EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:   
   - We prev looked at the supposed affect of the approach of one or   
     other Voyager probes to Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune during   
     the Grand Tour mission. It seemed close approach of one or other   
     target resulted in changes in observable UFO activity on Earth.   
     A previous post looked at some evidence this effect was not just the   
     result of publicity surrounding the mission but a real change in UFO   
     activity.   
   - Here we re-run that study using the actual track of the 2 probes   
     around the solar system. We use each parameter of the track either   
     relative to the Earth or the Sun and find that matching up various   
     parameters against various types of UFO activity (divided up by   
     reported color, shape, time of day, and location) finds 100s of   
     statically strong associations that show the "signature" of the   
     Voyager probes is embedded inside the UFO observations.   
   - In addition we can determine a "lag" that measures the speed   
     information about the Voyager probe's position seems to appear inside   
     various UFO activity. We find the rough speed in km/sec of this flow   
     is close to values found in prev studies of similar statistical   
     models as well as simple simulations of space travelling objects   
     between various planets and the Earth.   
   - We end up with a check-list of object types that seem unusually   
     associated with the outer planets.   
   - In later posts we will look at other probes that targeted one   
     planet only to see if we can find patterns consistent with the   
     findings here.   
      
      
   I posted an article some time ago looking at the way UFO activity   
   seemed to change in relation to the position of the Voyager probes   
   that were launched in the late 70s.   
      
   That article used the close approach date of each planet as a   
   "countdown" variable and showed as certain approaches closed UFO   
   activity seemed to significantly decline or decrease, depending on   
   which planet was concerned.  Each of the target planets in the Grand   
   Tour -- Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune -- seemed to be involved   
   in UFO activity. For some targets as one or other Voyager approach UFO   
   activity back on Earth declined in some cases, and recovered to prev   
   levels after the probe(s) moved on.  Or the UFO activity did the   
   opposite -- increased as the probe approached and returned to normal   
   levels after it left.   
      
   But as part of other studies that are throwing up very interesting   
   patterns, here we will look at the actual track of the Voyager probes   
   and compare them with each type of UFO activity I tease out of the   
   NUFORC database of sightings.   
      
   As part of the analysis I've used a program the AI system I'm   
   otherwise using to look at UFO and selected paranormal events has   
   cooked up itself to characterise a data "fingerprint". This is or was   
   a hot top of data science research a few years back. The idea is if   
   the fingerprint of one data-set is found inside another dataset and   
   there is an ostensible input/output relationship between the datasets   
   we have tentatively shown a causal link between the 2 data.   
      
   The "fingerprint" in this case is conceptually very simple. It removes   
   the signal from a time series dataset to leave the noise.  If the   
   noise part of 2 datasets is substantially the same, we might suspect   
   the 2 data are related in a very close way.   
      
   The analysis then takes each Voyager probe's track in terms of its   
   visible position in the sky as seen from Earth, its position inside   
   the solar system as seen from the Sun, and its position relative to   
   the Earth in terms of distance and velocity, extracts the fingerprint   
   and robustly determines whether this fingerprint is inside one of the   
   types of UFO activity my system keeps track of -- typically the color   
   and shape of the objects seen in a sighting report, but also other key   
   attributes like broad time-of-day (dawn, dusk, day, night) and broad   
   location of sighting/activity.   
      
   The top10 best correlates for the signature of probe track vs   
   signature of subset of UFO activity are:   
      
   Probe           Param   Lag     UFOtype         R2   
                           (d)   
   voyager2        14      16      Cigar           0.60988213   
   voyager2        15      15      Formation       0.56920263   
   voyager2        14      35      Changing        0.52655801   
   voyager2        14      16      Oval            0.49636790   
   voyager1        16      26      Cigar           0.47498463   
   voyager1        8       31      black           0.46996614   
   voyager1        8       26      Cigar           0.45358263   
   voyager1        8       20      Cigar           0.45312743   
   voyager1        8       25      Cigar           0.45225342   
   voyager1        15      25      Cigar           0.44648551   
   Track params:   
   8:S-O-T         angle between sun and the probe   
   14:hEcl-Lat     ecliptic latitude as seen from the sun   
   15:r            distance from the sun in AU   
   16:rdot         change in distance from the sun in km/sec (-ve==away from sun)   
      
      
   All associations are statistically significant to 95% or better for   
   each of 2 basic tests -- a T-test on the relevant \beta and a rank   
   test on the ordering of the data by amplitude of signature in probe   
   data vs amplitude of signature in UFO sighting data.   
      
   The R2 shows how much of the noise in the UFO data is "explained" by   
   the noise in the probe track data. E.g. in the first line of the table   
   the signature of Voyager 2's ecliptic latitude (i.e. angle above or   
   below the plane of the Earth's orbit) is responsible for around 61% of   
   the signature of Cigar UFO sightings between 1977 and 2006 (the   
   mutual range of all the datasets being used here).   
      
   The software has also used a "time shift" to maximize the R2 obtained.   
   In this case the ecl lat of Voyager 2 lagged by 16 days best matches   
   Cigar UFO activity. While this idea is just rough -- we can think of   
   the lag as indicating how long it took for the information from   
   voyager's position to filter through to change Cigar UFO activity.   
   It's as if "something" took a number of days to digest the position of   
   Voyager 2 before Cigar UFO activity on Earth visibly changed.  Maybe   
   we can think of it as the approx elapsed time it took the relevant   
   Cigar objects to travel between some place and the Earth where the   
   "some place" might be Jupiter or Saturn, depending on where the probe   
   was at the time.   
      
   Interpreted as a rough velocity -- e.g.  5 AU in 16 days (540 km/sec)   
   if the "information" travelled from Jupiter to the Earth -- we have   
   numbers that are roughly the same as we've seen in other studies   
   posted over the past couple years. Some of these used similar   
   statistical similarity with lag models, and some were simple   
   simulations of objects that travel in straight lines and fixed speeds   
   between the outer planets and Earth typically when the objects are   
   near their closest approaches.   
      
   So the data seems to suggest which types of objects are affected by   
   close fly-bys of the outer planets, and roughly how long it takes   
   before Earth-bound observers see the reaction.   
      
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)