EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:   
   - We look at ~50 UFO sightings in the US involving unknown objects   
     apparently being chased by convention aircraft incl military jets.   
   - The pattern of "chases" can be predicted by many other data   
     including UFO sightings over (specifically) Montana -- possibly   
     related to visits to strategic locations -- or even sightings of Bigfoot.   
   - Other predictive variables include weather conditions in the Arctic   
     and Southern Ocean and ocean temperatures down to 100m.   
   - Patterns familiar from prev posts include a link with   
     cosmic rays as detected in Hawaii and phytoplankton growth in the   
     Southern Ocean and near the South Pole ("southwest Antarctic").   
      
      
   While military research on UFOs make have been kept under wraps for   
   most of the past 70y, sightings of military jets chasing various odd   
   things in the sky have been a regular feature of reports from the 60s.   
      
   From the NUFORC database reports featuring terms of some object being   
   "chased" by conventional aircraft, mostly jets and mostly "military   
   jet", the data looks like:   
      
   Year	Number of "X chased by [military] jet"   
   1965	1   
   1972	1   
   1975	1   
   1978	2   
   1991	1   
   1994	1   
   1997	1   
   1999	1   
   2001	1   
   2003	1   
   2005	1   
   2007	3   
   2008	5   
   2009	2   
   2010	3   
   2011	2   
   2012	6	<-- max   
   2014	4   
   2015	1   
   2016	4   
   2017	2   
   2018	2   
   2019	2   
   2020	2   
      
      
   We can throw this into the usual s/w to determine which features of   
   the weather, planetary positions or other odd sightings have   
   "something to do with" jets chasing UFO's.   
      
   And the results are interesting and maybe offer clues to why there is   
   suddenly such interest, at least in some parts of the US military, to   
   figure out more about the strange objects and their possible intentions.   
      
   The list of what the AI thinks are "interesting" relationships culled   
   from 1000s of highly significant predictive models is as follows:   
      
      
   Suspect         Lag  Filter  Transf  R2           Beta +- 90% CI   
                   (y)   
   ufo-MT          4    1.5     -y      0.89353510   -0.112393 +- 0.0106106   
   ufo-Flash       5    1.5     -y      0.84043239   -0.0346914 +- 0.00468413   
   sduranus-lonecl 2    1.5             0.81001783   0.0366979 +- 0.00412745   
   ufo-MN          10   1.5     -y      0.80624149   -0.0929728 +- 0.0134273   
   lat80           2    1.5     -y      0.78204495   -2.62918 +- 0.322344   
   zband-5         4    1.5             0.77055021   -0.386999 +- 0.086314   
   zseg12          0    1.5             0.73821817   -0.174271 +- 0.0379927   
   arc-170         2    1.5     -y      0.70804706   -0.297249 +- 0.0443279   
   N               4    1.5             0.63370722   0.505156 +- 0.113143   
   maxaravgNHocean 4    1.5             0.62525968   -1.00805 +- 0.184962   
   pseudo2         10   1.5     -y      0.60959902   -0.258469 +- 0.0664967   
   n2o_spo         1    1.5     -y      0.59033774   -0.0134603 +- 0.00302519   
   minuah_globe6   1    1.5     -y      0.58014094   -0.501758 +- 0.121905   
   cosmic-HLEA     4    1.5             0.52543972   -0.000196504 +- 0.000107035   
   bigfootann      3    1.5     -y      0.52259222   -0.792821 +- 0.389877   
   maxaravgSHland  2    1.5             0.52226509   -0.719832 +- 0.168502   
   dep1            0    1.5             0.33006614   -0.0924957 +- 0.0342   
      
   As usual, all these ARMA models pass statistical tests amount to 99%   
   confidence. This is high enough that most if not all the above are not   
   just due to chance patterns in the datasets.   
      
   At the top of the list is ufo-MT -- the code for UFO sightings over   
   Montana. Apparently UFO sightings over Montana like like the pattern   
   of UFO's chased by jets around 4 years later.  Why Montana? We can   
   maybe guess it might have something to do with ICBMs or strategic nukes.   
      
   There have been some fairly well documented cases of "visitations" to   
   ICBM silos where missiles appeared to be deactivated. We can speculate   
   section of the military might want to prevent repeat performances of   
   same and be prepared to at least try to harass unidentified aircraft   
   that were trying to overfly strategic nuclear sites.   
      
   Most of the other items follow familiar patterns. Chases have   
   "something to do with" temperatures nr the north pole ("lat80"), cloud   
   heights over the Southern Ocean ("zband-5"), and plankton growth in   
   the southern hemisphere and nr south pole ("pseudo2" and "n2o_spo").   
      
   Water temperatures between depths of 1 and 100 m predict about 1/3 of   
   chases (in the same year) and Bigfoot sightings across the US predict   
   about 1/2 of chases 3y later.   
      
   And, finally, we see a return of a relationship with cosmic radiation.   
   It seems UFO chases like other UFO sightings are affected by cosmic   
   rays. In this case the HLEA is the station in Hawaii that measures the   
   radiation. Rays from that location predict around 1/2 of UFO chase   
   sightings 4 years later. The \beta shows that more radiation foreshadows   
   fewer chases in later years.  From prev data posted it seems they hide   
   out in periods when cosmic rays are high. If "they" evolved in the   
   deep oceans on Earth or some other planet or moon it would make sense   
   they maybe haven't developed the kind of thick skins humans and other   
   surface dwellers might have.   
      
   Some of these relationships are unexplained, some have a better mental   
   model.  Conditions in the Southern Ocean incl plankton growth and N2O   
   levels in the atm in key locations seem to be a major concern of some   
   chunk of UFO activity. We've looked at this before and it seems a   
   chunk of UFO sightings seem to highly correlate with edible   
   phytoplankton (algae) but not so much with inedible phytoplankton   
   (types related to red tides) or plankton that sustain O2 levels in the   
   atm. We might speculate it's a food and raw chemicals source.   
      
   If Our Friends (tm; not necessarily friendly) come from some other   
   planet, as indicated by the highly significant links between UFO   
   sightings (incl chases) and the positions of key outer planets like   
   Uranus, maybe Earth plankton is a secondary food source similar to   
   what they find back home.  Or if UFO are "home grown" is may relate to   
   a human or nonhuman group "living sustainably off the (human) grid".   
      
   --   
   Upcoming events:   
   9 Jul 2021		NOAA bn Dollar Disasters Q2   
      
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   investigator   
   Daily Express, 02 Jun 2021 15:04Z   
   PENTAGON'S looming report on UFO phenomena has exposed a rift between the US   
   military and the country's intelligence agencies ...   
      
   [Invalid Self Reference!]   
      
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