XPost: alt.paranet.ufo   
      
   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:   
   - Updating our correlation of virus data and UFO sighting data to   
     day-by-day granularity allows us to time shift one against the other   
     looking for the "best fit".   
   - Keeping in mind the assumed incubation for covid is regularly   
     reported to be "days" and sometimes "about 7 days" we find the best   
     R2 from the relevant lagged regression is found to be 6 days for US   
     new daily virus cases and 5 days for US daily virus deaths. This is   
     uncannily what we would expect if UFO reports were proximal with   
     some number of covid infections.   
   - SAD.   
      
      
   More interesting patterns in the inbox today.   
      
   Overnight the s/w got around to updating its NUFORC database and   
   collected up the sightings for all of 2020.   
      
   It already collects daily data from JHU for the pandemic and these   
   periodically get posted somewhere else.   
      
   But with daily granularity in both sets we can now compare sightings   
   and virus cases or virus deaths in detail.  One of the details is we   
   would expect the "best match" to happen around a lag of 7   
   days. I.e. if UFO activity goes up on day T then if UFO activity and   
   virus cases are connected in some way then we would expect virus cases   
   to go up around T+7. I.e. there is an incubation time. If UFO's are   
   involved then the "UFO activity" might be expected to be related to   
   "infection" but it takes around 1 wk for the initial infection to   
   fight its way past the initial immune reaction in the nose and throat   
   and work its way down into the lungs, liver, heart, kidneys, pancreas,   
   intestines, spinal cord and brain -- "incubation" they call it.   
      
   So we again are going to match up a list of numbers for UFO activity   
   -- i.e. daily sighting reports -- and daily new covid cases for e.g.   
   the USA as tallied by Johns Hopkins and others, and gently slide the   
   UFO numbers along day by day by day to see how the match might improve   
   and dis-improve and find at which lag or delay the match is best.   
      
   Here is the exercise for the US daily new covid cases data for 2020:   
      
   Lag	R2 ("goodness of fit" metric) from UFO/daily new covid cases ts regr   
   00	0.00082523   
   01	0.18592728   
   02	0.02414537   
   03	0.14584127   
   04	0.02834430   
   05	0.29605630	<-- 2nd bump   
   06	0.67975747	<-- best match!   
   07	0.10828186   
   08	0.02969608   
   09	0.00248858   
   10	0.00140389   
   11	0.00234559   
   12	0.00465695   
   13	0.00931614   
   14	0.04529383   
      
   WOW! The best match seems to happen around day 6. So close to the   
   expected value you could smell it!   
      
   Let's try the same exercise for the covid daily death data for the USA:   
      
   Lag		R2 from UFO/daily deaths ts regr   
   00	0.00420934   
   01	0.26323479   
   02	0.35751984	<-- 2nd bump   
   03	0.00000290   
   04	0.05189656   
   05	0.38536232	<-- best match   
   06	0.24090955   
   07	0.00624614   
   08	0.01052389   
   09	0.00153894   
   10	0.02952213   
   11	0.14455393   
   12	0.00925671   
   13	0.06713448   
   14	0.00710066   
      
   Again it seems if UFO activity goes up then around 5 days later the   
   death rate from covid goes up.   
      
   Interesting that the death bump comes a little before the main "new   
   case" bump. This probably says something about how the first virus   
   worked. A lot of people can fight it off -- in many people the part of   
   the immune system in the nose can kill it before it even develops into   
   a sniffle.   
      
   So some people fight the virus and it many 6 days before it develops   
   into something that would cause them or their doctor to do a test and   
   find that it's +ve.   
      
   OTOH some people can not fight the virus and after only 5 days those   
   people are dead from it.   
      
   In any case it is entirely suspicious that UFO activity is highly   
   correlated with covid cases after a time lag very very very close to   
   what we would expect if the time of the UFO activity corresponded to   
   initial infection.   
      
   Of course I may be totally mad. That's what I'm hoping, anyway.   
      
   --   
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   [Minibrains!]   
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   [continued in next message]   
      
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