From: kymhorsell@gmail.com   
      
   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:   
      
   - We look at "small quakes" and their connection with UFO   
     activity. These have been MIA until now due to an emphasis in most   
     databases of  tracking  the big and damaging events.  But   
     we've found in the past the links between major quakes and UFO's   
     seem less a result of or an attractant and more like a major   
     repellant and/or possible suppressant depending if they are where   
     UFO's are suspected of "hanging out" while visiting Planet Dirt, or   
     whether they happen in regions UFO's are interested in monitoring   
     for whatever reason.   
   - Small quakes maintained in a database at Caltech seem to be a   
     missing part of the puzzle. They are very closely predicted by both   
     California UFO activity and US48 sightings as well.   
   - While there seems to be no evidence (yet) for UFO's being attracted   
     to volcanoes or earthquakes large or small, the link with small   
     quakes suggests some "digging" activity may be happening somewhere.   
     Possibly many places.   
   - Other data still being processed lends further support to a mental   
     model of "digging". The GRACE sat data finds almost every US state   
     shows an anomalous (if small) missing mass following increases in   
     UFO activity and a slight "return to normal" when UFO activity   
     declines again. We've seen "contrails" coming from some UFO's in pix   
     released by certain govts. Maybe its not a bio-weapon under test or   
     disinfectant being released -- they are just getting rid of dirt.   
      
      
   We've seen before there are strong links between UFO's and major   
   earthquakes. The interpretation I posted some time back before I was   
   fully aware of the folklore was that major quakes in some regions   
   seemed to be a UFO stimulant; while the same kind of events in other   
   regions seemed to suppress UFO activity.   
      
   But the folklore has a slightly different spin. Some people believe   
   that quakes can "attract" UFOs for some reason.  In the past I've had   
   trouble reproducing or supporting this link. Similar to the situation   
   my s/w is having with volcanoes -- where some UFO researchers posit   
   unusual objects are "often seen" around volcanoes (e.g. in S America)   
   -- but the stats so far coming out of one or other AI's seems to   
   suggest other things are responsible for the apparent   
   association. E.g. volcanoes are typically far from the coast and in   
   some countries there is a big different between coastal and   
   non-coastal areas in terms of UFO activity. I.e. seeing UFO's around a   
   volcano is largely a coincidence. They are apparently there for some   
   other reason.   
      
   But the problem now seems to be partly clarified with the realization   
   extant earthquake data is implicitly biased and it's the bias that has   
   led to the non-results to date. It turns out scientists and various   
   organisations place greater import on tracking "major quakes" than   
   small ones. Large quakes are not only significant in terms of threats   
   -- which is what many organisations that track them tend to be working   
   on -- but the number of small quakes is extremely large, making it   
   difficult to keep track of them all and more costly to build and   
   maintain instruments good enough and numerous enough to register them   
   in the first place.   
      
   One of the programs that's running on my system has now found a   
   database that includes a lot of details on daily tremors even down to   
   -ve magnitudes. The database query form also seems to include check   
   boxes to allow searches for tremors that have been machine classified   
   as events other than quakes -- e.g. mining activity, nuclear blasts,   
   etc. So it all looks promising to twiddle with in the near future.   
      
   But today we'll use the data just around California to check again   
   whether and how *small* quakes are connected with local and regional   
   UFO activity. The first tranche of events the s/w has uploaded this   
   morning are small quakes between mag -1 and mag 1 within ~100 km of   
   the San Francisco area. It turns out just between 2020 and 2023 there   
   have been almost 80,000 of them.  Now *that's* the kind of data I've   
   been wanting to see. :)   
      
   And the programs immediately find that UFO activity is implicated in   
   the *creation* of some large chunk of these events.  When UFO activity   
   in California goes up and down then in the month following that small   
   quake activity goes up and down in parallel. More unusually, the UFO   
   activity of the whole 48 goes up and down in parallel a month later.   
      
   So we can see how this links in with another hot topic I've started   
   looking at -- missing mass measured by gravity sats that appears to   
   follow the activity of UFOs up and down. AKA possible tunnelling or   
   base-building activity.   
      
   But back to the small quake data. For the sample uploaded so far and   
   divided up into consecutive months we find the numbers are:   
      
   Date	Number of small quakes around SF   
   (yyyy.mm)   
   2020.04 1408   
   2020.12 1306   
   2020.21 1400   
   2020.29 3028   
   2020.38 1990   
   2020.46 1815   
   2020.54 1737   
   2020.62 1607   
   2020.71 1594   
   2020.79 1393   
   2020.88 978   
   2020.96 991   
   2021.04 707   
   2021.12 887   
   2021.21 753   
   2021.29 1031   
   2021.38 876   
   2021.46 1369   
   2021.54 1063   
   2021.62 1031   
   2021.71 1122   
   2021.79 645   
   2021.88 809   
   2021.96 683   
   2022.04 901   
   2022.12 770   
   2022.21 727   
   2022.29 712   
   2022.38 787   
   2022.46 785   
   2022.54 782   
   2022.62 795   
   2022.71 665   
   2022.79 613   
   2022.88 475   
   2022.96 402   
      
   Which nicely shows some bumps up and down. And we might ask -- what is   
   making small quakes do that?   
      
   Here is most of the answer.   
      
   Suspect	lag	filter	transf	R2   
   	(m)   
   ufo	1	1	none	0.75534197   
   ufo	1	1	x	0.70588523   
   ufo-CA	1	1	none	0.67659065   
   ufo-CA	1	1	y	0.65581779   
   ufo	1	3	y	0.55015227   
   ufo	0	3	none	0.53377570   
   ufo	2	1	none	0.53165434   
   ufo	1	3	none	0.52837053   
   ufo-CA	1	1	x	0.52189165   
   ufo	2	1	x	0.47825767   
      
   The 2 suspects I've looked at are the NUFORC sighting counts for the   
   whole US and just those for California. To match the UFO activity   
   against the quake numbers the s/w is allowed to transform things in   
   several simple ways. It can also ignore "outliers" if that makes the   
   match better. And it can also lag the UFO data by 0 upto 3 months if   
   that also improves the match. The value of the match is given by the   
   relevant regression R2 ("explanation power"). The R2 shows what   
   proportion of the variation in the dependent variate (i.e. the quake   
   numbers) is explained by the variation in the independent variate   
   (i.e. the UFO activity counts).   
      
   I think we are not surprised to see the stats shows that small quakes   
   "depend on" UFO activity in some way. Both US48 and California UFO   
   activity predict small quakes around San Francisco in the next   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)