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|    Message 26,446 of 27,547    |
|    Leroy N. Soetoro to All    |
|    Was This $100 Billion Deal the Worst Mer    |
|    20 Nov 22 23:24:42    |
      [continued from previous message]              the latest twist, investigated allegations that AT&T engaged in       questionable accounting tactics to inflate the projections on which the       value of the Warner assets was based.              Mr. Cook, the AT&T spokesman, strenuously denied any wrongdoing. But after       Warner Bros. Discovery’s chief executive, David Zaslav, pressed the issue       this summer with his counterpart, Mr. Stankey, AT&T agreed to pay Warner       Bros. Discovery $1.2 billion by the end of August. AT&T also agreed to       resume providing the HBO Max streaming service to its wireless customers,       a “soft” deal that could be worth hundreds of millions of dollars to       Warner.              On June 14, 2018, when the AT&T-Time Warner deal closed, AT&T stock was at       $24.56. This past week it was just under $19, a decline of 23 percent,       even as the S&P 500 gained more than 40 percent over the same period.              How could so much shareholder value have evaporated in so short a time?              ‘Are you sitting down?’       Allen & Company’s Sun Valley media conference, the annual “billionaires’       summer camp,” has a long history of spawning media deals, from Disney’s       acquisition of ABC to Jeff Bezos’ purchase of The Washington Post. And       during the summer of 2015, Mr. Bewkes approached Mr. Stephenson there       about a possible AT&T bid for Time Warner.              Mr. Stephenson had made his reputation in large part on his deal-making       acumen. Unlike other newcomers to Hollywood, he had no interest in red       carpet events and never attended any, preferring to spend time at his       Wyoming ranch. An Oklahoma native who had worked for AT&T and its       predecessors since 1982, he’d been AT&T’s chief executive since 2007.              Since then, AT&T’s stock price had gone nowhere, barely recovering from       the Great Recession as fierce competition in wireless squeezed profit       margins. Mr. Stephenson and Mr. Stankey saw media as a much-needed path to       growth.              Time Warner’s Mr. Bewkes had heard all of this and had his doubts about       AT&T’s ambitions, but that was not his concern. A Yale graduate with a       Stanford M.B.A., Mr. Bewkes had risen through the ranks of HBO, where as       president of the cable network he helped bring the world “The Sopranos.”       He became chief executive of Time Warner in 2008 as the financial crisis       was brewing, and over the next 10 years Time Warner stock skyrocketed.              But Mr. Bewkes saw enormous threats on the horizon. Cord-cutting       undermined the lucrative cable model and with it the Turner Broadcasting       cable channels, including CNN and the Cartoon Network, which accounted for       more than half of Time Warner’s revenue and earnings. The rise of Netflix       and Amazon Prime Video, and the accompanying multibillion-dollar spending       race on content delivered via the internet directly to consumers, were a       threat to HBO and the Warner studio. HBO had already lost bidding wars for       the hit series “House of Cards” and “The Crown” to Netflix.              A sale of Time Warner, valuing it at over $100 a share, would be a       windfall for Mr. Bewkes and his shareholders. Still, he wanted Time       Warner’s properties and employees, many of them his friends, to wind up in       good hands.              Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox had approached Mr. Bewkes and Time       Warner with an $80 billion offer in 2014, which Time Warner rejected as       too low. But Mr. Bewkes could see the writing on the wall.              When the two executives spoke in 2015, Mr. Stephenson recalled recently,       he told Mr. Bewkes that he was too wrapped up in closing a deal to acquire       DirecTV but that Mr. Bewkes should come back later — AT&T might be       interested.              A year later, in the summer of 2016, Mr. Ginsberg, Time Warner’s head of       communications, had breakfast with Peter Chernin, his former boss at News       Corp. and a trusted adviser to Mr. Stephenson, at a cafe in Menemsha on       Martha’s Vineyard. Mr. Chernin asked Mr. Ginsberg what he thought Time       Warner’s price might be. “We’d need $105 to $115 a share,” Mr. Ginsberg       suggested, pretty much off the top of his head. Mr. Chernin didn’t blanch.              As soon as breakfast was over, Mr. Ginsberg called Mr. Bewkes. “Are you       sitting down?” he asked. “Because I’ve got some incredible news that will       stun you.”              ‘They don’t own the company yet’       The two companies announced their deal on Oct. 22, 2016. Neither AT&T nor       Time Warner management was worried about antitrust or other regulatory       issues since vertical combinations — mergers of buyers and suppliers,       rather than competitors — were almost never challenged on antitrust       grounds. No such case had been litigated in 40 years.              They had failed to reckon with the populist skepticism about big mergers       or Donald J. Trump’s hostility to established media, especially CNN, which       he repeatedly denounced as “fake news.” Mr. Trump’s ire was especially       intense toward CNN’s chief executive, Jeff Zucker, ignoring (or       forgetting) that it was Mr. Zucker, as head of NBC Entertainment, who put       “The Apprentice” into NBC’s prime-time lineup and made Mr. Trump a TV       star.              The proposed megadeal was one of the few issues — perhaps the only issue —       to instantly unite the political right and left, with Mr. Trump, the       Republican nominee for president, and the liberal senators Bernie Sanders       and Elizabeth Warren unlikely allies in opposing it.              With the unexpected election of Mr. Trump in November, AT&T realized it       had a problem. In January 2017, the company hired the president-elect’s       personal lawyer, Michael Cohen, paying him $50,000 a month to advise it       on, among other topics, the Time Warner merger, even though Mr. Cohen had       no known antitrust expertise.              The move appeared to yield immediate results. (Mr. Cohen did not respond       to a request for comment.)              Just days after Mr. Cohen was hired, Mr. Stephenson invited Mr. Bewkes to       join him for a Trump Tower meeting with Mr. Trump, along with Mr. Trump’s       son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and adviser Stephen K. Bannon. Mr. Bewkes       declined.              “I wasn’t going to talk about our coverage or oversight of any of our       companies, and sure as hell not with a politician,” Mr. Bewkes recalled.       “We covered these people.”              Mr. Stephenson visited Trump Tower on Jan. 12. Mr. Stephenson recalled       that Mr. Trump had brought up the subject of CNN and attacked Mr. Zucker       before stopping himself with the realization that he shouldn’t be talking       about CNN. Mr. Stephenson said he had offered no response.              Mr. Trump kept up his Twitter diatribe against CNN and Mr. Zucker. But on       June 22, Mr. Stephenson visited the White House along with other chief       executives, and Mr. Trump was surprisingly effusive in his praise for the       AT&T chairman, saying publicly that he had done “really a top job.”              Mr. Stephenson’s warm presidential reception was shortly followed by a       visit to Time Warner by Larry Solomon, the head of corporate       communications for AT&T. Mr. Solomon told Mr. Ginsberg that he was there       to give him a “heads up” that “we’re going to fire Jeff Zucker,” Mr.       Ginsberg recalled.              “Why?” Mr. Ginsberg asked. CNN was thriving, generating more than $1       billion in annual profit for Time Warner.              Mr. Solomon responded that MSNBC had overtaken CNN in the ratings.              Mr. Ginsberg didn’t buy that. “What does that matter?” he asked. CNN had       never been driven primarily by ratings.              As soon as Mr. Solomon left, Mr. Ginsberg got Mr. Bewkes on the phone, Mr.       Ginsberg recalled. “You’re not going to believe this,” he said. “They want       to fire Zucker.”              “Stop right there,” Mr. Bewkes responded. “They don’t own the company yet,       and they may never own the company.”                     [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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