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   alt.ufo.reports      The latest from planet crackpot      8,965 messages   

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   Message 8,157 of 8,965   
   Notanaussieblowhard to MrPosti...@kymhorsell.com   
   Re: where do ufos come from? (1/2)   
   03 Feb 21 14:48:55   
   
   From: jimmyw836@gmail.com   
      
   On Sunday, January 31, 2021 at 9:05:53 AM UTC-5, MrPosti...@kymhorsell.com   
   wrote:   
   > EXECUTIVE SUMMARY    
   > - The ebb and flow of UFO sightings looks suspiciously similar to a    
   > curve of the distance to certain outer planets. This supports the    
   > idea that many UFO types have some connection with Uranus, Neptune    
   > and/or Pluto or objects further out.    
   > - No UFO type seems to favor Mars, Jupiter or Saturn as a possible    
   > base. The curve of the distance to these planets looks nothing like    
   > the monthly curve of UFO sightings.    
   > - A couple UFO types best match the "rapid" changing positions Mercury    
   > and/or Venus. But the R2 "explanation power" for these 2 cases are    
   > much less than the link between Disk type UFO's and the outer planets.    
   > - A "link" doesn't prove that certain UFO's "come from" another    
   > planet. Just that -- for some reason -- the movement of a    
   > particular planet seems to predict beyond chance rises and falls in    
   > the sightings of that UFO type.    
   > - It may be possible to determine whether UFO's fly between other    
   > planets and earth and, if so, how fast they cover interplanetary    
   > distances by using a more precise model for planetary position than    
   > the current one. If we find UFO's likely travel "instantaneously"    
   > it may be evidence at least some of them are indeed ET if not interstellar.    
   >    
   >    
   > In a previous post () we looked at    
   > correlating UFO sightings (the NUFORC monthly counts) against the    
   > positions of selected planets. Keeping in mind a particular intel    
   > "insider" has publicly mentioned there is a "ufo base" on Mars we were    
   > not too surprised to see there was a significant correlation between    
   > the position of Mars in its orbit and the ebb and flow of UFO sightings.    
   >    
   > However, it was even more interesting to see he position of Saturn was    
   > "far more" correlated with the pattern of sightings than the    
   > position of Mars.    
   >    
   > The various s/w I use have now discovered some even more significant    
   > relationships between the UFO sighting data and planetary positions,    
   > breaking down which UFO "shapes" are best correlated with the    
   > positions of each planet + Pluto (recently discovered to be another    
   > surprise potential location for life in our lil family).    
   >    
   > Based on just the NUFORC data from 2006 (when a significant change of    
   > methodology makes mixing prior data problematic, esp when broken down    
   > by shape or color categories) we find:    
   >    
   > Shape Planet Long R2    
   >    
   > Disk Uranus 0.667 0.31647975    
   > Other Pluto 0.068 0.26973047    
   > Cigar Neptune 0.418 0.26517661    
   > Oval Pluto 0.020 0.26358568    
   > All Neptune 0.457 0.25074501    
   > Light Uranus 0.715 0.24079810    
   > Triangle Neptune 0.522 0.23240760    
   > Circle Pluto 0.537 0.21817319    
   > Unknown Uranus 0.700 0.21469231    
   > Rectangle Pluto 0.506 0.21248348    
   > Flash Neptune 0.510 0.21068926    
   > Sphere Pluto 0.475 0.19403847    
   > Chevron Pluto 0.679 0.18587672    
   > Egg Pluto 0.414 0.16995025    
   > Teardrop Neptune 0.965 0.14812345    
   > Diamond Pluto 0.142 0.12682502    
   > Changing Pluto 0.505 0.12291042    
   > Formation Uranus 0.305 0.12289519    
   > Fireball Pluto 0.079 0.10150917    
   > Cross Venus 0.245 0.05241401    
   > Cone Mercury 0.710 0.02840117    
   >    
   > The results are somewhat confusing but welcome to Data Science!    
   >    
   > The table is ordered by "most likely" to "least likely". So the    
   > assignment of "Disk" type UFO's to "Uranus" is much more likely to be    
   > correct than the assignment of "Cone" type UFO's to "Mercury".    
   >    
   > By "assignment" I mean the orbit for the relevant planet or an object    
   > at the same distance from the sun and at the specified ecliptic    
   > longitude on Jan 1 1900 has a statistically significant correlation    
   > with NUFORC monthly sightings from 2006-2020. The confidence of the    
   > statistical tests combined is around 99%. There's a 1% chance each    
   > result could be entirely due to coincidences in the dataset rather    
   > than anything "real".    
   >    
   > Given Pluto has moved so little over the 2006-2020 period it's    
   > possible any position in an (standard) anticlockwise orbit around the    
   > sun at distances more than 30 AU are about equivalent to "Pluto" for    
   > these calculations.    
   >    
   > The calculation essentially assumes sightings of UFO type X include a    
   > component that have travelled a very high speed from the planet    
   > specified in a straight line to earth. It is assumed the closer the    
   > planet is to earth the more of type X ufos will make the trip. The    
   > s/w uses various functions and transforms to make the curve of    
   > planetary distance as similar as possible to the curve for monthly    
   > ufo sightings. Some of these curves may be physically meaningless but    
   > are meant to give a "most generous" interpretation of the similarity    
   > between the 2 curves.    
   >    
   > It seems the data shows most ufo types seem to ebb and flow as if they    
   > were associated with a body like Pluto, orbiting fairly slowly far out    
   > in the regular solar system. As mentioned, "Pluto" could also mean any    
   > objects further out in the Kuiper Belt (now known to have a sharp    
   > outer edge) or even the Oort Cloud.    
   >    
   > Most of the other UFO types are assigned to one of the outer icy    
   > giants Neptune/Uranus. The positions of Jupiter and Saturn are no    
   > longer preferred to these outer planets (as opposite the the original    
   > posting that found Saturn to be the most likely of the planets tested).    
   >    
   > No ufo type was found to correlate best with the position of Mars.    
   >    
   > But a couple of types could not be correlated with the outer planets    
   > and matched better with Venus and Mercury.    
   >    
   > In a previous post we found the area density of observations of Cone    
   > type ufo's seemed to be the only type that was independent of    
   > placement of US Army or AF bases. All the other types showed a decline    
   > in density moving toward AF bases that indicated those types of UFO's    
   > seemed to be avoiding interception by military aircraft or, in some    
   > cases, "interception" by a hypersonic G2A missile. But the Cone type    
   > showed no variation in regard to any type of military based -- it was    
   > roughly equally likely to appear in any US state meaning either it was    
   > only avoiding something that flew at "infinite" speed -- e.g. being    
   > seen -- or maybe it was the more heavily armored UFO and did not fly    
   > defensively at all.    
   >    
   > Given there is this (let's say) weak evidence Cone types may be based    
   > or visit or at least have appearances that change suspiciously in    
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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