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|    Message 8,456 of 8,950    |
|    Intelligent Party to All    |
|    New Cases of COVID Per Number of Tests O    |
|    05 Dec 20 14:35:46    |
      XPost: sac.politics, alt.california, ca.politics       XPost: ny.politics, nyc.politics       From: Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com              Currently 1 in 10 Tests (1,500,000/150,000) is turning up positive for COVID.       During Shutdown, 1 in 15 Tests (300,000/20,000) turned up positive for COVID,       and       after Shutdown, 1 in 20 Tests (300,000/15,000, or 800,000/40,000) turned up       positive for COVID.              But since I wrote this, looking at the number of Hospitalizations has seemed       the       best assessment.                     On Thanksgiving (11/26/2020) there were 1,000,000 Tests, and 100,000 New Cases       of       COVID.       On the Wednesday before Thanksgiving (11/25/2020), there were ~1,800,000 Tests,       and 180,000 New Cases of COVID.              During Shutdown, there were 300,000 Tests Daily, and 20,000 New Cases of COVID       daily.              Since shutdown, with PPE, until the beginning of October, there were       equivalently,       ((300,000/800,000)x40,000), 15,000 New Cases of COVID caught daily.       In the last two months since October, there are equivalently       ((300,000/1,500,000)x150,000), 30,000 New Cases of COVID caught daily.              However, to make this equivalency, you would have to presume, that during       Shutdown, there were actually 90,000-100,000 cases of COVID daily, and they       were       not caught, and this is 4-5 times (1,500,000/300,000=5), as many caught       (20,000),       when at the time we were told estimates of 3 times as many cases as caught.        [so       NOW do you think there are 4-5 times as many cases of COVID daily, as positive       tests, or still 3 times, or are they all being caught?]              So, you could double check these numbers, yet they are an approximate compass       to       see if they corroborate. If they don't, and you care, you could post here.                            So, to elaborate, before two months ago, there were like 750,000-800,000 tests       per       day, and 40,000 New Cases of COVID caught per day. In the last two months,       (besides on Thanksgiving), there were 1,500,000 Test per day, and 150,000 New       Cases of COVID per day.                     So currently 1 in 10 Tests is turning up positive for COVID. During Shutdown,       1       in 15 Tests (300,000/20,000) turned up positive for COVID, and after Shutdown,       1       in 20 Tests (300,000/15,000, or 800,000/40,000) turned up positive for COVID.                            These are approximate and rounded numbers. (The above is a rough       quantification).              If the above has merit, more cases "caught" ought to mean more cases       quarantined,       and we should see a summary[word] reduction in COVID. Or more tests could mean       more people requesting tests because they feel sick. How are there so many       tests       (5 times as many)?              Double the number of deaths, is also apparent.                     But since I wrote the above, looking at the number of Hospitalizations has       seemed       the best assessment.              --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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