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   alt.ufo.reports      The latest from planet crackpot      8,965 messages   

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   Message 8,503 of 8,965   
   Kym Horsell to All   
   UFO "hang outs" -- which locations in th   
   17 May 23 17:09:56   
   
   From: kymhorsell@gmail.com   
      
   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY   
   - We look at the latest "heat maps" linking the activity of different   
     types of UFOs with the world's oceans.   
     See: .   
   - The variation in UFO sightings seems to be greatly influenced by   
     e.g. the sea surface temperature seen in "known" key regions of the   
     world's oceans.   
   - Different types of UFO's as described by shape, color and certain   
     keywords in sightings reports seem to be associated with slightly   
     different areas of the world.   
   - The (sometimes literally :) "hot spot" areas read like a who's who   
     of paranormal sites.  But there are a few items on the list we see   
     here that are new to me and maybe to the UFO research community.   
   - The patterns seem to hang together with each other as well as a   
     growing body of other data collected by various scientific bodies   
     for totally different purposes.   
      
      
   The AI's continue to churn through the world's databases to try and   
   link UFO activity with various other kinds of data that have been more   
   accurately recorded over the past 50-100y.   
      
   In the past week they latched onto data I've been using for the past   
   few years to look at global weather trends. It's a gridded dataset   
   (IOW by latitude and longitude) of daily infra-red measurements over   
   the world's oceans. Scientists use this data to measure the average   
   temperature of the world's sea surface temperature by measuring IR   
   coming up from the oceans at night, when they are not so obscured by   
   clouds or reflected sunlight.   
      
   If UFO activity as observed e.g. over N America is influenced in any   
   way by weather in remote locations, then we should be able to compare   
   the rise and fall of daily UFO reports of various types against the   
   average sea surface temperature for each 1x1 deg area of the oceans.   
   According to simple math and basic forensic science ("if a suspect has   
   visited a location then they leave something at that location and the   
   location leaves something on them") if UFO's are more or less physical   
   objects that interact with their environment, then over the long term   
   we should see changes in SST "imprint" on UFO activity reports well   
   enough to get a statistical read on where they have been and maybe   
   where different types of UFO's "come from".   
      
   The latest results take NUFORC data for various types of UFO reports   
   -- I generally follow the NUFORC's idea of categorising reports by   
   "shape" (e.g. Triangle, Sphere, etc) as well as keywords I extract   
   from the comment field in the short form of the reports. (Dredging   
   through the total and sometimes very detailed report for each sighting   
   is going to have to wait until I have a lot of spare computer time on   
   my hands :).   
      
   The results today are remarkably similar to other surveys we've looked   
   at in the past. But this time we will look at different UFO types and   
   see whether they come from different areas of the world, and whether   
   there are  commonalities and patterns in their distribution.   
      
   The basic procedure goes through each 1x1 deg region of the world's   
   oceans day by day since 2015 upto the latest sat data (i.e. within the   
   last 24 hrs) and decides whether each type of UFO report varies in a   
   statistically  similar way. As usual we use 2 different stats tests   
   to determine if the similarity is "beyond chance". My s/w generally   
   uses a T-test on a regression \beta at 90% conf (i.e. 1 chance in 10   
   any similarity could be just chance) and a rank test ("Spearman") on   
   the ordering of the "cause" and "effect" variables in the rest -- also   
   at 90% confidence.  The 2 tests are relatively independent and make   
   different assumptions about the data. Of the 2 the Spearman is the   
   most general and does not rely on certain properties of the data the   
   T-test assumes -- properties anyway that almost always apply. Together   
   they assure us any similarity is about 1% likely to just have   
   happened by luck.   
      
   And given we are performing the comparison over the whole ocean for   
   the last 8 years we can also just look at the graphical output to see   
   where they look like "noise" or there are patterns of where   
   locations that match UFO reports strongly and weakly are happening.   
      
   The strength of the match is given by the "R2" statistic. The   
   so-called "explanation power" of a statistical model shows what   
   fraction of the variation in the "effect" is predicted by the "cause".   
   In this case the fraction of the day-to-day change in UFO sightings   
   against the day-to-day change in sea surf temp for each 1x1 deg   
   square in the world's oceans.   
      
   The plots are at . Different plots show the   
   "density" of R2 across the oceans for each of several UFO types.  The   
   color shows the value of the R2. Yellow indicates the strongest   
   match, fading off to black for "no match".   
      
   We see high degrees of matches for a slew of regions and locations we   
   probably all know from tales of the weird and wonderful.  They all   
   seem to be "top 10" paranormal locations known or suspected for   
   years.  Different UFO types seem to contain a lot of information about   
   sea surf temps in locations like the West Antarctic, Northern Siberia,   
   NE Greenland, the Bering Straight, Easter Island, Hawaii, Java, the   
   Sea of Japan, and various lakes around the world. It seems each UFO   
   type -- in general -- has its specialised locations but in toto there   
   are some common areas of contact as illustrated also in the "all UFO   
   reports" map.   
      
   As I said, there's nothing we haven't seen before in these kinds of   
   studies.  It seems almost all kinda of widely collected scientific   
   data from ocean temperatures, polar sea ice, earthquake activity, and   
   many other physical measurements all point to certain key areas as   
   "imprinting" of UFO report data. We are forced to conclude different   
   types of objects seem to have at least passed through certain regions   
   of the world on a regular basis for these patterns to hold up.   
      
   E.g. "all UFO sightings" seem to have hot spots located in: the West   
   Antarctic (i.e. west of the Antarctic Pen and well off the coast of S   
   America), Hawaii, Cuba (aka the Devils Triangle), west of Java, and   
   the middle of the Arabian Gulf. There are "warm spots" in the Bering   
   Sea, off the NW of Greenland, all along the north Russian coast, off   
   the E coast of S America, points along the Antarctic coast from W Ant   
   to E Ant, off the Australian Bight and the Tasman Sea.  There are also   
   some interesting hits I haven't seen before -- e.g.  central Africa   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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