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   alt.fan.tolkien      JR Tolkien masturbatory worship echo      70,346 messages   

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   Message 68,566 of 70,346   
   Troels Forchhammer to All   
   Re: Elrond remaining in Rivendell   
   04 Oct 11 23:21:15   
   
   XPost: rec.arts.books.tolkien   
   From: Troels@ThisIsFake.invalid   
      
   In message    
   sean_q  spoke these staves:   
   >   
   > On 9/12/2011 3:14 PM, Stan Brown wrote:   
   >>   
   >> On Sun, 11 Sep 2011 23:09:45 -0800, sean_q wrote:   
   >>>   
   >>> I think the DL at least knew (from his spies) that "Strider" was   
   >>> a Ranger, ie one of those pesky Dunedain (Numenoreans in exile).   
   >>   
   >> *Did* he?  Did Sauron have any certain knowledge...   
   >   
   > I don't know what Sauron knew for certain. Just hints and clues.   
      
   We do not know for certain -- neither what Sauron certainly know nor   
   what he guessed ;-)   
      
   It is, however, in my opinion a reasonable guess that Sauron knew   
   /about/ this "Strider" character -- knowing that he was one of the   
   leaders of the Rangers and also (of this I am far more confident)   
   that the Rangers were the remnants of the Dúnedain of the North   
   Kingdom.  It is also, in my view, /likely/ that Sauron was uncertain   
   about the fate of the line of Elendil, but that he knew that it had   
   survived until the death of Arathorn II or thereabouts (let's not   
   quibble too much about the exact point -- I'd say he lost track of   
   them at some point after Arathorn I, most likely, IMO, after the   
   death of Arathorn II).  It is, however (and still in my estimate),   
   unlikely that Sauron guessed that this Strider was of the line of   
   Elendil.   
      
      
      
   >> ...that the last of the Dúnedain -- or at least the last of the   
   >> line of Elendil -- had not perished with Arvedui, last King of   
   >> Arthedain?   
   >   
   > He knew that the Royal Line had ended in the South. And must have   
   > known about the Dunedain in the North but not that an heir of   
   > Isildur was among them.   
      
   I believe that Sauron knew that the line of Elendil had survived in   
   the North long after the death of Arvedui. The whole line of   
   chieftains made no secret of their heritage in the naming of all the   
   kings, since they all contain the ar- element used by the royal   
   family since Argeleb I who took the throne of Arthedain in 1349 in   
   token of their claim to the throne of all Arnor.   
      
   If anything it would be the absence of any clear leader using a name   
   beginning with Ar- that would confuse Sauron, and this appears to   
   have happened only with the death of Arathorn (and Aragorn's use of   
   various other names in all his dealing with outsiders).   
      
   >> Sauron seems remarkably ill informed about the doings in Eriador,   
   >> or west of the Misty Mountains generally.  If I were aiming at   
   >> world domination, I would make it my business to have an   
   >> extensive spy network in enemy territory.  But Sauron seems to   
   >> have neglected intelligence gathering almost completely.  And it   
   >> can't be because he was relying on Saruman, for their alliance   
   >> (or Saruman's subjection) was comparatively recent.   
      
   The history of the chieftains of the Rangers show also a history of   
   fighting against Sauron's spies. Though not quite so obvious as east   
   of the Misty Mountains, it seems clear to me that Eriador was   
   nonetheless also watched.  Sauron's agents, however, would mostly   
   have been quite obvious -- you can't hope to hide an orc in Bree, for   
   instance, and so they may not have had a chance to get close to any   
   of the Rangers and learn what name this "Strider" was using among his   
   own people.   
      
   > He seems to have agents in Bree at any rate:   
      
   Most of the agents here were, if I recall correctly, originally   
   agents of Saruman who were turned to Sauron's use by their fear of   
   the Nazgûl. 'The Hunt for the Ring' contains, if memory serves, an   
   account of how the Ringwraiths caught the Southerner that leaves the   
   Prancing Pony together with Bill Ferny already before he reached Bree   
   and found that he was one of Saruman's agents. They then turned him   
   to their own service.   
      
      
      
   > We know from the Tale of Years that Saruman began spying on   
   > Gandalf as well as keeping agents in Bree and the Southfarthing   
   > around 2953. However, the "certain people" mentioned above seem to   
   > be Sauron's:   
      
   Indeed, but this is /after/ the Ringwraiths came north in search of   
   the One Ring in the summer of 3018.  I know of no evidence that   
   Sauron employed Men as spies for him in Eriador before that point.   
      
   > I suspect that some of the "dark things" in the following passage   
   > are also in the DL's service:   
      
   Indeed.   
      
   >    "If Gondor, Boromir, has been a stalwart tower, we have played   
   >    another part. Many evil things there are that your strong walls   
   >    and bright swords do not stay.   
      
   And surely some of these evil things are more than that -- I think it   
   is well nigh certain that some of them were also in the direct employ   
   of Sauron and thus served as his spies.   
      
   >    "Strider" I am to one fat man who lives within a day's march of   
   >    foes that would freeze his heart or lay his little town in ruin,   
   >    if he were not guarded ceaselessly."   
      
   Except for the "lay his little town in ruin" I would have said that   
   this surely must refer to the wights of the barrows, but this would   
   be the only indication of aggressive (outside their own territory of   
   the Barrow Downs) plans of the wights.  It could, I suppose, still   
   refer to the wights, but I am by no means sure about it -- for all I   
   know, it could refer to something else entirely. (Of course the   
   wights were also in the service of Angmar and through him of Sauron,   
   but as far as we know, there was no communication between the wights   
   and any other agents of Sauron until the Witch-king came to the   
   Downs.)   
      
   --   
   Troels Forchhammer    
   Valid e-mail is    
   Please put [AFT], [RABT] or 'Tolkien' in subject.   
      
       Do not meddle in the affairs of Wizards, for they are   
       subtle and quick to anger.   
    - Gildor Inglorion, /The Lord of the Rings/ (J.R.R. Tolkien)   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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