MSGID: 1:18/200@fidonet 6695a296
PID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
CHRS: CP437 2
TZUTC: -0500
TID: MBSE-FIDO 1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction 
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 23-Jan 25 2026

             Jan 23       Jan 24       Jan 25
00-03UT       4.67 (G1)    3.00         2.33     
03-06UT       4.67 (G1)    3.00         2.67     
06-09UT       5.67 (G2)    2.33         2.33     
09-12UT       3.33         2.33         1.67     
12-15UT       3.67         1.67         1.33     
15-18UT       3.00         1.67         1.33     
18-21UT       2.33         2.00         2.00     
21-00UT       2.67         2.33         2.33     

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 23
Jan due to persistent CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026

              Jan 23  Jan 24  Jan 25
S1 or greater   10%     10%     10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms through 25 Jan.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 23-Jan 25 2026

              Jan 23        Jan 24        Jan 25
R1-R2           60%           60%           60%
R3 or greater   15%           15%           15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, on 23-25 Jan.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
 * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
SEEN-BY: 1/110 18/200 105/81 106/201 128/187 129/14 305 153/7715 154/110
SEEN-BY: 218/700 226/30 227/114 229/110 112 134 200 206 300 307 312
SEEN-BY: 229/317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 291/111 292/854
SEEN-BY: 320/219 322/757 342/200 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26
SEEN-BY: 5020/400 5075/35
PATH: 18/200 229/426