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|    Message 11,593 of 11,639    |
|    Kym Horsell to All    |
|    ghost ships (1/2)    |
|    24 May 23 19:29:07    |
      From: kymhorsell@gmail.com              Just as a pre-introduction --              I note that a local "TV scientist" in AUS has been recently reported to have       "solved" the Bermuda Triangle.              From the comments from "Dr Karl" I've read suggest he only says "you can't       reject the null hypothesis" -- IOW there is not sufficient data to rule out       that "nothing" might be happening and the disappearances in the Devils       Triangle are just down to bad        luck, ocean storms, and heavy traffic.              But, OTOH, if we look at the maps associating regions of the world with UFO       activity, it does seem there is a big red blotch along one border of the       Triangle.              And in the study posted here we find the appearance of so-called ghost ships       is highly predictable from ocean conditions in remote locations and 100m deep       near Bermuda, but is not predicable from ocean storms or any surface       conditions between the        Triangle and said remote points on earth.              Just like it involved some kind of craft that could fly and travel underwater        or something.              Ghost Ships:       ==========              EXECUTIVE SUMMARY       - We look at data on ocean and land weather around the world and try        to locate regions that robustly predict the dates of discovery of        so-called "ghost ships". Ships that turn up seemingly able to sail        with life boats still attached. But no crew.       - The AI software (plus bugfixes!) used in other studies finds only 3        regions seem to highly correlate with the dates of ghost ship        discovery. 2 of them are in the Arctic off the Russian coast.        Another relates to deep water around the Bermuda region. The AI's        were not told where the data came from. They "discovered" the        location themselves. It's one of their impressive tricks.       - Of the UFO types examined so far, none seem to closely correspond        with the regions found off Russia. But some UFO types are associated        with the SW border of the Bermuda Triangle. Not specifically        Bermuda.       - Crunching continues to identify more specific UFO types that might        be related. Up to this point the data suggest if UFOs are involved        at all only a select few might be responsible for the        disappearances. If UFO's have been a real thing all along -- as        seems increasingly likely as days go by and insiders spill more        beans -- they seemingly have "independent businesspeople" like        us. Previous work has already suggested there is a UFO military        and/or police force.                     I know I probably have something broken inside. But I again found       myself watching the local "man channel" at the early hours of the       morning after watching some lights and light aircraft zooming around       the skies for 1/2 the night.              It was a ep from a repeat of one of those Bermuda Triangle things.       There have been a few of them over the years and even recently. I       like this particular take -- a bunch of ex Navy divers going out in       boats to see what they can see, with a few informal interviews thrown       in and a few off-beat experiments to try to judge how things might be.       Seem like a nice bunch of kids and the programs are generally       entertaining. This ep focused on the ghost ships seen in the Triangle       over the years and what might explain them. After 60 mins of talking to       people where it was revealed an up-tick of boats with missing crews       has taken a sharp up-tick since 2000 so much so that locals on one       island call the region of their coast a "parking lot" because so many       boats have been turning up there in the last few years seemingly left       out there on the ocean with no-one found on board, no signs of       struggle or distress, and even meals left on tables. But no people.              The up-shot of the ep was -- no explanation. While people jumping off       boats might have been eaten by the huge shark population in the       region, what was making them jump off their boats in the first place?       No-one really had a good explanation apart from "temporary insanity"       induced by unexplained special conditions in the region.              So -- natch -- my programs have taken a look at this in the past and       didn't seem to find too much. But I took another look at what they'd       been up to, and found a big error in part of the s/w that tries to       digest stuff of the Internet -- in this case a Wikipedia page about       ghost ships in general (i.e. not limited just to the Bermuda       Triangle). Correcting that bug and getting them to re-do their       analysis based on the *complete* data-set they could now get out of the       wiki pages they came up with a bunch of totally startling conclusions.              Again, the basic tool we're using here are correlations of some       phenomenon -- in this case the dates when each ghost ship as listed on       the wiki page was discovered -- and any other dataset the AI's can       dredge up from anywhere about anything. They are especially interested       in data that has a specific location attached to them. E.g. datasets       like bucket measurements of ocean temperatures. Over the past 100+       years vessels of all types travelling the world's oceans have thrown       buckets over the side at irregular intervals, measured the water temp       in the retrieved water and written the details down in logbooks that       have subsequently been digitized. Nowadays the water measurements are       mostly made automatically in the bilges of the larger ocean vessels.       But some other boats still drop buckets over the side and do it manually.              But that is only 1 dataset. The AIs have a growing list well into the       10s of 1000s now. And they can also go out and find anything the might       need just by using internet search engines and searching web pages       themselves. There are a couple of s/w components that just sit on my       Internet connection scanning for new stuff they figure might be useful       to the other AI components, or things the AI's have specifically put       in requests that they need for some part of their work. It's all very       much like an automated office. Except everyone can do sophisticated       statistics and has an IQ over 150. :)              So after chugging for (checking stopwatch) 12 hours they've come up       with a set of locations across the Earth where some property that has       been monitored at least since 1950 shows a very high correlation with       the dates ghost ships have been turning up. All the correlates are       checked several different ways to make absolutely sure they are real       and not some kind of quirk or error. But even so, I have the final say       over whether or not something is accepted as a valid data-point.              And that is important. Because very quickly (about 6 hrs back :) they              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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