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 Message 2264 
 Mike Powell to All 
 US Threatens tariffs memo 
 21 Jan 26 09:15:46 
 
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The memory price hike crisis could get even worse, as US threatens 100%
tariffs -- this is how it could affect you

Date:
Tue, 20 Jan 2026 18:30:00 +0000

Description:
Consumers in the US now face an additional danger in terms of factors that
could seriously hike the price of laptops and PCs.

FULL STORY

 The RAM crisis just keeps getting worse , and we've started 2026 with a
stream of bad news about the price hikes  and the US government is now
throwing its weight around, threatening a move that could cause further
pricing misery for consumers. 

 PC Gamer flagged a report from Bloomberg which quotes some stern words for
two of the big memory makers uttered by the US commerce secretary Howard
Lutnick. 

Lutnick warned that South Korean and Taiwanese memory chip manufacturers
meaning SK Hynix and Samsung (not Micron, the third giant presence in this
arena, which is US-based)  could face up to 100% tariffs if they don't invest
more in the US to increase their chip production facilities in the country. 

Lutnick said, "Everyone who wants to build memory has two choices: They can
pay a 100% tariff, or they can build in America. That's industrial policy." 

In other words, if SK Hynix and Samsung continue to manufacture RAM modules
outside the US, in Asia, they could face those tariffs. A 100% tariff would
effectively mean a 100% import tax on memory chips coming from abroad, which
would, of course, be a hefty price to pay. 

The idea, then, is to have these two companies ramp up chip production on US
soil to avoid punishing tariffs when selling to this market. Note that what
the US government wants is for SK Hynix and Samsung to actually manufacture
RAM chips in the US (and not just package up the chips made in Asia, and then
shipped over, which is what happens with the manufacturing plants that the 
two firms have currently in the country). 

Even Micron doesn't produce all that much of its total memory chip production
in the US, but it does have some manufacturing happening in the country  and
plans to expand that considerably further. Indeed, Lutnick made his 
statement, as reported by Bloomberg, at the groundbreaking ceremony for a new
$100 billion multi-foundry complex that Micron is building in New York (part
of a $200 billion drive to build new manufacturing facilities in the US).

Analysis: how might this affect consumers?

There are some obvious problems here for US consumers, and possibly for the
government, too. 

For starters, if the US did instigate this 100% tariff move, who's to say it
would have much effect in forcing the hand of either SK Hynix or Samsung in
terms of expanding US manufacturing? To say that RAM is a seller's market
right now is possibly the underestimation of the century in the tech world, 
so it's not like losing US customers is going to hurt these chip makers or
deflate the massive profits they're currently enjoying. 

Ultimately, though, it's not memory makers or laptop or PC manufacturers
that'll suffer  the real pain will be inflicted on the average US consumer. 
As noted, the potential measure threatened is effectively a 100% import tax
that will just be passed directly on to the buyer of the piece of tech that
the memory is inside, as all these cost increases inevitably are. 

We could end up in a situation where there's a forecast 50% price hike coming
with RAM in Q1 of 2026 , over the next couple of months, on top of the 
already miserably large increases witnessed in the final quarter of 2025. And
then, on top of that, US consumers will have to pay more if what's 
effectively a 100% import tax on memory comes into force, meaning an increase
on top of an increase on top of an increase. 

 More expensive storage , and much more expensive RAM, are going to push up
the price of laptops and desktop PCs alike  GPUs are hit in this regard , too
(as they have video RAM, which is also now in shorter supply, and therefore
more expensive). 

It's tricky to gauge how this might play out, and it'll vary a good deal from
model to model, but the theorized tariffs might mean laptops get something
like 10% pricier due to the extra inflation on the bill for RAM  on top of 
the already steep rises the memory shortage crisis is already causing.
Higher-end laptops, and the likes of Copilot+ (AI) PCs, will be hardest hit,
as they demand beefier and faster memory configurations. 

We aren't at the point of the US government implementing these measures
they're just threats at the moment. But the administration clearly believes
that leveraging tariffs works, so it's hardly inconceivable that Lutnick 
could follow through and enforce such measures  assuming some kind of deal
can't be struck regarding investment in the US with the memory chip makers
outside of Micron. 

======================================================================
Link to news story:
https://www.techradar.com/computing/memory/the-memory-price-hike-crisis-could-
get-even-worse-as-us-threatens-100-percent-tariffs-this-is-how-it-could-affect
-you

$$
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