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   Message 8,370 of 8,950   
   Intelligent Party to All   
   Without Precautions There Would Be 50 Mi   
   17 Sep 20 13:25:58   
   
   XPost: sac.politics, alt.california, ca.politics   
   XPost: ny.politics, nyc.politics   
   From: Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com   
      
   like the flu every winter.   
      
   with COVID's basic reproduction number (R0) of 3.8-8.9, compared to the flu's   
   0.9-2.1.   
      
   And the recovery time seems much much longer   
      
   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number   
      
   We don't know COVID would stop at 50 Million Cases.  Herd immunity is not 10   
   million people:   
      
   Mayo Clinic says: "Even if infection with the COVID-19 virus creates   
   long-lasting   
   immunity, a large number of people would have to become infected to reach the   
   herd   
   immunity threshold.  Experts estimate that in the U.S., 70% of the population   
   —   
   more than 200 million people — would have to recover from COVID-19 to halt   
   the   
   epidemic."   
      
   https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-de   
   th/herd-immunity-and-coronavirus/art-20486808   
      
   --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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