From: jtem01@gmail.com
On 3/6/26 2:46 AM, Steven Douglas wrote:
> JTEM posted:
>> I'm actually at something of a loss to explain why Putin
>> hasn't gone Full Nelson on the Ukraine yet.
>
> Russia is a lot weaker than many people think. That
> war has been a really bad disaster for Russia. Do
> you know how many men they have lost since Putin
> made the bad decision to attack Ukraine?
You misunderstood.
Russia has been fighting a limited war against an enemy
with what has been up 'til now an unlimited credit card
and the complete catalog of western military hardware
PLUS intelligence. The satellite data alone had to be
absolutely KILLER.
Anyway, Russia has been fighting with one arm tied behind
its back. So what I am wondering is why they haven't untied
that arm.
>> There's only two explanations which might work...
>>
>> #1. Trump completely fooled Putin. He didn't know the
>> attacks on Iran were coming, he had no time to prepare
>> for the event so he hasn't been able to take advantage of
>> it.
> Putin doesn't have the ability to do anything about
> it
You seriously lost track of the conversation THAT fast? I'm
talking about the Ukraine war. I'm saying that /Maybe/
Trumps action in Iran caught Putin off guard, so he had no
time to make the preparations IN THE UKRAINE to take advantage
of America's focus being elsewhere.
>> #2. Putin believes there will be a "Next Phase" and
>> he's waiting for THAT.
> I think he and Xi are stunned by how easy the U.S.
> and Israel were able to rid the world of Iran's
> evil top leadership. And how easily we're taking
> out all of Iran's defenses.
You're just regurgitating talking points.
There's objectives. You don't know what they are. I don't
know what they are. Nobody tells us. The one and only thing
we both know is if anyone is telling us something then it's
probably a lie...
The objective is never "Kill people." the objective is a
policy goal, hopefully a long term policy goal. Neither of
us have any reason to believe that any such objective has
been reached.
>> If American boots hit the ground
>
> I don't see why that would be necessary.
Of course you don't. You'd have to first accept the fact
that neither of us receive the Presidential Daily Brief,
we don't know what the objectives are -- we can only guess
-- so we have no idea what is necessary to achieve those
objectives.
>> in Iran we are officially
>> "Stuck" in a war. Even if it's a short war we are "Stuck"
>> in that short war. So Putin can do anything he goddamn
>> pleases
>
> No, he really can't.
Yes. He really can.
>> and when we get "Unstuck" Russia in the Ukraine
>> will simply be a fact of life and Trump will have to
>> accept it.
>
> People have been saying that about Russia winning
> that war since the day Putin started it.
And he is winning it. Look at the territory he holds!
The Ukraine keeps LOSING territory! Yes they keep
launching offensives, temporarily gaining some ground,
but that's not even their objective. They're hitting
the Russians where they are weakest so the Russians
will have to cannibalize where they are the strongest,
(hopefully) stopping the offensive.
>> Simple: We get "Stuck" in Iran, Putin is king of the
>> world, or at least Europe...
>
> It wasn't all that long ago that you crowned Iran
> as the new SUPER POWER of the Middle East.
And I was right! In fact, it is precisely why we are
at war with them! No, not because they were weak but
because they were so much of a threat.
I can't make you think much less understand, but I've
pointed this all out multiple times...
--
https://jtem.tumblr.com/
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)
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