XPost: alt.global-warming, sci.skeptic   
   From: paul.aubrin@invalid.org   
      
   Le 26/01/2026 à 15:16, Dawn Flood a écrit :   
   > On 1/26/2026 1:21 AM, Paul Aubrin wrote:   
   >> Le 25/01/2026 à 17:37, Dawn Flood a écrit :   
   >>> Yep, such systems are known as "chaotic" for a reason.  Per Paul &   
   >>> JTEM's lights, physics is invalid because no exact solution is known   
   >>> for the 3-body problem.   
   >>   
   >> Physics laws are valid over validity domains because they have been   
   >> observed to match quite well reality in these validity domains. CMIP   
   >> models have been observed to not correctly match reality over   
   >> "climatic" (30 years or more) periods. Those CMIP models hypothesis   
   >> have been invalidated (forever). Maybe, one day, some climate model   
   >> will be observed to match reality over extended periods of times by   
   >> comparison with (future) extended observations. Until then, suspend   
   >> your judgement on climate model predictions.   
   >>   
   >   
   > In terms of geological time, 30 years is NOTHING!  You might as well   
   > substitute "3 days".   
      
   Mathematics show that the laws of the mechanics of fluid allow only very   
   short term predictions. But, nevertheless, weather predictions compare   
   quite well with observation for a few days. On the opposite, if the   
   predictions made with an hypothetised law of physics don't match   
   reality, the hyptothised law is proved invalid. If it fails one time,   
   you won't know when it will fail again.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)