XPost: can.politics, bc.politics, ab.politics   
   XPost: ont.politics, nb.general, ns.general   
   From: gregcarrsober@gmail.com   
      
   On 25/01/2014 5:32 PM, ConɀƦConÉ€ wrote:   
   > The Hill Times - Thursday, 01/23/2014 9:02 pm EST   
   >   
   > Libs gain at expense of Conservatives, but Mulcair favoured as leader   
   > who would make best Prime Minister: Forum Research poll   
   >   
   >   
   > PARLIAMENT HILL—The federal Liberal Party has gained   
   voter   
   > support at the expense of the governing Conservatives while public   
   > approval of Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s   
   performance has   
   > plunged, new polls suggest.   
   >   
   > And, although New Democrat Leader Thomas Mulcair (Outremont, Que.) is   
   > favoured by voters, with nearly half saying he is doing a good job as   
   > opposition leader, the NDP is still in third place when it comes to   
   > support from decided and leaning voters, the polls by Forum Research and   
   > Abacus Data indicate.   
   >   
   > The Forum Research survey, however, also found that Mr. Mulcair   
   > (Outremont, Que.) leads when voters are asked which of the leaders would   
   > make the best Prime Minister.   
   > Twenty nine per cent of the Forum respondents chose Mr. Mulcair, 25 per   
   > cent favoured Mr. Harper (Calgary Southwest, Alta.) and 19 per cent   
   > selected Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau (Papineau, Que.).   
   >   
   > Asked if they approved or disapproved of the job Mr. Harper is doing as   
   > Prime Minister, 62 per cent of the respondents disapproved, and only 30   
   > per cent approved.   
   >   
   > Meanwhile, 44 per cent of the respondents approved of the way Mr.   
   > Mulcair was doing his job as leader of the opposition and only 28 per   
   > cent disapproved. Forty-five per cent of the respondents approved of the   
   > way Mr. Trudeau is doing his job as Liberal leader and 36 per cent   
   > disapproved.   
   >   
   > Despite the support for Mr. Mulcair, the Forum Research survey last week   
   > found 37 per cent of the voters who responded were leaning in favour of   
   > voting Liberal or intended to vote Liberal, 28 per cent were leaning or   
   > decided in favour of the Conservatives, but only 25 per cent were   
   > leaning or intending to vote NDP.   
   >   
   > The Abacus Data survey, also conducted last week, found 34 per cent of   
   > the committed voters across Canada who responded to their survey said   
   > they would vote Liberal, compared to 28 per cent who were prepared to   
   > vote Conservative and 24 per cent who said they would vote NDP.   
   >   
   > Forum Research found five per cent favoured the Bloc   
   > Québécois and four per cent were leaning or   
   decided in   
   > favour of the Green Party, while Abacus found seven per cent committed   
   > to the Green Party and five per cent would vote Bloc.   
   >   
   > Both polling firms found an old fault line of voter opinion in   
   > Canada—with support for the Conservative Party   
   strongest in   
   > Western Canada and support for the Liberals strongest in Ontario,   
   > Quebec, and the Atlantic provinces.   
   >   
   > The Liberal Party led the Forum Research findings in Ontario with 37 per   
   > cent support and even more, 39 per cent, in Quebec. The Conservative   
   > Party registered with a meagre 12 per cent support from   
   > Forum’s Quebec finding, and 33 per cent in Ontario.   
   >   
   > Forum found 30 per cent of respondents in Quebec were leaning or   
   > intending to vote NDP, and only 24 per cent of Ontario voters favoured   
   > the New Democrats.   
   >   
   > Quebec and Ontario together will account for 199 of the 338 House of   
   > Commons seats to be contested in the next election following the   
   > creation of 30 new electoral districts after the 2011 census.   
   >   
   > In the four Atlantic provinces, Liberal support reached new heights in   
   > the Forum Research survey at 58 per cent of decided and leaning voters,   
   > with the Conservative Party at a dismal 14 per cent and the NDP at 23   
   > per cent.   
   >   
   > The Abacus survey found 53 per cent of voters in Atlantic Canada   
   > intended to vote Liberal, with support for the Conservatives and the NDP   
   > tied at 21 per cent. The Abacus results in the Atlantic appeared to   
   > include the entire sample of committed and uncommitted voters.   
   >   
   > In the Western Canadian provinces, the Forum Research poll found the   
   > Conservative Party dominated Alberta with 57 per cent of support from   
   > decided and leaning voters, led in Manitoba and Saskatchewan with 38 per   
   > cent support, but placed second in British Columbia with 32 per cent   
   > support from decided or leaning voters.   
   >   
   > The Forum Research found 22 per cent of voters in Manitoba and   
   > Saskatchewan were leaning toward voting Liberal or intended to vote that   
   > way, while 32 per cent favoured the NDP. In B.C., the Forum results   
   > found 36 per cent either favoured or intended to vote Liberal and 23 per   
   > cent favoured the NDP or intended to vote that way.   
   >   
   > The Abacus Data survey found 37 per cent of its respondents in Manitoba   
   > and Saskatchewan intended to vote Conservative, as did 51 per cent of   
   > its Alberta respondents and 36 per cent of B.C respondents.   
   >   
   > Abacus found 29 per cent of voters in Manitoba and Saskatchewan intended   
   > to vote Liberal, with 25 per cent planning to vote NDP. The Abacus poll   
   > found 24 per cent of Alberta respondents intending to vote Liberal, and   
   > 18 per cent supporting the NDP. In B.C., the Abacus survey found 26 per   
   > cent planning to vote Liberal and 25 per cent intended to vote NDP.   
   >   
   > “The (country) is now divided again along the   
   Manitoba and   
   > Ontario border between a blue western Canada and a red eastern Canada   
   > with orange hues concentrated in B.C. and Quebec,â€ÂÂÂ�   
   said David   
   > Coletto, chief executive officer of Abacus Data.   
   >   
   > Bruce Anderson, a prominent political analyst and the chair of Abacus   
   > Data, noted other aspects of the survey found that the Conservative   
   > Party and the NDP have each lost more than 25 per cent of their voters   
   > since 2011, while the Liberals have lost only 12 per cent and   
   > picked up “most of what drifted away from the other   
   > two parties.â€ÂÂÂ�   
   >   
   > “The new bottom line is this, neither the   
   Conservatives nor   
   > the NDP can win unless they reverse these patterns,â€ÂÂÂ�   
   Mr.   
   > Anderson said in a release from Abacus.   
   >   
   > The two Abacus analysts said the Liberal Party will be battling to keep   
   > votes it has won back from both the NDP and the Conservatives since the   
   > last election.   
   >   
   > Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff noted his firmâ   
   ƒÂ‚€Â™s   
      
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