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|    Message 8,187 of 8,965    |
|    MrPostingRobot@kymhorsell.com to All    |
|    ufos and tornadoes -- tracking flight ro    |
|    16 Mar 21 23:39:09    |
      EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:       - Similar to a prev post we chop the US48 up into latitude bands and        see whether storm activity seems to "interrupt" the travel of UFO's        from E to E or vv.       - We find relevant patterns. We also find windstorms don't seem to be        as important as hailstorms when looking for an effect on UFO        activity. Tornadoes also have an almost negligible impact on        E-W/W-E UFO travel.       - A possible "flight corridor" is revealed around long 85W. To the        west of that UFO's seem to "mostly" travel west. To the east of the        corridor they seem to mostly travel east.       - Combined with prev data posted is seems UFO's oftentimes come from        the N, get into the 85W corridor -- around the Ohio Valley and        Mississippi -- then split up east and west to do (whatever).                     In a previous post we saw data on tornadoes used as a kind of "passive       radar" to track possible flight routes of UFO's.              The idea was to locate a pattern where tornadoes in a band of latitude       across the US seemed to have a positive corr with UFO sightings in a       band on one side of the tornado band, and a negative corr in a band on       the other side.              We could interpret this as evidence that more tornadoes in the central       band seemed to cause UFO's to "pile up" on one side of the band       because they were inhibited from travelling through the storms, and       (consistently) "starved" on the other side.              In this way we could pinpoint in which direction UFO's might be flying       at various latitudes across the US.              It seemed from the data we looked at most UFO's seemed to be flying       from N to S because more tornadoes in various lat bands caused       sightings to increase to the N and decrease to the S of the tornado band.              We will now look at locating similar patterns using bands of       longitude. And we will also check the other types of storms the NOAA       has been keeping track of since 1950 -- i.e. hailstorms and       windstorms.              As before we chop up the US48 into 5-deg wide bands (~550 km), this       time running N/S. For each month since 1950 we compute the number of       tornadoes recorded in each band as well as the number of UFO sightings       recorded in the same longitude bands over the same period.              Then it's a matter of running a little program that will compute       time-series regressions using bands A, B, C where B is a band of storm       data and A and C are bands of UFO data -- B against A and B against C.       We look for the situation where both these TS regr are stat       significant and the signs of the betas are opposite.              The following table represents the summary results. The fine detail is       far too voluminous for mortals:               longitude band       stormtype A B C beta_ab beta_bc r2_ab r2_bc       hail -100 -95 -70 -5.65239 1.1156 0.58657744 0.30086143       hail -100 -95 -70 -5.65239 1.1156 0.58657744 0.30086143       hail -100 -95 -70 -5.65239 1.1156 0.58657744 0.30086143       hail -100 -95 -80 -5.65239 9.48006 0.58657744 0.28009550       hail -100 -95 -80 -5.65239 9.48006 0.58657744 0.28009550       hail -100 -95 -90 -5.65239 5.45152 0.58657744 0.24554827       hail -100 -95 -90 -5.65239 5.45152 0.58657744 0.24554827       hail -100 -85 -70 -4.11688 1.06516 0.48077574 0.33030840       hail -100 -85 -70 -4.11688 1.06516 0.48077574 0.33030840       hail -95 -80 -75 1.45559 -3.17667 0.47485289 0.44661260       hail -95 -80 -75 1.45559 -3.17667 0.47485289 0.44661260       hail -100 -90 -70 -5.72678 0.565266 0.46880559 0.06452935       hail -100 -90 -80 -5.72678 8.13944 0.46880559 0.22691812       hail -120 -80 -75 12.0204 -3.17667 0.32644105 0.44661260       torn -120 -80 -70 5.83422 -0.392899 0.26302291 0.12484681       torn -110 -80 -70 2.14279 -0.392899 0.25515163 0.12484681              As before, the "B" band is the band of storm data being used. In this       case with multiple types of storms in play all the storm data has been       normalised (Z scores) so we can compare the effects of UFO activity on       each. The A band is the UFO activity (NUFORC sightings) to the west of       band B and the C band is the UFO activity to the east. The beta's       show the effect of B on A and C and the r2's show the "explanation       power" of the relevant TS regr.              I've sorted the lines by the first R2 field so we can see the "most       likely" relationships at the top and the "less likely" at the       bottom. But, remember, all these regression passed a test that said it       could occur by chance alone only 10% of the time.              So the first thing to note is the B longitude bands. They show storms       down the bands 95W-90W, 85W-80W, 80W-75W, and 90W-85W seem to show the       pattern we're looking for. When storms increase in that band UFO       sightings increase on one side of the band and decrease on the other.              For the lines that show a -ve beta_ab we have some evidence that UFO's       may be normally travelling east to west at that longitude and storms       curtail some of that travel -- causing sightings to pile up to the       east and drop off to the west.              Lines of the table that show a +ve beta_ab are the opposite. Normal       UFO travel seems to be from west to east and storms in the B band cut       that travel down.              Another thing to note -- even tho we calculated these statistics for 3       types of storm only hail and tornado turned up. It seems UFO's are not       particularly fussed by windstorms. At least compared with the other types.              It seems hailstorms affect UFO travel patterns the most. Only 2 of       the lines in the table show tornadoes at some longitude affect UFO       sightings more than hail.              And, finally, we see there seems to be a "corridor" around longitude       85W. The evidence seems to point at UFO's "mostly" travelling west to       the west of that corridor, and mostly travelling to the east to the       east of that longitude.              Combined with other evidence it seems UFO's are oftentimes coming down       from the N, moving over to long 85W, and then dividing up east and       west to do whatever it is they are up to over the US48.              Of course I didn't check any of this with a Youtube psychic so take it       all with a grain of salt and do your own study.              --       Upcoming events:       08 Apr 2012 NOAA $bn disasters Q1 release              New "Soft Robot" Conquers The Deepest Part of the Ocean       The Debrief, 12 Mar 2021       Researchers in China have successfully tested a soft robot that swims       like a manta ray in the Mariana Trench, the...              [Wahh!]       Russia, after Twitter slowdown, accuses US of using IT to engage in unfair       competition       Yahoo News, 13 Mar 2021 10:32Z       Russia on Sat accused the United States of using IT opportunities to       engage in unfair competition and of social media platforms arbitrarily and ...              Microbes Unknown to Science Discovered on The International Space Station       ScienceAlert, 16 Mar 2021 06:26Z       The menagerie of bacterial and fungal species living among us is ever              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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