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|    Message 7,397 of 8,068    |
|    The Wise One to All    |
|    "Super Models -- derivative algorithms"    |
|    19 Nov 08 23:05:34    |
      From: the.wise.one@abel.co.uk              Super Models -- derivative algorithms                     Fashion models and financial models are similar. They bear a similar       relationship to the everyday world. Like supermodels, financial models       are idealized representations of the real world, they are not real, they       don't quite work in the way that the real world works. There is       celebrity in both worlds. In the end, there is the same inevitable       disappointment.               There is an apocryphal story about a bar in new York, a hangout for       models. It is about a cruel joke played on a young, 20-something quant       employed in an investment bank. The traders suspected that the geeky       young man had never had a date. They took him to the bar and told him       that it was frequented by his type of women -- modellers. The young man       was dubious, sensing that he was being set up, but he desperately wanted       to bond with the traders to reduce the constant ragging that he endured.               They took their places at the bar and fuelled themselves to an       appropriate level of intoxication. 'You see that girl,' a trader nudged       the quant. The quant focused his glasses on a tall woman sitting at a       table. 'She's giving you the eye,' the trader continued. 'Go over,' he       commanded. 'Talk to her.'               The quant sensed danger; this was not smart. The other traders now       joined in, urging him to make a move. Left without choice, he pushed       back his chair and began to walk in the general direction of the woman.        The traders were taking bets on the result of the encounter: the       betting favoured the quant being slapped and told to 'F*** off'.               The quant made his way to the table. 'Can I join you?' he asked.       The woman scrutinized her suitor. He did not look like a sexual       deviant. She nodded.               The quant sat down, thinking of a way to start a conversation. He       remembered they were modellers. 'I'm working on a new model that adapts       the Black-Scholes framework to incorporate mean reversion in       commodities,' he blurted out. The woman looked at him strangely. 'You       know,' she drawled. 'I did my PhD on a similar problem. That's before       I realized that there's more money in strutting up and down catwalks in       your underwear.' She smiled at the young man. 'Where are you from?'       The quant smiled back broadly. Models are sometimes full of surprises.               The worlds of derivatives and models frequently collide. This       chapter is the story of the intertwined history of derivatives and their       mathematical models, their successes and their failures...                     from:       "Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and unknowns in the dazzling world of       derivatives"       by Satyajit Das       FT Prentice Hall, 2006       Chapter 6: Super Models -- derivative algorithms       pages 181-182              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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