XPost: bc.politics, van.general, vic.general   
   From: Çons@32%   
      
   Wednesday, February 1, 2012   
      
   Angus Reid Poll of BC: 42-28-19   
      
   As this Globe and Mail article points out (with a few inaccuracies, like 28%   
   being the "lowest"   
   poll number for the BC Liberals since Clark took office - that's actually   
   23%), this Angus Reid   
   poll isn't good news for  Premier Clark, who is now not only facing a vote   
   split with the BC   
   Conservatives lead by former MP John Cummins, but also the fact that NDP   
   leader Adrian Dix now   
   outpaces her on the "best Premier" question, and other approval/disapproval   
   indicators.   
      
   Topline numbers, as said, are:   
      
   42% BC NDP   
   28% BC Liberal   
   19% BC Conservative   
   10% Green   
      
   In terms of seats, this would allow Dix a healthy majority government of 57   
   seats, compared to   
   16 seats for the Liberals and 10 for the Conservatives, plus two independents.   
      
   26% prefer Dix as Premier, compared to 22% for Clark and 8% for Cummins. In   
   terms of   
   approval/disapproval, it's 45/36 for Dix, 40/49 for Clark, 23/39 for Cummins.   
      
   That right there is actually good news for Clark - Cummins himself is   
   unpopular in most   
   respects, maybe thanks to their attempts to define him as a dangerous   
   right-wing nutter, or   
   just because he is a dangerous right-wing nutter. Either way, it leads to the   
   conclusion that   
   the BC Con vote is probably squishy, and that voters responding to these   
   surveys are likely   
   parking their votes with the Cons because of disenfranchisement with the   
   Liberals. They could,   
   however, easily come back in the right circumstances.   
      
   The biggest issues with BC voters are the economy (27% have it first in their   
   minds) and   
   healthcare (21%). Voters essentially trust both Clark and Dix with the   
   economy, while Dix romps   
   away with healthcare (33% to 20%). Take that as you will.   
      
   Something to note is the slight rise of the Green Party. From May to November,   
   they were   
   between 6-9%. Now they've been between 9-16%. Granted this has only been in a   
   few polls, but it   
   could be a sign of... something. I don't know what, but it's worth keeping an   
   eye on. Green   
   leader Jane Sterk isn't exactly popular, so its not her.   
      
      
   *******************************************************   
   "We CAN look after each other better than we do today.   
   We CAN have a fiscally responsible government.   
   We CAN have a strong economy; greater equality; a clean environment.   
   We CAN be a force for peace in the world."                      - Jack Layton   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)