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|    Message 102,594 of 102,769    |
|    Leroy N. Soetoro to All    |
|    The Democrats Begging Their Party to Dit    |
|    10 Nov 23 19:16:55    |
      XPost: alt.politics.elections, alt.politics.trump, alt.politics.democrats       XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, talk.politics.guns, sac.politics       From: democrat-criminals@mail.house.gov              https://time.com/6332506/democrats-2024-activist-left-elections/              This article is part of The D.C. Brief, TIME’s politics newsletter. Sign       up here to get stories like this sent to your inbox.              For the last few cycles, Democrats have taken too many of their supporters       for granted. As working-class voters suspected the party cared more about       woke jargon and performative ultimatums than the needs of their former       base, the thinking went that a new coalition of younger, progressive       activists steeped in campus activism would backfill the workers’ exodus.       All the while, communities of color were seen as permanent assets for the       Democratic column come Election Day. No one uses the term these days, but       a carbon-neutral iteration of limousine liberalism did Democrats no favors       in recent years.              That elitism, a compelling new book argues. has led to a party that is far       more at risk of following the Republican Party into an extremist spiral       that could take decades to steer out of than they’ve really recognized.       And as the trope goes: It’s the economy, stupid.              That’s the distilled take-away from John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira, a pair       of political historians who, 20 years ago, predicted the rise of the       coalition that put Barack Obama in power but failed to fully understand       what might follow afterward. In their new book, Where Have All the       Democrats Gone?: The Soul of the Party in the Age of Extremes, they argue       that Democrats blindly believed that they were coasting to a generation of       dominance based on their self-congratulating condescension toward white       working-class voters.              In a way, the finely written book counsels a return to New Deal populism       that prioritizes opportunity over identity politics, and inclusion over       tribalism. Lining up nicely with the 15th anniversary of Obama’s history-       making victory, and on the heels of polling from the New York Times that       has liberals panicked about Joe Biden's re-election prospects, it’s       tempting to consider how the once-ascendant Democratic majority found       itself adrift if not alone. The book also should be required reading for       every Democratic campaign manager in the field right now. Its warnings may       prove as ultimately ill-aging as Judis and Teixeira’s prophetic framework       of how someone like Obama could rise to power and change the party, but       they are some of the most well-considered and clear-eyed analyses of the       Democratic Party as it stands today. The following transcript of our       conversation last week has been edited and condensed.              TIME: So let's get at the premise of this book. Answer your question:       Where have the Democrats gone?              Judis: They've gone from a party that was rooted in the working class to a       party that has the appearance of an hourglass, with a lot of upscale       voters and upper-middle class professionals, and a lot of voters who are       not that well off, including a considerable number of minorities. But       what's missing is a lot of what used to be the middle of the party, which       is blue-collar workers, primarily white, Midwestern, and Southern.              Teixeira: We argue in the book Democrats have done best historically when       they've been seen as the party of the people, of the common man and woman,       of the ordinary American. It's increasingly not been the case the last       half century. We trace the economic divide between working-class and       college-educated people, and Democratic policies were implicated as the       labor movement declined and as they became increasingly susceptible to the       influence of the [interest] groups and Wall Street and Silicon Valley. We       trace the evolution of cultural radicalism, which is this sort of       diffusion out of the campuses of a rarefied vocabulary about race, gender,       and so on. A different attitude toward issues around crime and       immigration, and a general tendency to see everything in these       intersectional terms of oppression and oppressor, the marginalized or non-       marginalized.              TIME: Was there a breaking point for the Democratic Party?              Judis: It wasn't just one time. The first big change comes after Civil       Rights in the ‘60s. You really should look at the Nixon election where all       the George Wallace voters, many of whom were Democrats, go into the       Republicans. And it's not just a matter of segregation and desegregation.       It's also the counterculture, patriotism, acid, amnesty, and abortion.       Democrats lost out in the 1970s when Carter is unable to contain inflation       and unemployment and when he points [Paul] Volcker [as Federal Reserve       chair] and the party really loses its reputation as the party that can       help the economy.              Teixeira: You could clearly see this in the Gallup data. They've asked a       question about which party could better provide prosperity for the country       going forward. At that point, the Democrats start losing these double-       digit advantages they had on that question and actually start being       negative on it, or barely positive. Particularly for working-class people,       they are not any longer the party of prosperity.              Judis: What happens in the ‘90s is Clinton figures out how he can win       elections. The idea of a New Democrat, who combines a kind of neoliberal       economics, free trade, immigration, financial deregulation, moderation on       social issues, moderation on guns to be tough on crime. They ride the boom       of the 1990s, but when the 2000s come and this unemployment begins to       occur, de-industrialization in the Midwest, and when people see their jobs       going to China, to Mexico, you get the second big backlash against the       Democrats.              Obama benefits again from Bush, the Iraq War, Katrina, the Great       Recession, and wins in 2008. But Obama doesn't quite do it. He gives into       the idea that he can't increase deficits too much so the economy still       staggers. Obamacare benefits poor people, the lower middle class, but       other people see their premiums going up. In 2010, the Democrats get       drubbed. Obama comes back in 2012 and at this point, Democrats become       cocky and they adopt a comic book version of the emerging Democratic       majority. Which is that It doesn't matter if we get these working-class       votes from the past, if we just get a minority majority plus some       professionals and women.              And this guy Trump comes along. He promises to build a wall and stop       illegal immigration. And lo and behold, a lot of these working-class       voters support him. And he wins all these states that were seen as safe       Democratic states in the Midwest. Democrats are losing voters, even though       at the same time they win a lot of college-educated voters during that       period. It's just not enough in 2010, 2014, and 2016, to counteract the       loss of working-class voters.              Teixeira: 2016 is a transition point because it's at this point that the              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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