XPost: soc.culture.usa, alt.politics.usa, talk.politics.theory   
   XPost: soc.rights.human, alt.politics.usa.misc   
   From: Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com   
      
   How few cases before one could think there would not be a liable epidemic?   
      
   They put the "stay-at-home" orders on, when there were less than 2,000 Active   
   Cases in the entire State of California.  There are now over 80,000 Active   
   Case in   
   that State.   
      
   At 2,500 New Cases Daily in California - which is what was yesterday, there   
   will   
   be 2,500 x 30 = 75,000 new cases at the end of the month.  150,000 new cases at   
   the end of two months, and 225,000 new cases at the end of three months, minus   
   recoveries.   
      
   At 20,000 New Cases Daily Nationwide, which is current (22,000), there will be   
   20,000 x 30 = 600,000 new cases at the end of the month, 1,200,000 new cases at   
   the end of two months, and 1,800,000 new cases at the end of three months,   
   minus   
   recoveries.   
      
   Deaths are running about 5%-6% of that, 5% of 1,800,000 = 90,000, 6% =   
   108,000. So   
   basically 100,000 more dead in 3 months.  Or 400,000 deaths per year ongoing.    
   At   
   30,000 Cases per day, it would be 100,000 in 2 months, or 600,000 deaths per   
   year.   
      
   And this is without people sitting in stuffy work rooms, restaurants or at   
   school.   
      
   Unless we eradicate, how can we "live" with this disease?   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)