XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.politics.elections, alt.politics.democrats   
   XPost: alt.politics.usa   
   From: pothead@snakebite.com   
      
   On 2024-10-12, Ubiquitous  wrote:   
   > Panic is beginning to set in at Kamala Harris headquarters — and there   
   > is a reason for that.   
   >   
   > Brand-new polling was released by Quinnipiac on Wednesday showing that   
   > Harris is dropping like a stone in some of the swing states.   
   >   
   > On September 18, when Quinnipiac conducted their last poll, Harris was   
   > up by five points over former President Trump. Today, Trump is up three   
   > points in that same poll, an eight-point swing in his favor.   
   >   
   > In that same September poll, Harris was up one point in Wisconsin, but   
   > the new poll shows Trump up two points. In Pennsylvania, where she’s   
   > spending tons of money, she was up by six; now, she leads by three.   
   >   
   > This was predictable because the reality is that Harris has always been   
   > a balloon. Once you puncture the balloon, the air is going to start   
   > pouring out.   
   >   
   > It is quite possible that Trump’s vote is being underplayed because it   
   > is extremely difficult to get low and mid-propensity voters to answer   
   > poll questions.   
   >   
   > If you’re a person who’s definitely going to vote, you want to talk to   
   > the pollster; you want to show your support for the candidate.   
   >   
   > But let’s say there’s someone who sometimes votes and sometimes   
   > doesn’t. If a pollster calls them, that person is going to say, “Dude,   
   > I’m busy. I don’t even care that much.”   
   >   
   > That’s the point: Trump is leading among low-propensity voters and   
   > mid-propensity voters 52 to 45. Harris is leading among high-propensity   
   > voters, 51 to 47.   
   >   
   > The issue in the polling data is that it’s difficult to tell who is   
   > voting for Trump and who is not because they’re not responding to phone   
   > calls.   
   >   
   > CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez confessed, “I had one source describe it to me   
   > this way: ‘People are nervous. They know the polls are tight and a lot   
   > of us are having these flashbacks to 2016 too. We know when they can go   
   > the wrong way and it can still feel fresh.’”   
   >   
   > 2016 is the key here. Comparing what’s happening now to 2016, Donald   
   > Trump is in a better poll position than he has been at any point in any   
   > race he has ever run.   
   >   
   > In the Real Clear Politics polling average, Trump leads Harris by three   
   > in Michigan. At this point in time in 2016, Hillary Clinton had a 7.3   
   > percentage point lead on him there. In 2020, Joe Biden had a 6.7% lead   
   > on Trump in Michigan.   
   >   
   > In Wisconsin, Harris is leading by about half a point. But in October   
   > of 2020, Joe Biden was leading by five and a half points. Biden won the   
   > state by .63 percentage points. So that is a gap of 5% from what people   
   > thought was going to happen by polling data.   
   >   
   > The same thing is happening in Pennsylvania. According to the latest   
   > Pennsylvania polling for Real Clear Politics, Trump is up by 0.3   
   > percentage points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton was leading by nine; at   
   > this point in October of 2020, Joe Biden was leading by seven.   
   >   
   > Looking at these polling stats, it appears that Trump is in a pretty   
   > solid position if he is getting under-polled at all.   
   >   
   > Harris is lagging behind minority voters. She’s lagging among black   
   > voters. She’s lagging among Hispanic voters. She’s really   
   > underperforming, and she’s going to underperform with men generally.   
   >   
   > Kamala Harris has a very short shelf life. Politically, she’s like a   
   > bottle of milk on expiration date. There are five minutes before that   
   > stuff starts to smell sour.   
   >   
   > Right now, she is going sour with the American people. The American   
   > people are sick of the “brat.” They’re sick of the “vibes.” They don’t   
   > believe in the “joy.” They don’t believe any of that.   
   >   
   > She’s an empty suit. The lady is an entire men’s warehouse of empty   
   > suits.   
   >   
   > --   
   > Let's go Brandon!   
   >   
      
   As soon as her handlers turned Kamala Harris loose the people quickly realized   
   what a box of rocks she is and they don't trust her.   
   When she cannot handle softball interviews without sounding like an idiot, she   
   has a serious problem.   
      
   The voters had better remember the voter's remorse they endured after they   
   elected Joe Biden only this time it will be far worse should Kamala Harris   
   somehow get elected Joe's brain may be demented but at least he has a brain.   
   Unlike Kamala Harris..   
      
      
   --   
   pothead   
   Kama Lama Ding Dong is the long lost sister of   
   Rama Lama Ding Dong   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)