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|  Message 13248  |
|  Sean Dennis to All  |
|  3 Day Space Weather Forecast  |
|  08 Jan 26 00:19:02  |
 
MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 66959351
PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
CHRS: CP437 2
TZUTC: -0500
TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 08-Jan 10 2026
Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
00-03UT 3.67 2.00 3.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 4.00
06-09UT 2.33 5.00 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 4.00 2.33
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.33 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 3.67 2.67
Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are anticipated on
09 Jan due to a coronal high speed stream interacting with a potential
glancing blow from a CME that left the Sun on 06 Jan.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026
Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There is a slight chance for a S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storm 08-10 Jan.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026
Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%
Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 08-10 Jan.
--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
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SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26
SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35
PATH: 18/200 229/426
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