XPost: misc.survivalism, alt.guns, alt.politics.trump   
   From: DB@cocks.net   
      
   Perhaps this explains the illegal alien party (Democrat Party) doing a   
   full court press to disarm American citizens as soon as possible with   
   new gun laws. The Democrat Party's imported illegal aliens will be   
   competing directly for employment and be going to the same soup lines as   
   American citizens. When American citizens are disarmed, they will be at   
   a disadvantage to armed Mexican and Venezuelan drug cartels and other   
   armed and dangerous Third World invaders.   
      
   On top of that, billionaires will be buying up housing being sold for   
   unpaid property taxes or unpaid bank loans as the American middle class   
   is destroyed and the U.S. becomes a Third World hell hole.   
      
      
   https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/world-n   
   ws/chinas-factories-being-crushed-by-u-s-tariffs-workers-going-u   
   paid-riot-for-usa-depression-like-conditions-by-august   
      
   China's Factories Being CRUSHED by U.S. Tariffs; Workers Going Unpaid,   
   RIOT; For USA "Depression-Like" Conditions by August   
      
   China’s factory activity contracted at its fastest pace in 16 months in   
   April, as steep US tariffs took a heavy toll on the manufacturing   
   sector, adding urgency to Beijing’s efforts to roll out fresh economic   
   stimulus.  For the US, Artificial Intelligence says "Depression-Like"   
   Conditions by August.   
      
   The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.0 in   
   April, the weakest reading since December 2023, according to data   
   released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday. A   
   reading below 50 signals a contraction.   
      
   Zhao Qinghe, a senior statistician at the NBS, said in a statement that   
   the contraction in factory activity was due to “sharp changes in the   
   external environment and other factors.”   
      
   The acute decline underscores the damage that US President Donald   
   Trump’s 145% tariffs on Chinese goods have already inflicted on the   
   country’s export and manufacturing-reliant economy. Chinese   
   manufacturers began to feel the brunt of the sky-high levies last month,   
   as order cancellations and production cuts spread, raising fresh   
   concerns over the country’s growth prospects.   
      
   The April data marks a setback for Beijing, as top leaders strive to   
   maintain a defiant and confident posture amid Trump’s trade war. The   
   Chinese economy was already struggling with weak domestic consumption   
   and a protracted property crisis.   
      
   While activity in China’s services and construction sectors showed   
   marginal expansion, with non-manufacturing PMI hitting the 50.4 level,   
   the April data points to a downturn. A parallel measure of new export   
   orders also dived to 44.7, the lowest since late 2022 when the country   
   was still grappling with the Covid-19 pandemic.   
      
   Robin Xing, chief China economist at Morgan Stanley, wrote in a   
   Wednesday research note that the decline in PMI shows the impact of   
   tariffs, which has led to weakening external demand.   
      
   “We believe the tariff impact will be the most acute this quarter, as   
   many exporters have halted their production and shipments to the US,   
   given heightened tariff uncertainties,” the report said. “The overall   
   policy framework remains reactive and supply-centric, insufficient to   
   offset tariff shocks.”   
      
   FACTORIES ARE NOT PAYING WORKERS   
      
   Unpaid factory workers are burning buildings, unrest is spreading, and   
   Xi Jinping is fighting turmoil from within.   
      
   Here in the United States, the port of Seattle found itself pretty much   
   EMPTY of inbound ocean container ships on Monday.  Three vessels were in   
   the port and almost finished unloading, with zero vessels from China   
   reported inbound and zero ships outside the port waiting to get in.   
      
   Elsewhere, the Port of Los Angeles says shipping volume will plummet 35%   
   next week as China tariffs start to bite.   
      
   After Los Angeles, similar plummeting is expected at the port of   
   Houston, two weeks from now, and similar plummeting is expected at the   
   port of New York City, three weeks from now.   
      
   As containers stop arriving from China, Americans will begin to see   
   product outages on store shelves.   
      
   "AI" Projects "Depression-Like" Conditions by July   
      
   Artificial Intelligence (AI) makes some stark observations and   
   predictions for how the Trade War pans-out.  Below is one AI analysis   
   which says the DOW drops below 30,000 and Depression-Like Conditions   
   appear in the US by August.   
      
   MAY 2025 – Tipping Begins   
   • Markets peak, then stall as GDP and consumer data come in soft.   
   • Tariff costs hit wholesalers and retailers, leading to sudden price   
   hikes in goods like electronics, appliances, clothing, and food.   
   • China retaliates—slaps tariffs on U.S. soy, semiconductors, and autos.   
   EU follows with steel and tech equipment.   
   • Small businesses slow hiring; jobless claims tick up.   
      
   Outcome: Fear spreads. Volatility rises. Bond markets start whispering   
   “stagflation.”   
      
   JUNE 2025 – Confidence Breaks   
   • CPI spikes due to import costs, but retail sales fall—a stagflation   
   marker.   
   • Corporate earnings warnings surge. Supply chains begin to shut down.   
   • Farm bankruptcies increase, especially in the Midwest.   
   • U.S. allies publicly condemn U.S. policy, further isolating Trump   
   diplomatically.   
   • Consumer confidence collapses.   
      
   Outcome: Recession officially declared in some models. Yield curve   
   inverts. S&P 500 drops 15–20% from highs.   
      
      
      
   JULY 2025 – Crash Conditions Emerge   
   • Multiple retail chains and manufacturers announce mass layoffs.   
   • Dow drops below 30,000 as major indexes correct >25%.   
   • Corporate credit markets freeze—companies can’t refinance debt.   
   • Trump holds “America First Prosperity” rallies, denying any crisis.   
   • Fed is paralyzed: rate cuts won’t fix supply-driven inflation.   
      
   Outcome: This is the entry point into depression conditions—unemployment   
   rising, deflation risk in asset markets, and structural demand destruction.   
      
   AUGUST 2025 – Depression Becomes Visible   
   • Unemployment hits 7–8%, rising fast.   
   • Consumer credit defaults surge.   
   • Housing demand crashes, prices roll over, mortgage lenders falter.   
   • Bank stress appears in regional lenders tied to small business or farming.   
   • Global markets decouple or fall into contagion.   
      
   Outcome: The term “depression” enters media discourse seriously. Trump’s   
   approval collapses even among loyalists. Calls for emergency action   
   rise—likely too late.   
      
   Bottom Line:   
      
   If the tariffs are not reversed by mid-June, the U.S. enters   
   self-induced economic contraction that becomes depression-like by August   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)