[continued from previous message]   
      
   0.67181         2       	sun   
   0.681893        1.5     	pluto   
   0.976595        3	x    	mercbary   
      
   The "Validation" score is the average error the model makes in the 75%   
   section of the data it did not see when it was being trained up.  The   
   "filter" column is the scale used to decide whether a datapoint is an   
   "outlier" and should be ignored to train the model. "1.5" means about   
   15% of the data might be ignored in training the model.  "2" means   
   about 5%; "3" is about 1%.  The "Trans" column lists any manipulation   
   that may have been used to make the model look more like the   
   (training) part of the dataset.  "x" means the log of the distance was   
   taken. (A "y" meant the log of the sightings counts was used; this   
   didn't seem to lead to any relevant models in this run).  And, finally,   
   the last column lists which planet we're talking about.  Some planets   
   have the suffix "bary" meaning we're not talking about the distance   
   between Earth and the planet, but between Earth and the center of mass   
   of the planetary system, including all its satellites.  An oddity here   
   is "mercbary" -- normally we don't associate Mercury with having any   
   moons. It is, however, listed as a separate item in the JPL Horizons   
   database. And as far as this study goes -- "mercbary" made it into the   
   top models but "mercury" did not.   
      
   So going by ability to predict the first 75% of the dataset -- from   
   1635 to about 1926 -- a power model based on the avg distance of the   
   center of mass of the Jupiter system from Earth over a year --   
   predicts the annual monster sightings to within about +-".65".  The   
   value is the average sum-of-squares-error between the predicted number   
   of sightings and the actual number of sightings for the year,   
   normalized by the standard deviation of the sightings. Normally, if we   
   can do significantly better than just saying "the average" for some   
   measurement then we are displaying "predictive skill".  So all the   
   models listed are predictive (<1 i.e. better than the stddev). They   
   pass a bevy of statistical and rationality tests. They all seem to show   
   the sightings of sea and lake monsters are "somewhat the same thing"   
   and are linked for whatever reason to the distance between Earth and   
   various planets.   
      
   Just as if something was coming from or via these planets are maybe   
   "delivering" the relevant creatures (or whatever they are) to the   
   world's oceans and lakes.   
      
   In a number of prev articles we looked at whether lake monsters should   
   be treated more like USO's than animals. Certainly not plesiosaurs. :)   
   Another intriguing possibility the AI's are following -- and sometimes   
   (so far, erroneously!) claiming to have a handle on is whether lake   
   monsters are some kind of locally-grown Earth animal (or other),   
   whether they are "cargo" of certain objects reported from time to time   
   and oftentimes in spooking parallel with sightings of said lake/ocean   
   monsters, or whether they may be the pilots of certain craft. Some of   
   these might explain why no obvious non-eel DNA is left behind.   
      
   Maybe there is a way to tell which. From the data, of course.   
      
   Asking would be just rude.   
      
   --   
   "Ridicule is not a part of the scientific method. And the public   
   should not be taught that it is."   
   - J. Allen Hynek   
      
   Welcome to the very first official UFO hearing in American history   
   It's a historic day for everybody who has always wondered if we are alone in   
   the universe. Although there have already been multiple hearings on UFOs or   
   UAPs, this is the first hearing in which credible witnesses will testify   
   under oath in front of Congress. All representatives already offered their   
   initial remarks and gave all 3 witnesses the chance to make their oath   
   before the hearing starts. These witnesses are former Commander David Fravor,   
   former fighter jet operator Ryan Graves, and former Intelligence Official   
   David Grusch.   
   -- Marca.com, Wed Jul 26 10:48:24 EDT 2023   
      
   But what is true and I'm actually being serious here, is there are, there's   
   footage and records of objects in the skies that we don't know exactly what   
   they are, We can't explain how they moved, their trajectory. They did not   
   have an easily explainable pattern.   
   -- Pres Barack Obama, "The Late Show", 2021   
      
   The X-Files Meets Real Life In Trailer For James Fox's New UFO Documentary   
   The Program   
   Screen Rant on MSN, 01 Oct 2024   
   A highly anticipated follow-up to director James Fox's UFO documentaries,   
   The Phenomenon and Moment of Contact, The Program goes behind the hearings   
   to leave skeptics astounded by new assertions from a growing chorus of   
   high-level insiders who ...   
      
   Underwater UFO Crash Retrieval Program Operated By The CIA   
   Vetted on MSN, 03 Oct 2024 08:33Z   
   Patrick discusses NEW bombshell story from journalist Christopher Sharp on   
   the Weaponized podcast with George Knapp and ...   
      
   NASA Establishes New Class of Astrophysics Missions, Selects Studies   
   NASA, 03 Oct 2024 20:31Z   
   The new mission class, Probe Explorers, will fill a gap between flagship and   
   smaller-scale missions in NASA's exploration of the secrets of the universe.   
   "NASA's Explorers Program brings out some of the most creative ideas for   
   missions that help us reveal the unknown about our universe...   
      
   [UK] Police reveal the past 10 years of UFO sightings - full list of every   
   town 'visited'   
   Daily Star, 30 Sep 2024   
   Police have released every reported UFO sighting for the past 10 years -   
   with unexpected locations. This was the first time this information was   
   released...   
      
   Meet the American who reported the first sensational UFO encounters, Puritan   
   leader John Winthrop   
   AOL, 27 Sep 2024 10:31Z   
   Meet the American who shared sensational accounts of UFO encounters. John   
   Winthrop was the leader of the Massachusetts Bay ...   
      
     Are UFO's real? Historical markers say yes   
     WLRN, 27 Sep 2024 10:27Z   
     Historical markers were once just for American history. But many now claim   
     aliens have visited earth from outer space -- and ...   
      
   What Really Happened at the Pentagon's Once-Hidden UFO Office?   
   ScAm, 26 Sep 2024 11:09Z   
   An office in the Pentagon investigated UFOs--and the paranormal--over a   
   decade ago, segueing into a long saga leading to Congressional hearings and   
   breathless...   
      
   UFO whistleblower says huge alien announcement is 'months away' and will   
   be 'dramatic'   
   Irish Star on MSN, 25 Sep 2024 01:56Z   
   A man who claims to have been part of a top-secret US Air Force intelligence   
   unit tasked with maintaining a 70-year truce ...   
      
   First image released of 'cylindrical' UFO shot down by US fighter jet over   
   Alaska in 2023   
   Daily Mail, 24 Sep 2024 23:16Z   
   Canada has released the first-ever image of the UFO shot down during a chase   
   above Alaska and the Yukon that followed the ...   
      
   Former National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster adds to UFO speculation   
   The Hill, 17 Sep 2024   
   McMaster stated that "there are phenomena that have been witnessed by   
   multiple people that are just inexplicable by any kind of science available   
   to us."   
      
   Concerns Over Unauthorized UAS Incidents Prompt New International Defense   
   Collaboration   
   The Debrief/Micah Hanks, 23 Sept 2024   
   A new initiative seeks to mitigate concerns associated with   
   unauthorized incursions by unmanned aerial systems (UAS) by developing   
   innovative new counter-drone technologies.   
   The initiative, a collaboration between the Pentagon's Defense   
   Innovation Unit (DIU) and Singapore's Ministry of Defence, aims to   
   leverage technologies to enhance drone communications and offer novel   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)