XPost: sac.politics, alt.california, ca.politics   
   XPost: ny.politics, nyc.politics   
   From: Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com   
      
   On 6/5/2020 1:36 PM, Intelligent Party wrote:   
   > How few cases before one could think there would not be a liable epidemic?   
   >   
   > They put the "stay-at-home" orders on, when there were less than 2,000 Active   
   > Cases in the entire State of California.  There are now over 80,000 Active   
   Case in   
   > that State.   
   >   
   > At 2,500 New Cases Daily in California - which is what was yesterday, there   
   will   
   > be 2,500 x 30 = 75,000 new cases at the end of the month.  150,000 new cases   
   at   
   > the end of two months, and 225,000 new cases at the end of three months,   
   minus   
   > recoveries.   
   >   
   > At 20,000 New Cases Daily Nationwide, which is current (22,000), there will   
   be   
   > 20,000 x 30 = 600,000 new cases at the end of the month, 1,200,000 new cases   
   at   
   > the end of two months, and 1,800,000 new cases at the end of three months,   
   minus   
   > recoveries.   
   >   
   > Deaths are running about 5%-6% of that, 5% of 1,800,000 = 90,000, 6% =   
   108,000. So   
   > basically 100,000 more dead in 3 months.  Or 400,000 deaths per year   
   ongoing.  At   
   > 30,000 Cases per day, it would be 100,000 in 2 months, or 600,000 deaths per   
   year.   
   >   
   > And this is without people sitting in stuffy work rooms, restaurants or at   
   school.   
   >   
   > Unless we eradicate, how can we "live" with this disease?   
      
      
   Let me remind everyone, that without the quarantine but everyone just doing   
   their   
   normal activities, the Daily New Infection Rate was 25%.  At 25%, in three days   
   the total number of cases doubles.  In seven days it quintuples.  In 10 days   
   it is   
   times 10.  In 20 days, times 100, in 30 days times 1,000, and in two months   
   times   
   1,000,000, or terminal.  333 cases becomes 333,000,000 cases in 60 days at a   
   25%   
   daily infection rate, and this is what was going on before the Quarantine.  We   
   don't want to return to anything like this and overwhelm our hospitals.  Even   
   with   
   more personal protective equipment, testing, and awareness, an increase to a   
   Daily   
   New Infection Rate of 10%-15% with States supposedly opening would be   
   disastrous.   
   It's time for Congress to step in.   
      
   https://docs.zoho.com/embed/cs6eab29f117fec84421c9c13fb84913ab066   
   Just drop 25% in there, and see how that spreadsheet looks.  It may take 7   
   seconds   
   to calculate.  You can see the Country is terminal on day 34.  (This is from   
   1,000,000 cases, if you drop 28.33% into it and account for the Hypothetical   
   Daily   
   Recovery Rate of 3.33%, you can see it would actually be 1,000,000,000 by day   
   34,   
   at a true 25% with no recoveries).   
      
   [Spreadsheet will always reload when you reload html,   
   Response lag time is 4 seconds+ when used as an html.   
   If you download, you to have right click, Properties, Unblock, to open.]   
      
   For the mathematically challenged among you, let me spell it out:   
   1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 = 2   
   1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 x 1.25 = 5   
   2 x 5 = 10, Yes, that's 10x in 10 days.   
   10 x 10 = 100, in 20 days   
   100 x 10 = 1,000 in 30 days   
   1,000 x 1,000 = 1,000,000 in 60 days   
      
   There are 30-50 million cases of flu every year in 4 months!   
   COVID is MORE VIRULENT than flu!   
      
   U.S. Nationwide Data:   
   Date            Cases   
   3/10/2020	936   
   3/11/2020	1,205   
   3/12/2020	1,598   
   3/13/2020	2,163   
   3/14/2020	2,825   
   3/15/2020	3,501   
   3/16/2020	4,373   
   3/17/2020	5,664   
   3/18/2020	8,074   
   3/19/2020	12,022   
   3/20/2020	17,439   
   3/21/2020	23,710   
   3/22/2020	32,341   
   3/23/2020	42,751   
   3/24/2020	52,690   
   3/25/2020	64,916   
   3/26/2020	81,966   
   3/27/2020	101,012   
      
   That's 18 days, FACT, from 1,000 to 100,000 Cases, 100 TIMES, as explained   
   above!   
      
   California Data   
   Dates           Cases   
   3/9/2020 	133   
   3/10/2020	157   
   3/11/2020	177   
   3/12/2020	198   
   3/13/2020	247   
   3/14/2020	335   
   3/15/2020	392   
   3/16/2020	472   
   3/17/2020	598   
   3/18/2020	675   
   3/19/2020	1,006   
   3/20/2020	1,224   
   3/21/2020	1,468   
   3/22/2020	1,733   
   3/23/2020	2,102   
   3/24/2020	2,535   
   3/25/2020	3,006   
   3/26/2020	3,801   
   3/27/2020	4,643   
   3/28/2020	4,643   
   3/29/2020	5,763   
   3/30/2020	6,932   
   3/31/2020	8,155   
   4/1/2020 	9,191   
   4/2/2020 	10,701   
      
   That's 25 days, FACT, from 100 to 10,000 Cases, 100 TIMES, as explained above!   
      
   --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)