced       with the options we have and think 'nah, not for me' is honestly       disgraceful, and a dereliction of one's duty to their neighbors and       country."              Anger mixed with existential dread and anxiety is exactly the kind of       organizing principle that could fuel a massive turnout of the party's       base for Harris, said Steve Schier, a political scientist and author.              "That can be important in closely contested states," Schier told       Newsweek. "Combine that with voters' dislike of Trump and you have       powerful turnout motivations."              Fear is the biggest difference between the motivating factors for       Democrats and Republicans this cycle, according to Doug Gordon, the CEO       of UpShift Strategies, a left-leaning communications firm. It could be       that difference that decides an election that every political pundit       predicts will be won on the margins.              "Republicans might dislike – or even despise – Kamala Harris," Gordon       told Newsweek, but Democrats "flat out fear a second Donald Trump term."              "There is no question that fear, more than simple dislike, can be a real       motivator to vote," he said.              'Healthy Anxiety'       Since their collective traumatization in 2016, the Democratic base has       religiously showed up at the ballot box. They delivered a "blue wave" in       2018, ejected Trump in 2020 — when 85 percent of registered Democrats       who voted for a third party four years earlier pulled the lever for       Biden — and blunted a predicted "red wave" two years later.              In those midterm elections of 2022, a base of engaged, high-propensity       voters became an even more prominent fixture of Democratic politics       after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. The hope for Democrats       is that those reliable voters, many of whom are women of all races and       classes, remain engaged enough to vote in November.              "The anti-MAGA coalition, which has fueled Democratic victories in 2018,       2020 and 2022, is going to vote in this election. [Mean]while Trump and       Republicans are depending on far more irregular voters," Gordon said.              "At this point of the race, I'd much rather be depending on reliable       voters than irregular voters."              Eric Schmeltzer, a Los Angeles-based political communications       consultant, also expressed cautious optimism that Democratic anxiety       could fuel a turnout surprise in Harris' favor.              "Everyone is scarred by 2016. I'm no exception," said Schmeltzer, who       also served as the former press secretary to Howard Dean and       Representative Jerry Nadler. "But what we also need to remember is that       since 2016, Democrats have competed and, in many cases, over-performed."              "Some of the anxiety that Democratic voters have felt in successive       elections has ultimately contributed to a string of solid victories,"       added Brad Bauman, principal at the Raben Group and the former executive              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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