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|    comp.ai    |    Awaiting the gospel from Sarah Connor    |    1,954 messages    |
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|    Message 1,722 of 1,954    |
|    Dmitry A. Kazakov to Ted Dunning    |
|    Re: Computing with Confidence: Much Ado     |
|    20 Apr 08 00:01:49    |
      XPost: comp.ai.nat-lang       From: mailbox@dmitry-kazakov.de              On Thu, 17 Apr 2008 13:35:50 GMT, Ted Dunning wrote:              > The upshot is that even if you are a frequentist in your heart of       > hearts, it will still pay to behave as if you were a Bayesian. And I,       > as a Bayesian, will be able to behave as if you were rational because       > I will not know your secret.              I am neither, for I am a humble follower of the axiomatic approach to       probability. I believe that any attempt to explain probability is       fundamentally flawed, because it should require a kind of hyper       computation.              > So let's just call it a probability and be done with. You can keep       > your secret and I won't tell anybody.              Except that you need some incomputable process behind it. But the document       is here (as a *finite* set of pixels). OCR is deterministic. Basically,       there is no any process, no infinity involved. The only possibility were to       consider human perception of the document. But, though a human would give       uncertain answers about the document, these answers would not vary.              Of course, we could take individuals at random from some sample set, asking       them to analyse the document. That would be indeed random. But this       randomness would be neither in the document, nor in human perception. My       favorite example of this sort of manipulation is Pi. Let us take a sample       of people and ask them to write down some decimal figures of Pi. Would it       make Pi random?              --       Regards,       Dmitry A. Kazakov       http://www.dmitry-kazakov.de              [ comp.ai is moderated ... your article may take a while to appear. ]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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