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|  Message 12888  |
|  Sean Dennis to All  |
|  3 Day Space Weather Forecast  |
|  11 Jun 25 00:19:02  |
 
MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66926b45
PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
CHRS: CP437 2
TZUTC: -0400
TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 11-Jun 13 2025
Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 3.67
03-06UT 3.00 2.67 3.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 3.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
15-18UT 1.00 2.00 2.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 3.00
21-00UT 4.00 2.67 2.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025
Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025
Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
all three days.
--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110
SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 111 114 200 206 300 307 312
SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854
SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26
SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35
PATH: 18/200 229/426
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