EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:   
   - We re-visit the links between UFO sightings and covid across the US,   
     this time via detections reported in the NUFORC's "MADAR" network.   
   - Automatic detectors avoid problems associated with observer   
     behavior.  Detectors (nominally) operate 24/7 and don't take a break   
     because of wet weather.   
   - We find there is a statistically strong +ve link between MADAR   
     detections -- adjusted by number of stations installed in a state --   
     and that state's total covid cases up to the end of 2021.   
   - It's hard to escape the conclusion that some segment of UFO activity   
     may be related to the pandemic. A more detailed looks shows there is   
     at least one unambiguous strong suspect UFO type responsible for the   
     +ve link, while there may also be other UFO types linked with   
     reducing levels of covid.   
   - If patterns persist the next peak in cases is to be expected around   
     mid June. A 100-day cycle in peaks may be related to parameters of   
     the virus but also suspiciously coincides with motions of a certain   
     rocky inner planet.   
      
      
   We've looked at the NUFORC's "MADAR" network before. It's known that   
   at least some UFO's disturb the local geomagnetics enough to detect,   
   and the group has built and installed 100s of magnetic detectors   
   across the US in the past 2-3 years.   
      
   By my count the state-by-state setup looks like:   
      
   State	Number of MADAR stations   
   	(as at end 2021)   
   Alabama		1   
   Arizona		4   
   Arkansas	4   
   California	7   
   Colorado	9   
   Connecticut	4   
   Florida		6   
   Georgia		7   
   Idaho		1   
   Illinois	5   
   Indiana		12   
   Iowa		1   
   Kansas		4   
   Kentucky	2   
   Maine		1   
   Maryland	2   
   Massachusetts	3   
   Michigan	2   
   Minnesota	1   
   Missouri	7   
   Montana		1   
   Nevada		1   
   New.Hampshire	1   
   New.Jersey	4   
   New.Mexico	2   
   New.York	12   
   North.Carolina	1   
   North.Dakota	1   
   Ohio		12   
   Oklahoma	1   
   Oregon		1   
   Pennsylvania	10   
   Rhode.Island	1   
   South.Carolina	1   
   Tennessee	2   
   Texas		5   
   Utah		1   
   Virginia	1   
   Washington	9   
      
   The beauty part of such public transparent science -- USAF please note   
   -- is the data gathered by this kind of groundwork has unpredictable   
   and unbounded applications.   
      
   While the instruments may be limited in various ways, the main point   
   I'd like to underline in this study is they run (nominally :) 24/7 and   
   don't likely rely in the patterns of daily travel or observation of the   
   sky other UFO sightings are subject to. While they may not detect   
   every kind of UFO or every UFO within a state they at least behave   
   relatively consistently. And this can be a vital leg-up for various   
   kinds of data analysis.   
      
   With UFO sighting reports from citizens there is always the problem of   
   trying to extract characteristics of the sightings that relate to the   
   behaviour of the objects in question themselves, and the factors   
   affecting the observers. If we find there are more sightings in cold   
   weather we can't be entirely sure weather is affecting UFO's somehow   
   -- maybe they don't work so well in cold air -- or it's simply a   
   matter of people staying indoors in cold weather and being less able   
   or inclined to look at things buzzing around in the skies.   
      
   With instruments that (somewhat!) goes away. While there is an issue   
   with the growth in the numbers and placement of detectors, at a first   
   approximation we can assume the detector events over the past couple   
   of years are relatively consistent. If the MADAR network says there   
   were more detections in a certain month we can be fairly sure there   
   were more UFO's in those months rather than just being the result of   
   people being more likely outside and looking up in those months.   
      
   And this assumption can allow us to examine things that are difficult   
   to look at otherwise.   
      
   Take the possible link between the COVID pandemic and UFO activity.   
   We have earlier noted there are suspicious robust statistical links   
   between covid cases in the US and elsewhere and UFO activity as   
   mostly witnessed across N America. In regions with more UFO sightings   
   there have generally been more covid cases, for example. More UFO   
   sightings are also linked strongly to covid cases per capita. In   
   month's with more UFO sightings there are generally more new covid   
   cases.  But we also find that if we look at UFO sightings in a state   
   per capita there are still strong links with covid per capita but the   
   relationship switches sign from +ve to -ve.   
      
   There is a typical analysis dilemma caused by confounding factors.   
   The population of a state is linked with both sightings and covid   
   cases.  It seems there is also a link between population and rate of   
   covid cases per capita.   
      
   While we can try to adjust data all to per capita terms that does not   
   solve any problems. Because population can interact with UFO sightings   
   in more than one way.   
      
   If we example state populations and UFO sightings we find that   
   sightings of some kinda of objects grow slower than linearly.   
   Typically, expressed as a power low, the power relating population and   
   sightings is less than or much less than 1.   
      
   IOW somehow larger states "repl" UFO sightings.   
      
   The problem only gets more complex when we consider the totality of   
   sightings is the sum of all the different categories we can divide UFO   
   sightings into. Each group potentially reacts differently to state   
   populations.   
      
   But with the MADAR data a lot of this (to a first approximation! :)   
   goes away.   
      
   If we compare state by state MADAR sightings (adjusted for the number   
   of detectors in each state) against e.g. total covid cases per capita   
   we find something like the following:   
      
   States like:    Av MADAR sightings  av total covid     Model estimate   
                   per station        cases per mn cap   covid cases per mn   
                   2020-2021          as at end 2021   
   Rhode.Island              1        127603             120198   
   Virginia                  3        106622             124098*   
   New.Mexico          3.80476        135394             125667   
   Texas                4.7375        132702             127486   
   Oregon              5.90178        110008             129756*   
   Iowa                6.98148        144279             131861   
   Missouri            8.34524        108941             134521*   
   Washington              9.5        136411             136772   
   Arizona                10.5        156534             138722*   
   Minnesota                11        124612             139697   
   Michigan             11.625        137830             140916   
   Montana                  13        136831             143597   
   South.Carolina           15        169574             147497*   
   North.Dakota             18        166486             153346   
   Idaho                    26        147175             168946*   
   (ordered by MADAR column).   
      
   The states have been binned by the MADAR sightings. States within +-2   
   MADAR events per station are averaged in the same line/bin with the   
   named state just one of those in the same bin.   
      
   The output from the stats program looks like:   
      
   y = 1949.91*x + 118248   
   beta in 1949.91 +- 1193.4  (90% CI)   
   alpha in 118248 +- 14232.8   
   T-test: P(beta>0.000000) = 0.993918   
   Rank test: calculated Spearman corr = 0.735294   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)