XPost: alt.politics.elections, alt.politics.republicans, alt.politics.economics   
   XPost: talk.politics.guns, sac.politics   
   From: yourdime@outlook.com   
      
   I abhor stupid people, and above all else, I despise lazy, unrealistic   
   strategies. Ever since I abandoned the false idol of conservatism for   
   pragmatism, I see the political world much differently. This can be   
   expressed in a number of ways. For instance, in a presidential election,   
   consider the cases of Minnesota and Wisconsin.   
      
   President Trump had Minnesota in his crosshairs in 2020 after losing it by   
   an eyelash in 2016. That election was rigged, and then in 2023, the   
   Minnesota Democrat-run legislature codified all 2020 cheats into law.   
      
   Minnesota’s legislature knows there is an America First wave present in   
   Minnesota that must be subdued with crooked legislation that enhances the   
   voting power of the corrupt metropolitan areas in the state.   
      
   These reforms violate law and open doors for non-citizens to dilute the   
   legally cast votes of American citizens.   
      
   These reforms, if allowed to take hold, will make Minnesota all but   
   unwinnable… when it would likely be a lean-Trump state in the 2–5 point   
   range if left unaltered and uncompromised.   
      
   Wisconsin always votes to the right of Minnesota. Every analyst with a   
   brain knew that if Trump carried Wisconsin, he would have already carried   
   the requisite majority of electoral votes to become president again;   
   therefore, with no scenario plausible in which Minnesota would be the   
   tipping point state, there was no purpose in campaigning for it in 2024.   
   Yes, there were a few events, but it became clear by late summer Hennepin   
   and Ramsey Counties, which are choked out with Somali fraud, would provide   
   enough margin to make it 13 straight presidential elections won there by   
   the Democrat nominee (the longest such streak in the nation).   
      
   https://floppingaces.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/white-border-export-   
   2026-01-25T20-18-59-httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz-15-768x219.jpg   
      
   It’s not that I don’t care about Minnesota, or that I don’t want it to go   
   red; it’s just that I know how it will vote because I understand the laws   
   of the state and the individual dynamics of each of its 87 counties. With   
   the goal being to win 270 electoral votes, anything holding the campaign   
   back from that goal must be discarded.   
      
   Now, extend this concept to the 2026 midterms. I’ve explained myself so   
   many times that midterms almost always blow against the President’s party.   
   In 20 of 23 midterms since 1934, the President’s party has lost seats (an   
   average loss of 27 seats). Even Ronald Reagan, with a 63% approval rating   
   in 1986, lost the midterms. This hasn’t stopped every conman on the   
   internet from trying to rationalize “if Trump doesn’t…” or “if the DOJ   
   doesn’t…” do this or that, the Republicans will lose the midterms!   
      
   This may not be what you want to hear, but I trust that you’re reading   
   this newsletter because you’re sick of people pissing down your back and   
   telling you it’s raining. A good doctor will tell you if you don’t lose   
   weight, you’re going to develop heart disease. That is why I am here, and   
   my mission is about preventing subversive ideologies from dominating the   
   future of American politics.   
      
   One of the most incredible observations I’ve made in five years in the   
   public eye is this:   
      
   Democrat voters are mostly stupid and driven by low-information media   
   narratives, yet the Democrat Party is run by strategic masterminds.   
   Republican voters are naturally skeptical and more informed, yet the   
   Republican Party is run by amateurs with the memory capacities of gnats.   
      
   The starting point for a legitimate analyst for this year’s midterms   
   should be easily defined as this: Senate is a Republican hold between 51   
   and 54 seats, and the House is a loss.   
      
   Most election analysts have settled on four key Senate races, and I tend   
   to agree:   
      
   https://floppingaces.net/most-wanted/the-gops-biggest-enemy-is-not-   
   democrats-but-its-own-fundraisers/   
      
   --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)