XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.politics.elections, alt.politics.democrats   
   XPost: alt.politics.usa   
   From: NoOne@private.corp   
      
   On 10/16/2024 7:43 AM, Mitchell Holman wrote:   
   > pothead  wrote in   
   > news:veod5p$28m62$2@dont-email.me:   
   >   
   >> On 2024-10-12, Ubiquitous  wrote:   
   >>> Panic is beginning to set in at Kamala Harris headquarters — and   
   >>> there is a reason for that.   
   >>>   
   >>> Brand-new polling was released by Quinnipiac on Wednesday showing   
   >>> that Harris is dropping like a stone in some of the swing states.   
   >>>   
   >>> On September 18, when Quinnipiac conducted their last poll, Harris   
   >>> was up by five points over former President Trump. Today, Trump is up   
   >>> three points in that same poll, an eight-point swing in his favor.   
   >>>   
   >>> In that same September poll, Harris was up one point in Wisconsin,   
   >>> but the new poll shows Trump up two points. In Pennsylvania, where   
   >>> she’s spending tons of money, she was up by six; now, she leads by   
   >>> three.   
   >>>   
   >>> This was predictable because the reality is that Harris has always   
   >>> been a balloon. Once you puncture the balloon, the air is going to   
   >>> start pouring out.   
   >>>   
   >>> It is quite possible that Trump’s vote is being underplayed because   
   >>> it is extremely difficult to get low and mid-propensity voters to   
   >>> answer poll questions.   
   >>>   
   >>> If you’re a person who’s definitely going to vote, you want to talk   
   >>> to the pollster; you want to show your support for the candidate.   
   >>>   
   >>> But let’s say there’s someone who sometimes votes and sometimes   
   >>> doesn’t. If a pollster calls them, that person is going to say,   
   >>> “Dude, I’m busy. I don’t even care that much.”   
   >>>   
   >>> That’s the point: Trump is leading among low-propensity voters and   
   >>> mid-propensity voters 52 to 45. Harris is leading among   
   >>> high-propensity voters, 51 to 47.   
   >>>   
   >>> The issue in the polling data is that it’s difficult to tell who is   
   >>> voting for Trump and who is not because they’re not responding to   
   >>> phone calls.   
   >>>   
   >>> CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez confessed, “I had one source describe it to   
   >>> me this way: ‘People are nervous. They know the polls are tight and   
   >>> a lot of us are having these flashbacks to 2016 too. We know when   
   >>> they can go the wrong way and it can still feel fresh.’”   
   >>>   
   >>> 2016 is the key here. Comparing what’s happening now to 2016, Donald   
   >>> Trump is in a better poll position than he has been at any point in   
   >>> any race he has ever run.   
   >>>   
   >>> In the Real Clear Politics polling average, Trump leads Harris by   
   >>> three in Michigan. At this point in time in 2016, Hillary Clinton had   
   >>> a 7.3 percentage point lead on him there. In 2020, Joe Biden had a   
   >>> 6.7% lead on Trump in Michigan.   
   >>>   
   >>> In Wisconsin, Harris is leading by about half a point. But in October   
   >>> of 2020, Joe Biden was leading by five and a half points. Biden won   
   >>> the state by .63 percentage points. So that is a gap of 5% from what   
   >>> people thought was going to happen by polling data.   
   >>>   
   >>> The same thing is happening in Pennsylvania. According to the latest   
   >>> Pennsylvania polling for Real Clear Politics, Trump is up by 0.3   
   >>> percentage points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton was leading by nine; at   
   >>> this point in October of 2020, Joe Biden was leading by seven.   
   >>>   
   >>> Looking at these polling stats, it appears that Trump is in a pretty   
   >>> solid position if he is getting under-polled at all.   
   >>>   
   >>> Harris is lagging behind minority voters. She’s lagging among black   
   >>> voters. She’s lagging among Hispanic voters. She’s really   
   >>> underperforming, and she’s going to underperform with men generally.   
   >>>   
   >>> Kamala Harris has a very short shelf life. Politically, she’s like a   
   >>> bottle of milk on expiration date. There are five minutes before that   
   >>> stuff starts to smell sour.   
   >>>   
   >>> Right now, she is going sour with the American people. The American   
   >>> people are sick of the “brat.” They’re sick of the “vibes.” They   
   >>> don’t believe in the “joy.” They don’t believe any of that.   
   >>>   
   >>> She’s an empty suit. The lady is an entire men’s warehouse of empty   
   >>> suits.   
   >>>   
   >>> --   
   >>> Let's go Brandon!   
   >>>   
   >>   
   >> As soon as her handlers turned Kamala Harris loose the people quickly   
   >> realized what a box of rocks she is and they don't trust her. When she   
   >> cannot handle softball interviews without sounding like an idiot, she   
   >> has a serious problem.   
   >   
   >   
   >      Kamala played Trump like a fiddle at the debate.   
      
   True. That's why Trump is afraid to debate again.   
   >   
   >   
   >>   
   >> The voters had better remember the voter's remorse they endured after   
   >> they elected Joe Biden only this time it will be far worse should   
   >> Kamala Harris somehow get elected Joe's brain may be demented but at   
   >> least he has a brain. Unlike Kamala Harris..   
   >   
   >   
   >      Kamala is a seasoned trial prosecutor,   
   > Trump is a confused old man in diapers who   
   > runs away at every confrontation.   
   >   
   >   
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   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)