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|  Message 12838  |
|  Sean Dennis to All  |
|  3 Day Space Weather Forecast  |
|  28 Mar 25 00:19:02  |
 
MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 668ff075
PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
CHRS: CP437 2
TZUTC: -0400
TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Mar 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 28-Mar 30 2025
Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30
00-03UT 3.67 3.33 3.00
03-06UT 4.00 2.00 2.67
06-09UT 4.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
12-15UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.67 3.33 1.33
18-21UT 4.00 3.33 1.33
21-00UT 4.00 3.33 2.33
Rationale: The geomagnetic field is expected to observe periods of G1
(Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 28 Mar due to CH HSS influence.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025
Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Mar 27 2025 0037 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 28-Mar 30 2025
Mar 28 Mar 29 Mar 30
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 28-30 Mar.
--- MBSE BBS v1.1.0 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/305 153/7715 154/110
SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312
SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854
SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26
SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35
PATH: 18/200 229/426
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