TID: Mystic BBS 1.12 A49
MSGID: 1:342/200 aacc6219
REPLY: 1:120/616 793643c2
TZUTC: -0700
 RL> But we have to beware of confirmational bias here.
 RL> 
 RL> Example:
 RL> A teacher hears a child in her class sneeze.  The next day, 5 kids in
 RL> the class are sick.  To the teacher, that's confirmation that viruses
 RL> exist and are contageous.
 RL> 
 RL> But that confirmation is biased because the teacher has ignored the
 RL> hundred other times that a child sneezed and **no** kids got sick. 
 RL> Because it was a non-event, while 5 children out sick at once was
 RL> something that stuck in the teacher's head.

Whenever possible, it's good to use the pychology to your advantage. A kid
sneezed? Just say to yourself "It's allergies."

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