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|  Message 13235  |
|  Sean Dennis to All  |
|  3 Day Space Weather Forecast  |
|  05 Jan 26 00:19:02  |
 
MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66959037
PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
CHRS: CP437 2
TZUTC: -0500
TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 05-Jan 07 2026
Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.33 1.67 1.33
09-12UT 3.67 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.33 1.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.67 0.67 1.33
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026
Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There remains a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over 05-07 Jan.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026
Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 05-07 Jan.
--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
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PATH: 18/200 229/426
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