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|    alt.bible.prophecy    |    Debating whatever bible prophecies    |    115,092 messages    |
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|    Message 114,559 of 115,092    |
|    HeartDoc Andrew to Michael Ejercito    |
|    (Kelley) Greeting Michael Ejercito on 05    |
|    18 May 25 22:12:33    |
      [continued from previous message]              >NIH director Dr. Francis Collins, to run the agency.       >       >Just two years ago, Hart, his wife Jenny, their toddler daughter, and       >Bhattacharya had walked the halls of Capitol Hill, passing out a       >one-page Rational Ground advocacy sheet and fruitlessly seeking       >conversations with lawmakers willing to consider their heterodox views.       >       >Hart and Bhattacharya connected in the early days of the pandemic thanks       >to mutual friends at Stanford. A small group gathered to meet after       >reading an article by Dr. John Ioannidis, a Stanford statistician and       >professor of biomedical data science. He said some of the same things       >they had all been thinking, including his warning in March 2020 that       >public-health officials were making consequential decisions without good       >data and calling the Covid response a potential “fiasco in the making.”       >       > From there, Team Reality grew. They became supporters of the Great       >Barrington Declaration, a document written by Bhattacharya and two       >colleagues, advocating for focused protection for those most vulnerable       >to Covid, and a return to close-to-normal life for the rest of society.       >The team plowed ahead with their advocacy, taking solace in their ragtag       >community when they faced the scorn of the mainstream.       >       >“We had people who were apolitical, people who were Democrats, people       >who were very conservative Republicans,” said Hart. “It’s amazing how       >unifying it can be when the government starts pushing around our kids       >and impinging our freedoms.”       >       >       >Matt Shapiro, who goes by the handle @PoliticalMath on X, describes       >himself as a right-of-center, “insatiably curious”       >artificial-intelligence engineer. (William DeShazer for The Free Press)       >Matt Shapiro, who goes by the handle @PoliticalMath on X and lives       >outside Atlanta, signed up early in the pandemic to process data for The       >Atlantic’s Covid Tracking Project, the most complete data repository of       >Covid’s impact in the U.S. Shapiro describes himself as a       >right-of-center, “insatiably curious” artificial-intelligence engineer       >with a background in data management, and he was eager to put his       >data-mining skills to work for the common good. His work became a       >“full-time Covid hobby,” he said. Shapiro joined other volunteers—“good       >people trying to do an important thing”—to input data, analyze trends,       >and make data-based recommendations to help shape public health.       >       >But when the data told a story that contradicted the Centers for Disease       >Control and Prevention’s recommendations, for example, that Covid spread       >as quickly in places with mask mandates as it did in places without       >them, his mostly left-leaning colleagues on the team went silent. “All       >my data friends that I had made doing all this work together were just       >like, ‘Not touching that,’?” he recalled.       >       >Shapiro said he was mocked and isolated for questioning the predominant       >narrative that shuttering schools and businesses was lifesaving. More       >alarming to him were the massive implications such conformity had for       >society. “That’s not the story we’re telling ourselves about who we       >are,” he told me.       >       >       >Tracking Covid data became Matt Shapiro’s “full-time hobby” during the       >pandemic, he said. (William DeShazer for The Free Press)       >It was different with Rational Ground/Team Reality. Members of the group       >worked to provide data for Dr. Scott Atlas, a Covid adviser during the       >first Trump administration, who used their findings to refute CDC       >assessments at briefings. They advised governors and state-level Covid       >task forces, like that of Florida governor Ron DeSantis, and federal       >lawmakers such as Andrew Clyde of Georgia and Dan Crenshaw of Texas, all       >Republicans. They held regional gatherings and relentlessly pursued       >grassroots campaigns to correct and call out errors wherever they found       >them.       >       >In such a diverse group, there was often sharp disagreement. “We’ve had       >people rage-quit,” said Hart. “Like in any human endeavor, we definitely       >have our moments where people don’t see things in the same way, but we       >had an open forum where we felt like we could hash it out and discuss       >things.”       >       >       >Five years later, Team Reality is still advocating for institutional       >reforms based on what they saw during the pandemic. Under the leadership       >of Bhattacharya, some of those changes are already happening. They want       >safeguards to protect the American people from overreaching government       >authority, and they think that constraining power and increasing       >transparency will ultimately help restore trust in public health.       >       >To achieve this, they want public-health policy discussions to be       >robust, with dissenting voices and a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis       >of any public-health policy proposal before it becomes enforceable, even       >in emergency situations.       >       >       >“Government scientists do not have a monopoly on the truth,” NIH       >director Jay Bhattacharya told The Free Press. (Andrew Harnik via Getty       >Images)       >“Public health policy decisions need a high quality of evidence       >demonstrating a good amount of benefit for a small amount of       >imposition,” said Krohnert. “With Covid, we got the opposite:       >low-quality evidence demonstrating a small amount of benefit with       >massive impositions and untold costs.”       >       >They also call for radical transparency. Because CDC guidance during       >Covid was often based on desired outcomes rather than actual data-driven       >science, Shapiro said, data from any publicly funded study should be       >publicly available. “If you collect data with our taxpayer money, it’s       >our data, and you should have to show it to us, rather than only showing       >it if it achieves some end-policy goal,” he said.       >       >Bhattacharya agrees. “Government scientists do not have a monopoly on       >the truth, which is most likely to be found by a spirit of open-minded       >investigation, including by members of the public with access to the       >same data as public-health officials,” he told me.       >       >Humility is an uncommon virtue for top government officials, but       >Bhattacharya knows better than most how the experts can get things       >wrong. “On topic after topic. . . Rational Ground analysts outperformed       >and corrected government agencies,” he told me. “Rational Ground often       >relied on data that agencies like the CDC had made publicly available to       >correct the CDC itself on its misinterpretations of its own data.”       >       >       >Matt Shapiro said he was mocked and isolated for questioning the       >predominant narrative during Covid that shuttering schools and       >businesses was lifesaving. (William DeShazer for The Free Press)       >Opening the data to the public could help extremists misrepresent data       >and take it out of context, but the benefits outweigh the risks, said       >Krohnert. “Blocking access to data is not going to prevent bad actors       >from spreading misinformation. If anything, it adds fuel to the fire,       >because they can make up what they want and claim it’s from some study       >the government ‘doesn’t want you to see,’?” she said.       >       >Other hoped-for reforms go far beyond data reporting. It’s about what       >gets studied to begin with. During the pandemic, policy decisions with       >enormous effects, such as universal masking or standing six feet apart,       >we now know were based on flawed research, or often just guesswork. But       >according to Hart, the federal health agencies resisted funding studies       >that might refute CDC recommendations.       >       >Then there is the matter of institutional conflicts of interest. For              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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