XPost: sci.psychology.psychotherapy, alt.consciousness, talk.origins   
   From: sfct@aol.com   
      
   Von Smith wrote:   
   >   
   > stevefct wrote in message news:<4124AC57.1B68@aol.com>...   
   > > Von Smith wrote:   
   > > >   
   > > > olive wrote in message news:<41218DE2.29A4@aol.com>...   
   > > > > Raan wrote:   
   >   
   >    
   > > > >   
   > > > > Raan you didn't understand the post at all, did you? It wasn't about   
   the   
   > > > > speed of light, but about learning to accept what seems to be the   
   > > > > impossible when you're forced to face new objective facts. Einstein   
   > > > > understood the lesson, you can't, even when it is pointed out to you by   
   > > > > another.   
   > > > >   
   > > > > Rudy was a young Phd. student in excellant health when he had his NDE   
   > > > > dream about Godel dying that night. His young brain was in excellant   
   > > > > shape with no reason for having any dream about Godel's death or the   
   > > > > white light in it. GET THE POINT? It was easy enough for me.   
   > > >   
   > > > I haven't been following this thread for long, but when did NDEs   
   > > > become expanded to include any dream that includes an element of white   
   > > > light? By that standard I have had a few NDEs myself.   
   > > > And I don't see in the passage you quote where Rudy had a dream about   
   > > > Goedel dying. He had a dream about him knocking over a chessboard.   
   > > > I'm sure if Goedel had gotten better, Rudy could have decided   
   > > > afterwords that the dream was somehow a premonition of that, too.   
   > > >   
   > > > Von Smith   
   > > > Fortuna nimis dat multis, satis nulli.   
   > >   
   > >   
   > >   
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   > >   
   > > Von Smith huh? I bet.   
   > >   
   > >   
   > > Gee Von you sound like Raan. Just kidding. Anyone with any sincere   
   > > interest or knowledge on the subject of NDEs should know seeing a white   
   > > light is a very common NDE experience. You didn't know that? Tsh, tsh,   
   > > shame....shame. I'm going to conclude your interest in NDEs isn't quite   
   > > up to snuff. But forget this. Not important.   
   >   
   > I realize that white light is a common feature of NDEs. It is also a   
   > very common experience for people using a flashlight to find the   
   > fusebox. It isn't exactly an exotic phenomenon. To say that Rudy's   
   > dream is an NDE simply because it had a white light expands the   
   > definition of NDE to the point of meaninglessness. As I said before,   
   > I can remember several dreams that I have had that involved white   
   > light. Is that sufficient to make them NDEs?   
   >   
      
      
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   Amazing lack of logic here Raan. May I call you Raan? How do I make   
   this simple?   
      
   Point 1:   
      
   Is seeing a brilliant white light a common experience with people who   
   have experienced a NDE? Yes or NO? YES!! Most NDE experiences have had   
   a white light in them. Not only that, many feel God is rather close to   
   them when they see it. Common knowledge.   
      
   Point 2:   
      
   But percentage of all dreams have a brilliant white light in them? High   
   or very low? SUPER LOW!! And even if they see a white light in an   
   ordinary dream[like your pretend flashlight], how many of those white   
   lights come with a FEELING THAT GOD IS THERE TOO?   
      
      
   Question :   
      
   What are the odds of someone having a dream about a friend who happens   
   to die that particular night with a white light in it?   
      
   Answer:   
      
   Too low for anyone to rationally assume it was due to simple accidental   
   coincidence. At least not as the first plausible explanation. Does it   
   mean its true? No, and I never said that, did I? But can you be rational   
   and intelligent not to look into the question as a probable cause if   
   you're sincerely open minded? Fuck no.   
      
   I didn't state Rudy had a NDE himself. Nope, no, NOOOO! Read carefully.   
   I said Rudy picked up on Godel's NDE. If you can assume NDEs then   
   assuming having souls is a small jump. And assuming the existence of ESP   
   is a very short step.   
      
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   > >   
   > > Let's examine Raan's underlying logic shall we? How does it go in the   
   > > professional debunker manual? Gee I forgot! Oh yea I remember now.   
   > >   
   > > If someone has a dream about a future event and that future event does   
   > > indeed happen it can still be contributed to chance. We'll also assume   
   > > most people forget their misses. Another assumption we'll make. Helps   
   > > our case by setting up all the presupposes doesn't it? A good lawyer   
   > > trick.   
   >   
   > And a reasonable assumption, since confirmation bias is a   
   > well-documented quirk of human behavior. I learned about it in   
   > Psychology 101. Even Francis Bacon commented on it almost 400 years   
   > ago: "Men mark it when they hit, but do not mark it when they miss."   
   > Any evaluation of anecdotal evidence that does *not* take   
   > confirmation bias into account is analytically flawed.   
   >   
   > >   
   > > So naturally we'll logically conclude [and rightly also in our all   
   > > deserved smuggness] that the number of misses usually out number the   
   > > hits, therefore, the whole question of psychic abilities is questionable   
   > > at best, but most likely absurd.   
   >   
   > I can't speak for Raan, but that would not be my argument at all,   
   > being a complete non sequitur. The fact of confirmation bias does not   
   > make the prospect of psychic phenomena absurd. What it does do is   
   > call into question the validity and rigor of using selected anecdotes   
   > as evidence for *anything*.   
   >   
   > > It makes us look a lot smarter to not   
   > > believe in psychic dreams than to believe in them. This always helps the   
   > > ego of the non-believer. To know how much smarter he is than the average   
   > > person. Almost gives you a right to lecture them. Damn, almost gives you   
   > > a right to run society for poor confused saps. Notice how most lawyers   
   > > have done such a good job with it? A joke.   
   > >   
   > > Do you believe the above superficial reasoning? It sounds good, it   
   > > smells good, but you'll suffer from logical ingestion if you swallow the   
   > > bullcrap.   
   > >   
   >   
   > On the other hand, it makes us look like we don't have an argument   
   > when we spend several paragraphs sneering at our opponent, rather than   
   > critiquing his reasons, or presenting supporting evidence for our own   
   > position.   
      
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   I only sneer when the other does it first. Lets them feel how it feels   
   to be on the other side.   
      
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   >   
   > >   
   > > OK, let's really get logical shall we? Lets really talk about odds.   
   > >   
   > >   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
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