XPost: bc.politics, van.general, vic.general   
   From: Canuck57@nospam.com   
      
   That is like jumping out of the fry pan into the fire.   
      
   Give the NDP a majority, and it will be the same old statism crap.   
      
   You need a BC party, for BCers made of BCers.  One that addresses BC   
   needs and not some eastern throw back party.   
      
      
   On 16/07/2010 8:54 PM, alea@iacta.est wrote:   
   > Posted 14 July, 2010   
   >   
   > Angus Reid Poll – NDP 46%, BCL 23%   
   >   
   > An Angus Reid Public Opinion poll conducted from July 6 to July 8, sample   
   size 801 people   
   > has the following results for voting intention:   
   >   
   > NDP: 46%   
   > BC Liberal: 23%   
   > Greens: 14%   
   > Conservatives: 8%   
   >   
   > This is the biggest polling differential between the two parties since the   
   2001 election.   
   > The regional split is the following:   
   >   
   > Lower Mainland: NDP 41 / BCL 28 / GRN 16 / CON 8   
   > Vancouver Island: NDP 67 / BCL 7 / GRN 12 / CON 5   
   > Southern Interior: NDP 43 / BCL 21 / GRN 13 / CON 11   
   > Northern Interior: NDP 36 / BCL 26 / GRN 13 / CON 12   
   >   
   > Extrapolating all of this data into a seat count, I would estimate:   
   > NDP – 66   
   > BCL – 18   
   > IND – 1 (Vicki Huntington, Delta South)   
   >   
   > The BC Conservatives would possibly have a chance at two seats (the regional   
   split now   
   > makes Boundary-Similkameen a probable NDP seat, compared to the poll before   
   which makes it   
   > a probable seat for the Conservatives, while the Peace River area would also   
   have a chance   
   > for a Conservative seat, although not probable), and the model assumes Vicki   
   Huntington   
   > runs in Delta South again.   
   >   
   > The model also assumes that there is no change between now and 2.8 years   
   from now, when   
   > the next fixed election date is presently.   
   >   
   > Note I say “presently” since I find it will be extremely likely that the   
   government will   
   > vote to change its fixed election date to the autumn, extending its life by   
   another 5   
   > months. They will claim (validly) that it is to fix the issue with   
   supplementary estimates   
   > in an election year – it creates an unnecessary amount of work.   
   >   
   >   
      
      
   --   
      
   Government has liberals, idealists and lawyers, but where is the common   
   sense?   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)