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|  Message 12877  |
|  Sean Dennis to All  |
|  3 Day Space Weather Forecast  |
|  30 May 25 00:19:02  |
 
MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66920a37
PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
CHRS: CP437 2
TZUTC: -0400
TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale
G3).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 30-Jun 01 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).
NOAA Kp index breakdown May 30-Jun 01 2025
May 30 May 31 Jun 01
00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 4.00
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.33 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 4.00
09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.67
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33
Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 30
May due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole. G1 (Minor)
conditions are again likely on 31 May - 01 Jun due to waning coronal
hole effects.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025
May 30 May 31 Jun 01
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over 30 May - 01 Jun.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025
May 30 May 31 Jun 01
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 30 May - 01 Jun.
--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110
SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312
SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854
SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26
SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35
PATH: 18/200 229/426
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