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   az.politics      Arizona politics      3,152 messages   

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   Message 1,899 of 3,152   
   Intelligent Party to All   
   NEW CASES OF CORONAVIRUS PER DAY, AVERAG   
   04 Jun 20 13:30:04   
   
   XPost: fl.politics, houston.politics, tx.politics   
   XPost: alt.abortion, talk.abortion   
   From: Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com   
      
                 New Cases   
                 Average Per,         Total,   
   Week,        Day by Week,     Cases For Week   
      
   3/1-3/7       13 Per Day,     88 Total for week   
   3/8-3/14      35 Per Day,    247 Total for week   
   3/15-3/21    162 Per Day,  1,333 Total for week, Stay-At-Home Order   
   3/22-3/28    454 Per Day,  3,175 Total for week   
   3/29-4/4   1,256 Per Day,  8,795 Total for week   
   4/5-4/11   1,194 Per Day,  8,356 Total for week   
   4/12-4/18  1,220 Per Day,  8,539 Total for week   
   4/19-4/25  1,690 Per Day, 11,831 Total for week   
   4/26-5/2   1,636 Per Day, 11,452 Total for week, Decrease   
   5/3-5/9    1,866 Per Day, 13,064 Total for week   
   5/10-5/16  1,737 Per Day, 12,159 Total for week, Decrease   
   5/17-5/23  1,982 Per Day, 13,871 Total for week   
   5/24-5/30  2,553 Per Day, 17,873 Total for week   
      
   It seems likely this upward trend will sadly and certainly continue!   
      
   Total,   
   13 Weeks   1,215 Per Day, 110,583 Total for 91 Days   
      
   Only Last,   
   9 Weeks    1,682 Per Day, 105,940 Total for 63 Days   
      
   Data is from:   
   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_California   
      
   Look, I did this myself.  Professionals would have another person double check   
   it.   
     If you care, maybe you should, or get an accountant.   
      
   Spreadsheet you can use for projections:   
   https://docs.zoho.com/embed/cs6eab29f117fec84421c9c13fb84913ab066   
   You would want to calculate the Rate of Daily New Infections on Active Cases   
   per   
   day, for the last week or two, by the day, and average that.  Rather than just   
   dividing the average per the week, by the current Active.  My current data   
   sources   
   are insufficient.  Wikipedia doesn't even say how many are active.  Worldometer   
   only has active for California for the current day, no history.  I tried   
   https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data for   
   "USA   
   daily state reports" to construct my own data set, but it doesn't have   
   Recovered   
   for California as listed.  It does for other States.  For California it just   
   has   
   all Total, and Active as minus Deaths.  Worldometer on the other hand reports   
   about 20% as Recovered, and only 86,421 of 115,119 as Active with 4,287   
   deaths.  I   
   emailed them for historical data and source.  Suffice to say, there must be no   
   analysts analyzing COVID, and all their fancy graphs may be for not.  It   
   shouldn't   
   be a big deal to get a simple accounting of the facts.  But apparently   
   unintelligence is extreme.   
      
   If we do not have a forbearance on all debt and rent, and $1,250 for every man   
   woman and child for the time of COVID plus one year following to get the   
   economy   
   moving, I predict catastrophe.   
      
   Consider the people with money have little luxury to spend that extra money on,   
   and will save it, and you can increase taxes at the top in the future.  You   
   have   
   no idea what or who needs at the bottom.  Someone with a $3,000 per month   
   mortgage   
   on top of living expenses, still needs a forbearance or will loose their home.   
   They can not go to work or they will die.  An Economic Pause, and not a Great   
   Depression is in order, and it is wrong for businesses to fail to COVID, when   
   they   
   truly have economically viable assets.  That is not the free market, that is   
   madness.   
      
   COVID is not gone, and is not going away without 4-12 months of temperance,   
   but an   
   economic meltdown is unnecessary and insane.  I suggest keeping all   
   "stay-at-home"   
   advice in place, while removing the legal technicalities, except for violating   
   other's personal space.  Clarify it to be "stay-at-home-from-work."   
      
   Those people demonstrating are demonstrating pretty extreme for a cop who's   
   been   
   charged.  The L.A. riots many years ago was because they were acquitted.  This   
   stuff makes no sense, and what are their demands and grievances.  Without money   
   for everybody and a forbearance I wouldn't be surprised with war in the   
   future.  I   
   pray I'm wrong.  But people deserve money.  Demand, Grievance, Target,   
   Objective   
   should be the motto of any such interested parties, but people with nothing to   
   loose and nothing to live for, don't even care if their war effort is doomed to   
   failure.  Those who attack are poor.  I suggest a different tactic to save our   
   United States.   
      
   Suffice to say, things are highly insufficient, and we need things improving,   
   if   
   without threats or acts of violence, by the oppressive, or the lawless, not   
   getting worse.   
      
   [Spreadsheet will always reload when you reload html,   
   Response lag time is 4 seconds+ when used as an html.   
   If you download, you to have right click, Properties, Unblock, to open.]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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