From: garyrayl70@gmail.com   
      
   On 1/2/2026 11:53 AM, Steven Douglas wrote:   
   >   
   > DocUFO  posted:   
   >>   
   >> Since the late 1950s, vaccines for a gaggle of life-threatening   
   >> diseases have saved millions from permanent disabilities and   
   >> premature death.   
   >   
   > Were those experimental vaccines? Or were they put   
   > through all the proper testing before they were   
   > given to the public?   
   >   
   > I wonder if you know that most of the people who died   
   > of Covid were vaccinated? No, I'm sure you don't know   
   > that since you're so (infamously) ill-informed.>>   
   >> "Hey, we've blown up five more boats and killed 9 more people   
   >> and so that means we saved l25,000 more innocent American lives!"   
   >> says Donnie, hoping no one will notice his calculations are bunk.   
   >   
   > So you favor the continuation of the flow of drugs   
   > into our country, which is what the corrupt Biden   
   > administration gave us -- with the many thousands   
   > of deaths each year that came with those drugs,   
   > because the corrupt Biden administration did NOTHING   
   > to stop it? And now that Trump is doing something   
   > to stop those drugs, all you can do is WHINE about   
   > it? Your extreme TDS is truly becoming insufferable.   
      
   So, you and MAGA really think that the COVID19 vaccinated people   
   didn't have any real protection against it? That, more of them   
   got it than the unvaccinated?   
      
   It's a brain teaser but AI CoPilot says this: (quoted fully)   
      
   ðŸŽ¯ The core idea   
   When most people are vaccinated, then most people who get COVID will   
   also be vaccinated, even if the vaccine reduces each person’s risk.   
      
   It’s not about the vaccine failing — it’s about who makes up the   
   population.   
      
   Let me show you with a tiny imaginary town.   
      
   ðŸ�˜ï¸� Imagine a town of 100 people   
   80 vaccinated   
   20 unvaccinated   
   Now imagine COVID hits.   
      
   Vaccinated people have lower risk, so only 10% of them get infected.   
   10% of 80 = 8 vaccinated infections   
      
   Unvaccinated people have higher risk, so 30% of them get infected.   
   30% of 20 = 6 unvaccinated infections   
      
   ðŸ“Š What the numbers look like   
   Group	Size	Infection rate	Infected   
   Vaccinated	80	10%	8   
   Unvaccinated	20	30%	6   
   ðŸ¤¯ Here’s the twist   
   Even though vaccinated people were less likely to get infected, the town   
   still ends up with:   
      
   8 vaccinated infections   
      
   6 unvaccinated infections   
      
   So most infections (8 out of 14) are in vaccinated people.   
      
   But the individual risk is still lower for vaccinated people.   
      
   This is the whole phenomenon.   
      
   ðŸ§  Why this confused so many people   
   People saw headlines like:   
      
   â€œMost new cases are in vaccinated peopleâ€�   
      
   And thought:   
      
   â€œThat must mean the vaccine doesn’t workâ€�   
      
   But really it meant:   
      
   â€œMost people are vaccinated, so they show up more in every statistic —   
   including infectionsâ€�   
      
   Same reason:   
      
   Most car‑crash victims wear seatbelts   
      
   Most cancer patients have eaten bread   
      
   Most people who drown know how to swim   
      
   Because those groups are big, not because the thing caused the outcome.   
      
   ðŸ”   
    If you want, I can build you a proportional chart   
   You’ve been doing a lot of exhibit‑style work — I can turn this into a   
   clean, annotated visual that shows exactly how the math works.   
      
   But...if most people are vaccinated and they still get infected, doesn't   
   that mean they haven't accomplished anything in protecting themselves?   
      
   Let’s slow this down and make it intuitive, Gary — because your question   
   is completely reasonable. It feels like a contradiction at first glance.   
   But once you separate individual protection from population statistics,   
   the whole thing clicks into place.   
      
   I’ll walk you through it in the clearest way possible.   
      
   ðŸ§© 1. “Most cases are in vaccinated peopleâ€� does NOT mean “vaccines   
   didn’t helpâ€�   
   This is the trap.   
      
   When a population is mostly vaccinated, vaccinated people will dominate   
   every statistic — cases, hospitalizations, deaths — even if their   
   individual risk is much lower.   
      
   It’s a simple numbers game.   
      
   ðŸ›¡ï¸� 2. What vaccines actually accomplished   
   Vaccines did three things reliably:   
      
   âœ” Reduced the chance of infection (especially pre‑Omicron)   
   Not to zero — but significantly.   
      
   âœ” Greatly reduced the chance of hospitalization   
   This held true even during Omicron waves.   
      
   âœ” Dramatically reduced the chance of death   
   This is the strongest and most consistent effect across all data.   
      
   So even if vaccinated people still got infected, they were far less   
   likely to get seriously ill.   
      
   That’s the accomplishment.   
      
   ðŸ§  3. The key misunderstanding: “most casesâ€� vs. “your personal riskâ€�   
   Let me give you a clean analogy.   
      
   Seatbelts don’t prevent all car crashes.   
   Most drivers wear seatbelts.   
   So most people in car crashes are wearing seatbelts.   
      
   Does that mean seatbelts “did nothingâ€�?   
      
   Of course not.   
      
   Seatbelts reduce your personal risk of dying or being seriously injured.   
      
   Vaccines work the same way.   
      
   ðŸ“Š 4. A simple example that makes the math obvious   
   Imagine:   
      
   90% of people are vaccinated   
      
   Vaccinated people have half the risk of infection   
      
   Unvaccinated people have double the risk   
      
   You still end up with more total infections among vaccinated people,   
   because they’re the majority.   
      
   But each vaccinated person is still safer than each unvaccinated person.   
      
   This is the whole phenomenon.   
      
   ðŸ”¥ 5. So did vaccinated people “accomplish anythingâ€�?   
   Yes — and the accomplishment is measurable:   
      
   Lower chance of infection   
      
   Much lower chance of hospitalization   
      
   Much lower chance of death   
      
   Even when breakthrough infections became common, the severity gap   
   between vaccinated and unvaccinated people remained large.   
      
   If you zoom out from “who got infectedâ€� to “who ended up in the ICU,â€�   
   the picture becomes extremely clear.   
      
   ðŸ§­ 6. Why this feels confusing   
   Because humans think in terms of proportions, not base rates.   
      
   When you hear:   
      
   â€œMost cases were in vaccinated peopleâ€�   
      
   Your brain interprets it as:   
      
   â€œVaccinated people were more likely to get infectedâ€�   
      
   But the real meaning is:   
      
   â€œMost people were vaccinated, so they show up more in the numbersâ€�   
      
   It’s a population‑math illusion.   
   https://copilot.microsoft.com/chats/tbQnjbwtQ44L2pRC8MA4D   
      
   So, you see, AI's able to think beyond the usual human conceptual   
   boundaries!   
      
   Scary. But, there is social responsibility and sometimes the lack   
   of it requires a governmental intrusion - the health officials   
   announce a health emergency that demands severe social restrictions.   
   And as the record shows, the CDC had an extraordinary test-kit   
   failure via contamination. It delayed the survey that officials   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)